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Fordham

Also known as: Fordham Rams, Fordham
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

70.7
PPG
79.3
Opp
-8.7
Margin
44.3%
FG%
30.5%
3P%
78.0%
FT%
36.0
RPG
16.3
APG
17.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.4
Adj PPG
71.6
Adj Opp PPG
#265
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 886 (#234) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 876 (#257) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 898 (#305) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -6.1 (#258) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -5.8 (#255) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.132 (#330) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.9 More โ†’ 0.263 (#249) AdjNet -8.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.9 More โ†’ 0.262 (#249) AdjNet -8.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 71.6 More โ†’ 0.362 (#265) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 71.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 70.8 More โ†’ 0.340 (#315) AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 70.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.322 (#263) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.317 (#271) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 31 More โ†’ 883 (#247) RD 154 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Texas State Bobcats L 76 - 86
2012-11-12 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 51 - 86
2012-11-13 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 58 - 74
2012-11-19 @ Pennsylvania Quakers W 70 - 68
2012-11-20 @ Fairfield Stags L 71 - 74
2012-11-29 vs Manhattan Jaspers L 58 - 65
2012-12-01 @ Harvard Crimson L 64 - 73
2012-12-04 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 63 - 81
2012-12-08 @ St. John's Red Storm L 47 - 58
2012-12-15 vs Princeton Tigers W 63 - 60
2012-12-21 @ UConn Huskies L 73 - 88
2012-12-23 vs Siena Saints W 81 - 75
2012-12-29 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 48 - 73
2012-12-31 vs Monmouth Hawks W 82 - 71
2013-01-04 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 68 - 95
2013-01-09 vs Duquesne Dukes W 82 - 75
2013-01-13 vs Massachusetts Minutemen L 73 - 77
2013-01-16 @ Charlotte 49ers L 68 - 74
2013-01-23 @ Dayton Flyers L 51 - 96
2013-01-26 vs Rhode Island Rams W 66 - 63
2013-01-30 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 62 - 66
2013-02-02 @ VCU Rams L 65 - 81
2013-02-06 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 73 - 90
2013-02-09 @ La Salle Explorers L 53 - 89
2013-02-13 @ Xavier Musketeers L 66 - 79
2013-02-16 vs Butler Bulldogs L 63 - 68
2013-02-20 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 60 - 68
2013-02-23 vs Richmond Spiders L 55 - 72
2013-03-02 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 56 - 82
2013-03-06 vs Temple Owls L 55 - 74
2013-03-09 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 76 - 72

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chris Gaston Chris Gaston F 16 31.0 14.2 7.6 1.0 1.1 1.3 2.7 4.5 18.1 -51 14 -3.6 -5.0 47.2 0 80.8 1.53 136.6 47.2
Branden Frazier Branden Frazier G 30 35.0 14.0 3.7 5.0 0.9 0.0 3.0 2.8 17.8 -262 28 -9.4 -11.6 34.9 27.3 78.6 -2.63 220.3 40.4
Mandell Thomas Mandell Thomas G 29 27.9 10.0 3.0 1.8 0.9 0.4 2.1 2.9 11.1 -197 27 -7.3 -11.3 33.3 44.0 84.6 0.24 161.6 39.9
Bryan Smith Bryan Smith G 26 25.2 7.9 3.3 1.3 0.9 0.5 1.7 1.8 10.3 -180 25 -7.2 -12.4 35.4 33.3 80.0 -2.24 204.2 46.9
Travion Leonard Travion Leonard F 30 17.5 6.4 4.4 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.7 1.6 8.5 -168 28 -6.0 -15.1 48.9 0 54.5 -2.63 185.2 48.9
Ryan Canty Ryan Canty C 30 17.9 5.8 6.7 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.8 11.9 -119 28 -4.2 -9.5 54.2 0 62.5 0.94 314.3 54.2
Jeff Short Jeff Short G 26 17.1 5.8 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.2 1.5 1.0 6.3 -96 24 -4.0 -10.1 50.0 45.5 72.7 -0.61 244.8 59.6
Jermaine Myers Jermaine Myers G 29 22.1 3.9 1.8 2.3 0.7 0.1 1.9 0.8 6.1 -113 28 -4.0 -7.9 4.2 8.3 100.0 1.11 212.1 6.2
Ryan Rhoomes Ryan Rhoomes F 29 18.6 3.7 5.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.0 8.6 -135 28 -4.8 -11.5 51.7 0 50.0 -0.07 144.9 51.7
Devon McMillan Devon McMillan G 3 10.0 2.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.3 - - - - 33.3 100.0 0 -0.22 133.3 50.0
Luka Zivkovic Luka Zivkovic F 17 6.8 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.7 -61 16 -3.8 -27.9 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.57 113.6 0.0
Jared Fay Jared Fay G 8 2.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 -9 8 -1.1 -24.3 40.0 33.3 0.0 -1.29 68.0 50.0
Khalid Robinson Khalid Robinson G 13 8.6 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.2 0.5 -39 14 -2.8 -15.0 66.7 0 0 -1.5 133.3 66.7
Leo Walsh Leo Walsh - 4 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nihad Musovic Nihad Musovic G 6 2.8 0.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.7 -11 5 -2.2 -41.1 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.87 34.7 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG