Florida State
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
101.5
PPG
68.5
Opp
+33.0
Margin
49.6%
FG%
28.8%
3P%
82.2%
FT%
46.5
RPG
17.0
APG
9.5
TO
73.6
Est. poss./game
81.5
Adj PPG
68.0
Adj Opp PPG
#36
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1211 (#68) | Preseason prior 1189 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1076, returning -74, transfers +63, freshmen +125 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1145 (#62) | HCA +250 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1086 (#55) | HCA +250 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.3 (#69) | HCA +7.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.0 (#69) | HCA +7.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.892 (#40) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.745 (#49) | AdjNet +17.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.747 (#48) | AdjNet +17.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.738 (#36) | AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 68.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.707 (#27) | AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 68.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.738 (#51) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.732 (#50) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1161 (#70) | RD 201 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.828 (#74) | Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Florida A&M Rattlers | W | 112 - 69 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Troy Trojans | W | 91 - 68 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Florida Gators | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sebastian Rancik
|
F | 2 | 29.0 | 21.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 15.5 | 66 | 2 | 33.0 | 45.3 | 57.1 | 36.4 | 93.8 | 1.81 | 76.7 | 66.7 |
Kameron Taylor
|
G | 2 | 25.5 | 15.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 53 | 2 | 26.5 | 41.8 | 58.3 | 33.3 | 93.3 | 1.0 | 80.6 | 66.7 |
Shon Abaev
|
F | 2 | 27.5 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 13.0 | 12.5 | 61 | 2 | 30.5 | 44.5 | 34.6 | 22.2 | 85.7 | 1.6 | 44.7 | 38.5 |
Marcis Ponder
|
C | 2 | 21.5 | 12.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 33 | 2 | 16.5 | 30.7 | 80.0 | 0 | 69.2 | 0.53 | 79.5 | 80.0 |
Anthony Robinson II
|
G | 2 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 11.5 | 62 | 2 | 31.0 | 49.5 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 1.6 | 52.7 | 52.5 |
Brandon Bass Jr.
|
G | 2 | 15.0 | 10.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 37 | 2 | 18.5 | 47.1 | 63.6 | 57.1 | 100.0 | 0.94 | 85.2 | 81.8 |
Martay Barnes
|
G | 2 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.5 | -1 | 2 | -0.5 | -1.7 | 41.7 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.56 | 54.3 | 50.0 |
Alex Steen
|
F | 2 | 15.5 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 30 | 2 | 15.0 | 39.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.88 | 60.2 | 50.0 |
Cooper Schwieger
|
F | 2 | 12.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 5 | 2 | 2.5 | 8.2 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.92 | 44.4 | 40.0 |
Elise Assui
|
G | 2 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 3.5 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.26 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
AJ Swinton
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jalen Crawford
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -144.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.99 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
JD Jones
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -144.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.44 | 0 | 0 |
Jasen Lopez
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Collin Paul
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Amare Robinson
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -144.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.44 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Florida State players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Florida State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes | 2020-21 | NBA | Toronto Raptors | 8 | 33.3 | 23.5 | 7.6 | 5.1 | 11-04 17 pts, 6 reb, 6 ast | 8 GP, 23.5 PPG, 7.6 RPG, 5.1 APG |
| Devin Vassell | 2018-20 | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | 10 | 30.0 | 11.9 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 11-07 15 pts, 2 reb, 3 ast | 10 GP, 11.9 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 3.1 APG |
| Patrick Williams | 2019-20 | NBA | Chicago Bulls | 1 | 19.8 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11-04 4 pts, 0 reb, 2 ast | 1 GP, 4.0 PPG, 0.0 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Terance Mann | 2015-19 | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | 4 | 14.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 11-07 0 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast | 4 GP, 0.5 PPG, 1.2 RPG, 1.2 APG |
| Dwayne Bacon | 2015-17 | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | 10 | 27.1 | 16.3 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 11-06 13 pts, 5 reb, 5 ast | 6 GP, 16.7 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 3.5 APG |
| Mfiondu Kabengele | 2017-19 | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | 10 | 23.2 | 14.6 | 7.8 | 1.0 | 11-06 16 pts, 9 reb, 0 ast | 6 GP, 17.2 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 0.7 APG |
| Trent Forrest | 2016-20 | EuroLeague | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | 10 | 17.6 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 11-05 1 pts, 2 reb, 4 ast | 6 GP, 3.7 PPG, 1.5 RPG, 1.8 APG |
