Fla. Southern
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1153 (#55) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1158 (#59) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1094 (#78) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.8 (#62) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +13.6 (#161) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.669 (#298) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.946 (#112) | NetEff +22.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.839 (#254) | AdjNet +14.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.849 (#252) | AdjNet +14.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.719 (#239) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 62.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.722 (#72) | AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.756 (#139) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.758 (#131) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1148 (#76) | RD 149 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Gomes | - | 5 | 38.4 | 15.6 | 8.8 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 13.4 | 16.4 | 383 | 18.2 | 81.3 | 38.8 | 21.9 | 90.5 | 1.41 | 51.2 | 44.0 |
| Lily Randgaard | - | 5 | 28.0 | 12.8 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 7.6 | 12.2 | 106 | 7.1 | 31.1 | 57.9 | 52.4 | 90.0 | 1.96 | 75.5 | 72.4 |
| Monica Balistrere | - | 5 | 27.1 | 12.0 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 9.6 | 5.2 | 256 | 12.2 | 82.3 | 43.8 | 36.4 | 100.0 | 2.18 | 57.3 | 52.1 |
| Nia Blocton | - | 5 | 23.9 | 11.8 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.8 | 12.2 | 308 | 14.7 | 109.8 | 54.5 | 0 | 73.3 | 3.16 | 58.3 | 54.5 |
| Lily Pereira | - | 5 | 29.0 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 278 | 13.2 | 71.0 | 50.0 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 0.57 | 55.1 | 55.0 |
| Gianna Vos | - | 5 | 32.8 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 8.6 | 5.4 | 332 | 15.8 | 89.0 | 27.9 | 14.3 | 76.9 | 3.31 | 38.0 | 31.4 |
| Emily Ridderstrom | - | 5 | 12.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 83 | 4.2 | 55.8 | 31.2 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.53 | 40.6 | 40.6 |
| Nacoya Blocton | - | 4 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 79 | 4.4 | 56.5 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.05 | 51.8 | 50.0 |
| Dakota Daniello | - | 3 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 1.1 | 58.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.25 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Arantxa Concepcion | - | 3 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -8 | -0.6 | -26.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.24 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG