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Florida

Also known as: Florida Gators, Florida
Program History

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1492 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1337 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More โ†’ 1213 (#3) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +23.4 (#5) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +24.6 (#2) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.906 (#8) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +30.8 More โ†’ 0.973 (#6) AdjNet +30.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +31.1 More โ†’ 0.973 (#6) AdjNet +31.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.7 | AdjD 64.5 More โ†’ 0.873 (#5) AdjO 85.7 | AdjD 64.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 66.2 More โ†’ 0.826 (#3) AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 66.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.920 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.914 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 83 | GP 37 More โ†’ 1357 (#6) RD 83 | GP 37

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-19 vs Florida State W 96 - 61
1999-11-22 N Utah State W 60 - 58
1999-11-23 N Purdue L 68 - 79
1999-11-24 N Georgetown W 72 - 62
1999-11-29 vs New Hampshire W 131 - 72
1999-12-04 vs Florida A&M W 96 - 44
1999-12-11 vs Bethune-Cookman W 93 - 77
1999-12-19 vs High Point W 109 - 60
1999-12-21 N Rutgers W 85 - 65
1999-12-23 vs UNC Wilmington W 80 - 53
1999-12-28 vs VMI W 113 - 68
1999-12-30 vs South Alabama W 82 - 61
2000-01-05 @ Vanderbilt L 77 - 87
2000-01-08 @ Mississippi W 75 - 71
2000-01-12 vs Louisiana State W 82 - 57
2000-01-18 vs Tennessee L 79 - 81
2000-01-22 @ Alabama W 77 - 73
2000-01-26 @ DePaul L 69 - 71
2000-01-29 vs Vanderbilt W 89 - 63
2000-02-02 @ South Carolina W 86 - 82
2000-02-05 @ Georgia W 85 - 66
2000-02-08 vs Kentucky W 90 - 73
2000-02-12 @ Tennessee L 73 - 76
2000-02-15 @ Arkansas W 80 - 71
2000-02-19 vs Mississippi State W 88 - 58
2000-02-23 @ Georgia W 90 - 68
2000-02-27 vs Auburn W 88 - 59
2000-03-01 vs South Carolina W 87 - 67
2000-03-04 @ Kentucky L 70 - 85
2000-03-09 N Mississippi W 89 - 67
2000-03-10 N Auburn L 70 - 78
2000-03-17 N Butler W 69 - 68
2000-03-19 N Illinois W 93 - 76
2000-03-24 N Duke W 87 - 78
2000-03-26 N Oklahoma State W 77 - 65
2000-04-01 N North Carolina W 71 - 59
2000-04-03 N Michigan State L 76 - 89

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.