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Fla. Southern

Also known as: Fla. Southern
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1147 (#30) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1173 (#31) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +10.8 (#89) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.669 (#298) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.5 More → 0.780 (#135) NetEff +10.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.3 More → 0.839 (#254) AdjNet +14.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.6 More → 0.849 (#252) AdjNet +14.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 62.9 More → 0.719 (#239) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 62.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs UAH W 74 - 70
2024-11-09 vs Lee L 58 - 71
2024-11-13 vs Eckerd L 65 - 72
2024-11-19 vs P.R.-Mayaguez W 68 - 55
2024-11-23 vs Palm Beach Atl. W 86 - 65
2024-11-29 @ Fayetteville St. L 57 - 80
2024-11-30 @ Mount Olive W 74 - 55
2024-12-04 @ Tampa L 78 - 84
2024-12-07 vs Florida Tech W 72 - 55
2024-12-20 vs Trinity (FL) W 109 - 29
2024-12-21 vs Maryville (MO) W 90 - 85
2025-01-04 @ Lynn L 63 - 74
2025-01-08 vs Embry-Riddle (FL) L 62 - 66
2025-01-11 vs Barry L 69 - 74
2025-01-15 @ Nova Southeastern L 63 - 69
2025-01-18 @ Saint Leo W 83 - 81
2025-01-22 vs Rollins W 76 - 69
2025-01-25 @ Florida Tech W 88 - 54
2025-01-29 vs Tampa L 63 - 64
2025-02-05 @ Eckerd L 54 - 78
2025-02-08 vs Lynn L 67 - 78

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sydney Gomes - 20 35.0 16.6 6.8 5.2 1.9 0.3 3.2 13.8 13.9 -48 -1.3 -1.3 39.6 32.1 73.8 1.22 51.5 46.0
Lily Randgaard - 21 28.6 11.0 5.5 1.9 1.0 0.4 2.1 9.8 7.9 -23 -0.7 -1.0 37.1 29.9 87.5 -0.0 50.1 44.1
Arriyana Bracero - 21 26.8 10.2 2.0 2.4 1.0 0.0 1.6 10.0 4.1 12 0.4 0.6 41.1 33.3 81.8 0.14 50.3 49.3
Catalina Ion - 21 19.0 8.7 3.7 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 6.1 8.0 -1 -0.0 -0.1 50.4 44.1 73.3 -0.11 64.0 62.0
Anna Denes - 21 22.3 6.3 6.7 1.4 1.0 0.4 1.3 6.3 8.3 -23 -0.9 -1.2 37.1 22.2 62.7 -0.35 42.7 37.9
Bre'Asia Washington - 19 16.1 5.3 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.0 1.2 4.0 4.3 14 0.7 0.6 52.6 25.0 58.8 0.06 55.5 53.3
Sarah Lange - 21 14.6 4.5 3.0 0.6 0.2 1.6 0.7 3.9 5.3 8 0.3 0.7 48.1 0 77.3 0.09 52.4 48.1
Lily Pereira - 21 12.7 4.2 1.7 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.1 -40 -1.1 -1.6 55.2 66.7 73.3 0.91 68.9 67.2
Gianna Vos - 20 6.7 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.6 -52 -1.9 -3.5 41.3 37.5 76.5 0.42 53.3 47.8
Dakota Daniello - 19 5.2 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.4 0.3 -62 -3.0 -10.8 30.4 16.7 80.0 -0.12 35.3 32.6
Reagan White - 21 9.7 1.6 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.3 2.7 1.0 -18 -0.8 -1.7 21.1 16.7 83.3 -0.27 28.5 25.4
Nia Blocton - 20 1.6 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 21 1.1 3.2 40.0 0 40.0 1.01 41.0 40.0
Monica Balistrere - 10 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 -14 -1.1 -1.6 20.0 100.0 0 0.9 30.0 30.0
Ella Kletti - 21 1.5 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 - - - 22.2 20.0 0 - 27.8 27.8

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG