Fort Hays St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1153 (#65) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1184 (#51) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1077 (#97) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.1 (#49) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.9 (#82) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.833 (#144) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.990 (#93) | NetEff +38.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.952 (#76) | AdjNet +25.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.956 (#72) | AdjNet +26.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.840 (#83) | AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 56.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.735 (#52) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.822 (#51) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.809 (#53) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1168 (#65) | RD 95 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Southwest Minn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Bethel (KS) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Sterling (KS) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Manhattan Chrst. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Central Mo. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Washburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | William Jewell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | MSU Denver | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Regis (CO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Missouri Western | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Emporia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Missouri Western | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Rogers St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Central Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Washburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Central Mo. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Northeastern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Mukuna | - | 22 | 33.7 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 11.3 | 14.8 | 79 | 3.6 | 12.8 | 59.3 | 36.4 | 83.8 | 2.63 | 65.6 | 60.1 |
| Kyle Grill | - | 22 | 32.6 | 13.5 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 10.9 | 8.9 | 136 | 6.2 | 23.4 | 45.0 | 30.9 | 69.4 | 6.55 | 54.5 | 51.2 |
| Wade Williams | - | 1 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | -103 | -4.9 | -19.9 | 60.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.4 | 65.0 | 65.0 |
| Clayton Moore | - | 1 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | -113 | -5.4 | -23.4 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.77 | 83.3 | 80.0 |
| Jahvari Martino | - | 22 | 27.2 | 11.3 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 9.5 | 6.2 | 33 | 1.5 | 6.8 | 46.2 | 38.3 | 81.2 | -1.9 | 56.1 | 53.6 |
| Lucas Hammeke | - | 22 | 30.1 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 6.9 | 9.8 | 95 | 4.3 | 17.9 | 44.4 | 35.0 | 64.8 | 0.74 | 52.4 | 49.0 |
| Muhamed Kante | - | 22 | 21.7 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 49 | 2.2 | 12.1 | 43.3 | 25.8 | 92.6 | -0.01 | 51.9 | 46.7 |
| Juju Ramirez | - | 19 | 21.7 | 5.3 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 5.5 | 19 | 1.0 | 7.3 | 42.9 | 38.9 | 33.3 | -1.46 | 49.1 | 50.5 |
| Tom Connelly | - | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | -112 | -5.3 | -24.8 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.58 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Eli Lawson | - | 22 | 16.2 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 53 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 57.5 | 0 | 41.7 | 0.8 | 56.3 | 57.5 |
| Tegen Curley | - | 4 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 64.3 | 60.0 |
| Ben Johnson | - | 6 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 17 | 2.8 | 122.9 | 27.8 | 30.0 | 100.0 | 1.35 | 43.0 | 36.1 |
| Blake Danitschek | - | 22 | 13.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 2.5 | -10 | -0.5 | -4.8 | 43.9 | 34.8 | 55.6 | -3.06 | 54.5 | 53.7 |
| David Johnson | - | 4 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 2.38 | 41.5 | 28.6 |
| Tory Homan | - | 6 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -3.01 | 46.8 | 40.0 |
| Alec Carlson | - | 6 | 7.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.57 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Zeek Brown | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -81 | -4.5 | -27.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.32 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zack Sharkey | - | 1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG