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Fla. Southern

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Fla. Southern
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1166 (#60) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1185 (#56) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1000 (#283) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +14.3 (#52) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +5.0 (#245) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.699 (#72) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +37.8 More → 0.981 (#113) NetEff +37.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.9 More → 0.909 (#26) AdjNet +19.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.9 More → 0.910 (#26) AdjNet +19.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 94.9 | AdjD 78.5 More → 0.816 (#21) AdjO 94.9 | AdjD 78.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 78.3 More → 0.579 (#173) AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 78.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.640 (#200) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.621 (#209) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 5 More → 1073 (#158) RD 151 | GP 5

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-01 vs Alas. Anchorage W 88 - 76
2025-11-02 vs UVA Wise L 91 - 93
2025-11-14 vs Clark Atlanta W 92 - 72
2025-11-15 vs Savannah St. W 95 - 63
2025-11-18 vs Staten Island W 98 - 77
2025-11-28 vs Winona St. W 88 - 77
2025-11-29 vs Bemidji St. W 99 - 92
2025-12-03 @ Saint Leo W 101 - 93
2025-12-06 vs Rollins W 93 - 88
2025-12-10 vs Lincoln (PA) W 97 - 63
2025-12-13 @ Lynn L 74 - 107
2025-12-19 vs Bentley L 66 - 82
2025-12-20 vs Lees-McRae W 116 - 70
2025-12-31 vs Palm Beach Atl. W 101 - 85
2026-01-03 @ Nova Southeastern L 86 - 104
2026-01-07 vs Barry W 97 - 84
2026-01-10 @ Florida Tech W 81 - 73
2026-01-14 vs Embry-Riddle (FL) W 89 - 83
2026-01-17 @ Eckerd L 81 - 89
2026-01-21 @ Tampa W 84 - 76
2026-01-24 vs Lynn - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Saint Leo W 95 - 85
2026-02-04 @ Palm Beach Atl. L 78 - 86
2026-02-07 @ Rollins L 76 - 99
2026-02-11 vs Eckerd W 106 - 81
2026-02-14 @ Embry-Riddle (FL) W 87 - 82
2026-02-18 vs Florida Tech W 86 - 79
2026-02-21 vs Tampa L 80 - 85
2026-02-25 @ Barry W 84 - 82
2026-02-28 vs Nova Southeastern L 73 - 92
2026-03-05 @ Palm Beach Atl. L 77 - 82
2026-03-14 vs Montevallo L 81 - 88

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Amare Miller - 30 27.6 16.5 8.9 1.1 0.9 1.4 1.3 12.4 15.2 133 27 4.9 7.5 55.8 22.4 68.4 0.93 59.6 57.5
Brady Corso - 32 27.6 14.2 4.0 1.7 1.0 0.2 1.4 10.1 9.7 121 29 4.2 6.3 43.2 38.7 82.6 0.54 61.3 56.5
Jasir Tremble - 31 25.0 11.3 2.0 3.8 1.4 0.2 2.1 9.3 7.2 99 28 3.5 6.0 43.4 41.3 83.3 1.41 56.5 53.6
Ameer Ramadan - 28 25.0 10.6 3.4 3.5 1.2 0.1 1.9 8.6 8.4 106 25 4.2 7.2 41.1 36.4 80.6 0.34 55.2 51.0
Charlie Dalton - 29 28.4 10.4 5.8 3.3 1.3 0.4 1.8 8.3 11.3 134 26 5.2 7.6 44.0 19.7 73.8 1.49 52.6 46.5
Khalil Ross - 32 20.5 9.2 4.2 1.2 1.0 0.7 1.2 7.1 7.9 63 29 2.2 4.5 48.7 28.4 69.6 0.33 56.3 52.9
Elijah Walsh - 32 22.4 9.0 3.9 2.2 1.2 0.3 1.8 7.0 7.8 122 29 4.2 7.9 44.9 34.7 68.3 1.98 57.0 54.4
Spencer Schomers - 30 17.7 6.0 2.9 0.6 0.3 0.8 0.6 4.4 5.6 31 27 1.1 2.8 54.1 34.7 71.4 -0.67 64.3 63.5
Riley Buccino - 23 7.2 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 3.5 1.7 -14 18 -0.8 -3.8 32.5 29.7 75.0 -3.54 45.3 44.4
Erickson Bans - 20 9.6 2.9 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.7 3.5 1.3 -40 18 -2.2 -9.5 30.0 21.4 75.0 -4.27 37.9 34.3
Raphael Tawil - 13 2.8 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.6 1 9 0.1 1.3 37.5 33.3 100.0 -0.8 50.4 46.9
Donovan Smith - 14 4.9 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.9 20 10 2.0 14.9 37.5 35.7 0.0 -0.01 51.7 53.1
Hugo Mattioli - 3 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - 33.3 33.3 0 -0.67 50.0 50.0
Luke McGinnis - 12 2.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 2 7 0.3 3.6 36.4 33.3 0 -0.49 45.5 45.5
Akeem Crandon - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Luke Reilly - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.55 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG