🐻⬇️🏀

Fla. Southern

Also known as: Fla. Southern
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1102 (#48) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1215 (#32) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1000 (#283) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +15.0 (#48) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +5.0 (#245) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.699 (#216) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +37.8 More → 0.981 (#118) NetEff +37.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.9 More → 0.909 (#122) AdjNet +19.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.9 More → 0.910 (#123) AdjNet +19.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 94.9 | AdjD 78.5 More → 0.816 (#107) AdjO 94.9 | AdjD 78.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 78.3 More → 0.579 (#173) AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 78.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.640 (#200) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.621 (#209) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 5 More → 1071 (#158) RD 151 | GP 5

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-21 @ Tampa W 84 - 76
2026-01-24 vs Lynn W 99 - 73
2026-01-28 vs Saint Leo W 95 - 85
2026-02-04 @ Palm Beach Atl. L 78 - 86
2026-02-07 @ Rollins L 76 - 99

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brady Corso - 5 29.9 16.0 5.0 1.0 1.2 0.2 1.2 11.0 11.2 79 3.3 14.8 43.6 44.4 75.0 -0.26 64.5 61.8
Jasir Tremble - 5 28.9 14.4 3.0 5.4 1.2 0.2 3.0 10.4 10.8 55 2.5 13.2 50.0 48.3 100.0 -1.22 65.9 63.5
Charlie Dalton - 5 30.1 12.8 7.8 4.0 1.2 0.8 2.4 9.0 15.2 129 5.6 21.8 53.3 10.0 75.0 2.32 59.5 54.4
Amare Miller - 5 26.4 12.8 7.8 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.4 9.8 12.8 93 4.2 17.9 55.1 14.3 56.2 2.0 57.1 56.1
Ameer Ramadan - 4 22.4 9.8 4.0 3.2 1.0 0.0 1.8 11.0 5.2 114 5.2 24.1 34.1 26.9 66.7 3.21 43.0 42.0
Elijah Walsh - 5 22.6 8.6 3.4 2.4 2.0 0.2 2.2 6.0 8.4 176 7.7 35.8 50.0 35.0 100.0 2.59 65.9 61.7
Khalil Ross - 5 18.0 6.2 3.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 1.2 6.4 3.4 76 3.3 19.7 40.6 20.0 50.0 -0.11 44.7 43.8
Spencer Schomers - 5 17.0 6.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 4.4 4.4 37 1.8 10.7 59.1 36.4 33.3 -4.42 66.5 68.2
Erickson Bans - 4 5.2 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.8 -23 -1.8 -83.8 37.5 50.0 0 -1.35 50.0 50.0
Riley Buccino - 4 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 -1.2 14 0.8 19.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Luke McGinnis - 3 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 -0.7 -3 -0.5 -38.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.21 0.0 0.0
Donovan Smith - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16 1.6 19.3 0 0 0 0.89 0 0
Raphael Tawil - 3 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.41 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG