Fort Hays St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1339 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1336 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1244 (#3) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +23.2 (#11) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +23.9 (#62) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.914 (#178) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.935 (#119) | NetEff +21.3 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.000 (#495) | NetEff -53.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.988 (#78) | AdjNet +37.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.989 (#75) | AdjNet +38.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.906 (#70) | AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 53.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.830 (#19) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 57.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.923 (#20) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.917 (#17) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1373 (#5) | RD 104 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | W | 84 - 78 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Sioux Falls | W | 84 - 75 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Eastern N.M. | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | William Jewell | W | 90 - 54 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | UCCS | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | MSU Denver | W | 88 - 73 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Central Mo. | W | 65 - 60 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Washburn | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Pittsburg St. | W | 88 - 70 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Tabor | W | 75 - 37 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Chadron St. | W | 92 - 49 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 84 - 71 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Missouri Western | W | 87 - 56 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Missouri Western | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 60 - 46 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Rogers St. | W | 73 - 46 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Central Okla. | W | 78 - 65 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Washburn | W | 59 - 47 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Central Mo. | L | 69 - 81 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Northeastern St. | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | W | 73 - 68 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talexa Weeter | - | 21 | 34.1 | 27.6 | 8.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 19.0 | 18.7 | 160 | 7.0 | 23.5 | 51.4 | 38.0 | 78.5 | 1.63 | 61.1 | 55.8 |
| Olivia Mortensen | - | 21 | 29.2 | 11.9 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 10.5 | 8.3 | 96 | 4.2 | 17.0 | 48.4 | 34.5 | 64.0 | 0.23 | 53.9 | 52.9 |
| Brooke Loewe | - | 21 | 34.5 | 9.6 | 5.0 | 9.7 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 4.4 | 8.0 | 14.3 | 134 | 5.8 | 19.9 | 44.6 | 39.4 | 80.9 | 1.75 | 53.3 | 48.5 |
| Ellie Stearns | - | 19 | 32.1 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 105 | 5.0 | 18.9 | 36.1 | 32.7 | 58.8 | -0.19 | 49.5 | 48.6 |
| Avery Lowe | - | 21 | 19.2 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 110 | 4.8 | 30.0 | 52.7 | 33.3 | 52.2 | 1.66 | 56.2 | 55.9 |
| Mikayla Pilley | - | 21 | 18.8 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 117 | 5.1 | 30.9 | 44.3 | 41.0 | 47.1 | 1.79 | 54.3 | 54.4 |
| Kaitlin Schumann | - | 21 | 13.9 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 13 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 45.7 | 35.7 | 58.3 | -3.19 | 51.5 | 49.3 |
| TiAna Davis | - | 7 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 23 | 3.3 | 83.5 | 56.2 | 37.5 | 50.0 | -1.03 | 64.8 | 65.6 |
| Brittan Zeka | - | 21 | 13.2 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 28 | 1.2 | 11.5 | 52.2 | 39.1 | 87.5 | 1.3 | 64.6 | 62.0 |
| Sarah Lawless | - | 6 | 8.7 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 28 | 4.7 | 166.3 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.34 | 43.1 | 36.4 |
| Callie Ott | - | 12 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 20 | 1.3 | 24.4 | 43.8 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.3 | 44.4 | 43.8 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG