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Florida State

Season:
Also known as: Florida State Seminoles, Florida State
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 1977 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1231 (#33) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1098 (#93) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1052 (#103) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +10.5 (#64) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +24.6 (#58) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.587 (#119) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.9 More → 0.589 (#147) NetEff +2.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.4 More → 0.840 (#60) AdjNet +14.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.6 More → 0.844 (#60) AdjNet +14.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.726 (#64) AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 73.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.648 (#72) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 73.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.891 (#57) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.864 (#56) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 32 More → 1216 (#58) RD 132 | GP 32

1977 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

1977 Roster

No roster data available for this season.