Findlay
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1027 (#135) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 984 (#182) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.0 (#65) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.626 (#316) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.809 (#115) | NetEff +11.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.864 (#240) | AdjNet +16.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.873 (#237) | AdjNet +16.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.727 (#230) | AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 60.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-01 | vs | Grand Valley St. | L | 50 - 92 |
| 2024-11-02 | vs | Minot St. | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2024-11-03 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 52 - 62 |
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Lake Superior St. | W | 79 - 40 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Edinboro | W | 80 - 74 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | UIndy | W | 69 - 50 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Wright St. | W | 65 - 64 |
| 2024-12-05 | vs | Malone | L | 75 - 79 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Walsh | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Ohio Dominican | W | 79 - 53 |
| 2024-12-16 | vs | Northwood | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Purdue Northwest | W | 82 - 64 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | W | 59 - 56 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Tiffin | W | 82 - 65 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Cedarville | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | Thomas More | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Ursuline | W | 77 - 55 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Ashland | L | 64 - 82 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Tiffin | W | 71 - 52 |
| 2025-01-23 | vs | Thomas More | W | 66 - 40 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Hillsdale | L | 57 - 59 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | Ursuline | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Cedarville | L | 80 - 81 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Malone | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Ohio Dominican | W | 90 - 72 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2025-02-20 | vs | Hillsdale | L | 57 - 68 |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | Ashland | L | 47 - 64 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Lake Erie | W | 83 - 64 |
| 2025-03-04 | @ | Northwood | L | 66 - 71 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Ellis | - | 31 | 25.7 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 10.5 | 9.4 | 30 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 50.6 | 29.4 | 82.6 | 0.01 | 59.8 | 52.9 |
| Alyssa Ziehler | - | 31 | 24.0 | 11.2 | 7.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 9.0 | 10.2 | 24 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 52.3 | 0 | 70.9 | 0.29 | 55.5 | 52.3 |
| Janae Hoying | - | 31 | 23.7 | 8.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 46 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 42.2 | 31.2 | 85.3 | 0.49 | 54.3 | 48.0 |
| Chloe Callahan | - | 31 | 19.8 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 5.4 | 73 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 41.1 | 41.6 | 87.2 | 0.69 | 59.5 | 56.0 |
| Mackenzie Schulz | - | 2 | 12.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 22 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.16 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Addisyn Freeman | - | 31 | 19.8 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 6.7 | 35 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 36.1 | 31.0 | 57.6 | 0.34 | 44.2 | 40.5 |
| Taylor Stanley | - | 31 | 23.0 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 20 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 34.9 | 27.7 | 84.8 | -0.06 | 46.1 | 41.1 |
| Allie Stockton | - | 31 | 16.2 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 20 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 36.4 | 30.0 | 80.0 | -0.3 | 46.8 | 42.2 |
| Ella Mescher | - | 28 | 10.9 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 14 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.29 | 50.8 | 46.2 |
| Sofia Mokofisi | - | 30 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 7 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 43.2 | 0 | 72.2 | 0.1 | 50.1 | 43.2 |
| Mckenna Stephens | - | 3 | 6.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | -1.7 | 8 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Ariyah Douglas | - | 17 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 11 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 22.2 | 23.1 | 0 | 0.24 | 30.6 | 30.6 |
| Sophie Huffman | - | 27 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 18 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 55.6 | -0.11 | 45.6 | 35.7 |
| Carma Johnson | - | 30 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.0 | 5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.17 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Olivia Schalk | - | 28 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
| Aubri Spicer | - | 14 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 17 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG