Findlay
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1075 (#99) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1066 (#151) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1109 (#65) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.0 (#84) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.8 (#215) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.626 (#316) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.525 (#272) | NetEff +0.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.864 (#240) | AdjNet +16.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.873 (#237) | AdjNet +16.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.727 (#230) | AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.652 (#119) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 60.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.736 (#146) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.730 (#148) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1132 (#86) | RD 98 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Lake Superior St. | W | 72 - 61 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Saginaw Valley | W | 57 - 53 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Seton Hill | L | 57 - 73 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Edinboro | W | 75 - 52 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Grand Valley St. | L | 57 - 92 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Thomas More | L | 63 - 79 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | W | 92 - 63 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Walsh | L | 42 - 49 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Northwood | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | UIndy | W | 83 - 54 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Malone | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Lake Erie | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Ohio Dominican | W | 64 - 63 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Hillsdale | W | 75 - 49 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Ursuline | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Cedarville | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Ursuline | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Tiffin | W | 74 - 61 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Ziehler | - | 20 | 27.6 | 14.8 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 11.4 | 13.7 | 31 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 63.4 | -0.93 | 57.1 | 55.0 |
| MacKenzie Schulz | - | 19 | 28.4 | 12.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 11.6 | 5.1 | 40 | 1.8 | 8.7 | 39.5 | 38.1 | 87.5 | 1.16 | 51.6 | 49.3 |
| Allie Stockton | - | 20 | 27.3 | 8.3 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 7.8 | 10.8 | 60 | 2.6 | 10.5 | 36.9 | 34.6 | 78.6 | 1.77 | 47.6 | 42.7 |
| Ariyah Douglas | - | 19 | 18.8 | 8.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 6.7 | 5.1 | 22 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 43.0 | 32.4 | 74.1 | 1.61 | 54.3 | 51.6 |
| Addisyn Freeman | - | 13 | 22.6 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 6.1 | 9 | 0.6 | 7.8 | 44.8 | 47.8 | 72.2 | 0.11 | 56.1 | 53.0 |
| Taylor Stanley | - | 20 | 28.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 15 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 29.7 | 29.8 | 66.7 | -0.42 | 39.7 | 35.9 |
| Lauryn Auchmuty | - | 16 | 10.8 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 1.6 | -26 | -1.4 | -21.8 | 35.3 | 31.1 | 84.6 | -4.21 | 49.5 | 45.6 |
| Ella Mescher | - | 20 | 14.3 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 21 | 0.9 | 7.1 | 46.2 | 28.6 | 88.2 | 2.5 | 53.1 | 47.7 |
| Aubri Spicer | - | 14 | 10.5 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2.4 | -22 | -1.4 | -33.2 | 52.8 | 0.0 | 72.7 | -1.0 | 59.1 | 52.8 |
| Madison French | - | 18 | 14.8 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | -37 | -1.9 | -15.2 | 31.7 | 25.9 | 76.9 | -1.2 | 41.8 | 37.5 |
| Morgan Meek | - | 1 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.09 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Sophie Chard Peloquin | - | 2 | 9.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -6 | -3.0 | -70.9 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.93 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Sophie Huffman | - | 20 | 10.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 9 | 0.4 | 6.3 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 87.5 | -0.29 | 51.5 | 38.5 |
| Olivia Schalk | - | 4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -9 | -2.2 | -337.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.09 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Erica Thorbahn | - | 3 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | -9 | -3.0 | -144.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Carma Johnson | - | 4 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | -9 | -2.2 | -144.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Thorbahn | - | 3 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | -1.0 | -9 | -2.2 | -65.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zoey Sierer | - | 2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.09 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG