🐻⬇️🏀

Fort Lewis

Also known as: Fort Lewis
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1112 (#39) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1158 (#33) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +10.3 (#85) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.778 (#169) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +6.6 More → 0.678 (#131) NetEff +6.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.9 More → 0.875 (#166) AdjNet +16.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.0 More → 0.879 (#165) AdjNet +17.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.5 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.768 (#155) AdjO 85.5 | AdjD 72.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-02 vs Point Loma L 69 - 80
2024-11-03 vs Carson-Newman L 75 - 94
2024-11-08 vs Eastern N.M. W 66 - 55
2024-11-09 vs Angelo St. L 63 - 69
2024-11-15 vs Western N.M. W 71 - 62
2024-11-16 vs Northern N.M. W 78 - 60
2024-11-22 vs Emporia St. W 82 - 71
2024-11-23 vs Bowie St. W 68 - 53
2024-12-05 vs MSU Denver L 48 - 65
2024-12-07 vs Regis (CO) L 89 - 90
2024-12-10 vs N.M. Highlands W 80 - 77
2024-12-12 @ Adams St. W 88 - 71
2024-12-20 vs West Tex. A&M W 76 - 69
2025-01-09 @ Western Colo. W 75 - 73
2025-01-11 @ Westminster (UT) L 108 - 113
2025-01-16 vs South Dakota Mines W 88 - 54
2025-01-18 vs Black Hills St. W 82 - 73
2025-01-23 @ Colo. Christian W 74 - 38
2025-01-25 @ UCCS W 87 - 84
2025-01-30 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines L 79 - 82
2025-02-01 @ MSU Denver W 81 - 74
2025-02-04 vs Adams St. W 102 - 81
2025-02-08 @ N.M. Highlands L 77 - 84
2025-02-13 vs Colorado Mesa L 83 - 93
2025-02-16 vs Western Colo. W 76 - 61
2025-02-20 vs CSU Pueblo L 98 - 102
2025-02-22 vs Colo. Christian W 77 - 68
2025-02-27 @ Chadron St. L 82 - 84
2025-03-01 @ South Dakota Mines W 78 - 70
2025-03-04 @ Colorado Mesa W 89 - 65
2025-03-07 @ Regis (CO) L 62 - 69

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brayson Laube - 1 34.0 23.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 17.0 -123 -5.3 -12.4 77.8 50.0 70.0 0.99 85.8 88.9
Biko Johnson - 30 26.7 16.0 3.5 2.3 2.1 0.1 2.3 11.6 10.1 -60 -2.1 -8.9 40.7 35.5 72.9 0.54 55.6 49.1
Chuol Deng - 30 26.9 13.3 7.8 1.2 1.3 1.0 1.8 11.2 11.7 54 1.5 9.0 40.0 32.7 73.7 0.48 51.9 47.2
Tru Allen - 30 31.4 11.7 3.9 3.2 1.9 0.0 1.8 11.1 7.8 -13 -0.6 -1.7 36.1 21.5 57.5 1.4 43.7 39.2
Devin Conley - 1 21.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 -17 -0.7 -7.0 25.0 50.0 66.7 0.42 56.5 37.5
Sheldon Stewart - 1 28.0 9.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 8.0 - - - 57.1 100.0 0 - 64.3 64.3
Stewart Erhart - 30 23.4 7.5 2.9 1.6 2.5 0.2 0.8 6.3 7.6 -41 -1.3 -6.8 43.7 23.2 88.0 0.59 53.3 47.9
Cassius Carmichael - 30 22.4 7.2 4.1 1.1 1.6 0.6 1.0 5.5 8.1 65 2.2 16.2 51.2 41.4 57.9 0.48 56.3 54.8
Keither Florence - 29 15.1 6.1 3.4 0.5 0.9 0.5 1.2 4.5 5.6 97 3.0 22.0 53.4 37.5 68.8 0.8 57.8 54.6
Donald Coats III - 1 12.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 6.0 -13 -6.5 -6.5 20.0 0.0 66.7 -0.06 39.3 20.0
Karyiek Dixon - 1 12.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 -33 -2.8 -3.7 50.0 0 100.0 0.94 61.5 50.0
AJ Riggs - 30 10.2 5.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 3.5 2.7 -73 -4.1 -30.4 49.5 45.1 90.9 0.05 70.2 67.1
Malachi Coleman - 29 18.9 5.2 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.1 4.2 -31 -1.6 -18.3 44.1 37.0 70.0 -0.1 56.0 52.5
Dallas Bear - 1 23.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 0.0 -107 -3.6 -24.2 25.0 14.3 0 0.16 31.2 31.2
Malik Edwards - 1 28.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 -46 -2.1 -4.9 25.0 0.0 50.0 -0.41 34.7 25.0
Tristan Moore - 28 10.4 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 2.5 2.6 -81 -3.7 -32.4 35.7 25.5 84.0 0.15 51.2 44.3
Parker Day - 1 21.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 -128 -5.3 -12.8 50.0 0 0.0 -0.07 34.7 50.0
Chris Harris - 1 12.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -1.0 -175 -3.4 -24.3 33.3 0.0 0 -0.13 33.3 33.3
Nathan Penney - 30 4.5 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.4 -59 -3.7 -55.9 44.4 41.7 87.5 -0.26 69.9 58.3
Awit Mamer - 1 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -5 -2.5 -4.8 0 0 50.0 -0.24 56.8 0
Aiden Gibson - 30 3.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 -45 -2.8 -35.9 37.5 38.9 100.0 -0.19 54.3 52.1
Jude Brideba - 30 3.9 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.2 -69 -4.9 -63.1 53.3 0 34.8 -0.25 47.8 53.3
Luke Hutto - 30 2.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 2 0.3 26.1 66.7 0 40.0 -1.35 64.0 66.7
Joseph LeFlore Jr. - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -22 -5.5 -210.4 0 0 0 0.41 0 0
Arhman Lewis - 1 20.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 -108 -4.3 -11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.48 0.0 0.0
Justin Mack - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 -50 -1.9 -32.0 0.0 0 0 -0.1 0.0 0.0
Cael McGee - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Noah Hellem - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jacob Neubert - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG