Fla. Southern
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1102 (#48) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1215 (#32) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1000 (#283) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.0 (#48) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.0 (#245) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.699 (#216) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.981 (#118) | NetEff +37.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.909 (#122) | AdjNet +19.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.910 (#123) | AdjNet +19.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.816 (#107) | AdjO 94.9 | AdjD 78.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.579 (#173) | AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 78.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.640 (#200) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.621 (#209) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1071 (#158) | RD 151 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Corso | - | 5 | 29.9 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 11.0 | 11.2 | 79 | 3.3 | 14.8 | 43.6 | 44.4 | 75.0 | -0.26 | 64.5 | 61.8 |
| Jasir Tremble | - | 5 | 28.9 | 14.4 | 3.0 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 10.4 | 10.8 | 55 | 2.5 | 13.2 | 50.0 | 48.3 | 100.0 | -1.22 | 65.9 | 63.5 |
| Charlie Dalton | - | 5 | 30.1 | 12.8 | 7.8 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 9.0 | 15.2 | 129 | 5.6 | 21.8 | 53.3 | 10.0 | 75.0 | 2.32 | 59.5 | 54.4 |
| Amare Miller | - | 5 | 26.4 | 12.8 | 7.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 9.8 | 12.8 | 93 | 4.2 | 17.9 | 55.1 | 14.3 | 56.2 | 2.0 | 57.1 | 56.1 |
| Ameer Ramadan | - | 4 | 22.4 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 11.0 | 5.2 | 114 | 5.2 | 24.1 | 34.1 | 26.9 | 66.7 | 3.21 | 43.0 | 42.0 |
| Elijah Walsh | - | 5 | 22.6 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 6.0 | 8.4 | 176 | 7.7 | 35.8 | 50.0 | 35.0 | 100.0 | 2.59 | 65.9 | 61.7 |
| Khalil Ross | - | 5 | 18.0 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 76 | 3.3 | 19.7 | 40.6 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.11 | 44.7 | 43.8 |
| Spencer Schomers | - | 5 | 17.0 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 37 | 1.8 | 10.7 | 59.1 | 36.4 | 33.3 | -4.42 | 66.5 | 68.2 |
| Erickson Bans | - | 4 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | -23 | -1.8 | -83.8 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.35 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Riley Buccino | - | 4 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | -1.2 | 14 | 0.8 | 19.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Luke McGinnis | - | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -0.7 | -3 | -0.5 | -38.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Donovan Smith | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 1.6 | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.89 | 0 | 0 |
| Raphael Tawil | - | 3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.41 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG