🐻⬇️🏀

Fla. Southern

Also known as: Fla. Southern
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1102 (#48) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1118 (#60) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +15.5 (#28) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.699 (#216) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.0 More → 0.722 (#108) NetEff +9.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.9 More → 0.909 (#122) AdjNet +19.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.9 More → 0.910 (#123) AdjNet +19.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 94.9 | AdjD 78.5 More → 0.816 (#107) AdjO 94.9 | AdjD 78.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-02 vs Minnesota St. W 91 - 86
2024-11-03 vs Point Loma L 85 - 90
2024-11-08 vs AUM W 109 - 79
2024-11-09 vs Savannah St. W 97 - 94
2024-11-13 vs Eckerd W 85 - 75
2024-11-17 @ Augusta W 78 - 68
2024-11-23 vs Palm Beach Atl. L 77 - 79
2024-11-29 vs Clark Atlanta W 82 - 75
2024-11-30 vs Morehouse W 77 - 63
2024-12-03 @ Tampa W 82 - 81
2024-12-07 vs Florida Tech W 99 - 76
2024-12-13 @ Lincoln (PA) W 86 - 74
2024-12-21 vs Lander W 100 - 98
2024-12-22 vs New Haven W 90 - 84
2025-01-04 @ Lynn W 94 - 74
2025-01-08 vs Embry-Riddle (FL) W 103 - 80
2025-01-11 vs Barry W 116 - 91
2025-01-15 @ Nova Southeastern L 112 - 117
2025-01-18 @ Saint Leo L 100 - 102
2025-01-22 vs Rollins W 98 - 82
2025-01-25 @ Florida Tech W 84 - 74
2025-01-29 vs Tampa W 129 - 125

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jadin Booth - 22 36.3 21.5 4.9 5.7 2.1 0.5 2.4 13.9 18.4 60 2.0 3.6 43.6 39.2 93.0 1.32 63.4 53.8
Alex Steen - 22 27.5 18.8 9.2 1.0 1.1 2.9 1.7 13.0 18.3 86 2.8 6.0 57.0 27.3 72.6 1.78 61.3 57.5
Peyton Gerald - 22 28.6 13.3 6.1 1.5 1.9 2.0 1.7 9.9 13.1 107 3.7 8.6 55.0 43.3 74.1 0.89 60.6 58.0
Dominick Denny - 22 27.9 12.0 3.1 5.0 2.1 0.1 2.0 10.2 10.0 53 1.8 3.4 44.0 45.0 82.5 1.23 52.6 48.0
Joe Moon IV - 22 25.4 8.1 3.5 2.2 0.7 0.2 1.5 7.0 6.1 49 1.6 3.6 42.9 32.2 93.3 1.96 53.5 49.0
Amare Miller - 22 18.0 6.0 4.9 0.8 0.5 1.3 0.9 4.7 7.9 16 0.5 3.0 56.7 33.3 52.0 0.16 57.4 57.2
Hugo Mattioli - 21 15.4 4.7 1.9 1.0 1.2 0.1 0.6 4.8 3.6 16 0.8 3.9 34.0 35.1 45.5 0.61 47.2 47.0
Kristians Feierbergs - 10 11.9 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 4.9 2.7 0 0.0 0.0 32.7 31.0 100.0 0.08 44.3 41.8
Donovan Smith - 22 7.5 4.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.4 2.8 2.0 32 1.9 60.9 48.4 46.3 100.0 -0.52 69.8 68.5
Ameer Ramadan - 22 4.6 1.4 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 0.9 104 5.0 326.3 30.3 38.9 57.1 -0.72 43.0 40.9
Trey Jones - 22 2.1 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.4 -6 -1.2 -26.0 45.5 25.0 66.7 -0.89 51.5 50.0
Riley Buccino - 22 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.7 -4 -0.2 -15.3 57.1 37.5 0 -0.86 67.9 67.9
Luke Reilly - 22 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -10 -3.3 -110.1 42.9 50.0 0 -1.3 64.3 64.3
Raphael Tawil - 22 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.1 -2 -0.7 -31.2 9.1 0.0 50.0 -1.43 12.6 9.1
Luke McGinnis - 22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Erickson Bans - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG