Fla. Southern
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 965 (#186) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 995 (#177) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 956 (#212) | HCA +68 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.0 (#146) | HCA +2.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.2 (#161) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.416 (#205) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.655 (#148) | AdjNet +5.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.659 (#149) | AdjNet +5.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.583 (#159) | AdjO 85.1 | AdjD 81.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.477 (#194) | AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 81.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.549 (#169) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.528 (#175) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1000 (#169) | RD 130 | GP 28 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-11 | @ | Delta St. | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2016-11-12 | @ | West Ala. | L | 69 - 74 |
| 2016-11-16 | vs | Saint Leo | W | 97 - 87 |
| 2016-11-18 | vs | Southern Ind. | L | 94 - 108 |
| 2016-11-19 | vs | Bellarmine | L | 61 - 97 |
| 2016-11-21 | @ | Rollins | L | 91 - 102 |
| 2016-11-26 | vs | USC Aiken | W | 96 - 84 |
| 2016-11-27 | vs | Molloy | L | 83 - 86 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 124 - 95 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | Barry | L | 99 - 106 |
| 2016-12-16 | vs | Miles | W | 92 - 76 |
| 2016-12-17 | vs | AUM | L | 81 - 99 |
| 2016-12-30 | vs | Tampa | L | 70 - 80 |
| 2017-01-04 | @ | Lynn | L | 56 - 80 |
| 2017-01-07 | @ | Nova Southeastern | W | 77 - 74 |
| 2017-01-11 | vs | Florida Tech | W | 98 - 90 |
| 2017-01-14 | vs | Eckerd | W | 87 - 79 |
| 2017-01-18 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 64 - 83 |
| 2017-01-25 | vs | Rollins | L | 88 - 94 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | Nova Southeastern | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2017-02-01 | @ | Saint Leo | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 91 - 85 |
| 2017-02-08 | @ | Florida Tech | W | 86 - 71 |
| 2017-02-11 | vs | Embry-Riddle (FL) | W | 110 - 100 |
| 2017-02-15 | @ | Tampa | L | 78 - 79 |
| 2017-02-18 | vs | Lynn | L | 70 - 93 |
| 2017-02-22 | @ | Barry | L | 88 - 98 |
| 2017-02-25 | @ | Eckerd | L | 82 - 98 |
| 2017-03-01 | @ | Eckerd | L | 72 - 88 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.