| John Butler Jr. | 2021-22 | G League | Wisconsin Herd | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-06 15 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast Play-In | 1 GP, 15.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Balsa Koprivica | 2019-21 | EuroCup | Recoletas Salud San Pablo Burgos | 5 | 13.6 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 11-04 2 pts, 4 reb, 2 ast | 4 GP, 4.5 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 1.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | Terance Mann | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | @ Atlanta Hawks | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Devin Vassell | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | @ Portland Trail Blazers | 21 | 15 | 2 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Mfiondu Kabengele | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | @ Virtus Bologna | 22 | 16 | 9 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | John Butler Jr. | G League Play-In | Wisconsin Herd | @ Iowa Wolves | 23 | 15 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Dwayne Bacon | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | @ Virtus Bologna | 28 | 13 | 5 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Devin Vassell | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | @ Sacramento Kings | 26 | 19 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Trent Forrest | EuroLeague | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | vs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 16 | 1 | 2 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Terance Mann | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | vs Charlotte Hornets | 16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Scottie Barnes | NBA | Toronto Raptors | @ Denver Nuggets | 32 | 17 | 6 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Patrick Williams | NBA | Chicago Bulls | @ New York Knicks | 20 | 4 | 0 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Devin Vassell | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | vs Dallas Mavericks | 36 | 2 | 7 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Balsa Koprivica | EuroCup | Recoletas Salud San Pablo Burgos | vs Rostock Seawolves | 14 | 2 | 4 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-02 | Scottie Barnes | NBA | Toronto Raptors | @ LA Clippers | 38 | 22 | 15 | 8 | Box |
| 2026-11-01 | Terance Mann | NBA | Brooklyn Nets | @ Indiana Pacers | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-01 | Scottie Barnes | NBA | Toronto Raptors | @ Los Angeles Lakers | 36 | 29 | 6 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Mfiondu Kabengele | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 17 | 7 | 7 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Dwayne Bacon | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 30 | 17 | 5 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-29 | Trent Forrest | EuroLeague | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | @ Real Madrid | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-28 | Balsa Koprivica | EuroCup | Recoletas Salud San Pablo Burgos | vs Riga Zelli | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-27 | Trent Forrest | EuroLeague | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | @ Valencia Basket | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-27 | Mfiondu Kabengele | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | vs Paris Basketball | 30 | 22 | 13 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-27 | Dwayne Bacon | EuroLeague | Dubai Basketball | vs Paris Basketball | 34 | 24 | 10 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-21 | Balsa Koprivica | EuroCup | Recoletas Salud San Pablo Burgos | @ Baglietto Derthona Tortona | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-16 | Patrick Williams | NBA Preseason | Chicago Bulls | vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-14 | Patrick Williams | NBA Preseason | Chicago Bulls | @ Milwaukee Bucks | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
129 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Sebastian RancikAnthony Robinson IIShon AbaevBrandon Bass Jr.Marcis PonderMartay Barnes
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 23-33 | 69.7 | 46 | Marcis Ponder 26% (12 pts) | Sebastian Rancik 17% (8 pts) | Shon Abaev 40% (4 misses) | Alex Steen 20% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 21-35 | 60.0 | 42 | Anthony Robinson II 29% (12 pts) | Shon Abaev 19% (8 pts) | Anthony Robinson II 29% (4 misses) | Shon Abaev 29% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-5 | 60.0 | 6 | Shon Abaev 67% (4 pts) | Sebastian Rancik 33% (2 pts) | Anthony Robinson II 50% (1 misses) | Sebastian Rancik 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-0 | - | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 2-4 | 50.0 | 4 | Anthony Robinson II 50% (2 pts) | Martay Barnes 50% (2 pts) | Shon Abaev 100% (2 misses) | - |
| Left corner 3 | 4-12 | 33.3 | 12 | Martay Barnes 50% (6 pts) | Brandon Bass Jr. 25% (3 pts) | Brandon Bass Jr. 25% (2 misses) | Elise Assui 25% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-6 | 16.7 | 3 | Brandon Bass Jr. 100% (3 pts) | - | Sebastian Rancik 40% (2 misses) | Brandon Bass Jr. 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-14 | 42.9 | 18 | Sebastian Rancik 50% (9 pts) | Brandon Bass Jr. 17% (3 pts) | Anthony Robinson II 38% (3 misses) | Martay Barnes 38% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 0-5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Sebastian Rancik 40% (2 misses) | Kameron Taylor 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-15 | 26.7 | 12 | Anthony Robinson II 25% (3 pts) | Brandon Bass Jr. 25% (3 pts) | Shon Abaev 36% (4 misses) | Kameron Taylor 18% (2 misses) |