🐻⬇️🏀

Findlay

Also known as: Findlay
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1075 (#99) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1066 (#151) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1109 (#65) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +10.0 (#84) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +9.8 (#215) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.626 (#316) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.8 More → 0.525 (#272) NetEff +0.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.0 More → 0.864 (#240) AdjNet +16.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.4 More → 0.873 (#237) AdjNet +16.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 60.3 More → 0.727 (#230) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 60.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 60.1 More → 0.652 (#119) AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 60.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.736 (#146) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.730 (#148) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 22 More → 1132 (#86) RD 98 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Lake Superior St. W 72 - 61
2025-11-15 @ Saginaw Valley W 57 - 53
2025-11-21 vs Seton Hill L 57 - 73
2025-11-22 vs Edinboro W 75 - 52
2025-11-25 vs Grand Valley St. L 57 - 92
2025-12-04 vs Thomas More L 63 - 79
2025-12-06 vs Ky. Wesleyan W 92 - 63
2025-12-11 @ Walsh L 42 - 49
2025-12-13 vs Northwood L 61 - 72
2025-12-16 @ UIndy W 83 - 54
2025-12-20 @ Wayne St. (MI) L 58 - 66
2026-01-10 @ Malone L 64 - 73
2026-01-15 vs Lake Erie W 70 - 59
2026-01-17 vs Ohio Dominican W 64 - 63
2026-01-22 vs Hillsdale W 75 - 49
2026-01-24 @ Ursuline W 72 - 64
2026-01-29 @ Ky. Wesleyan W 69 - 58
2026-01-31 @ Cedarville W 60 - 57
2026-02-05 vs Ursuline W 81 - 72
2026-02-07 vs Tiffin W 74 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alyssa Ziehler - 20 27.6 14.8 9.1 1.1 1.6 0.8 2.1 11.4 13.7 31 1.3 6.2 55.0 0.0 63.4 -0.93 57.1 55.0
MacKenzie Schulz - 19 28.4 12.5 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.2 2.1 11.6 5.1 40 1.8 8.7 39.5 38.1 87.5 1.16 51.6 49.3
Allie Stockton - 20 27.3 8.3 7.0 2.4 2.4 0.1 1.5 7.8 10.8 60 2.6 10.5 36.9 34.6 78.6 1.77 47.6 42.7
Ariyah Douglas - 19 18.8 8.0 1.8 1.8 1.3 0.3 1.3 6.7 5.1 22 1.0 5.7 43.0 32.4 74.1 1.61 54.3 51.6
Addisyn Freeman - 13 22.6 6.5 3.8 2.3 0.6 0.3 2.3 5.2 6.1 9 0.6 7.8 44.8 47.8 72.2 0.11 56.1 53.0
Taylor Stanley - 20 28.5 6.0 2.5 2.1 0.8 0.1 1.6 6.9 3.1 15 0.7 3.1 29.7 29.8 66.7 -0.42 39.7 35.9
Lauryn Auchmuty - 16 10.8 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 4.2 1.6 -26 -1.4 -21.8 35.3 31.1 84.6 -4.21 49.5 45.6
Ella Mescher - 20 14.3 3.9 2.6 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.8 3.2 4.8 21 0.9 7.1 46.2 28.6 88.2 2.5 53.1 47.7
Aubri Spicer - 14 10.5 3.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.5 2.6 2.4 -22 -1.4 -33.2 52.8 0.0 72.7 -1.0 59.1 52.8
Madison French - 18 14.8 3.1 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 1.2 3.3 1.7 -37 -1.9 -15.2 31.7 25.9 76.9 -1.2 41.8 37.5
Morgan Meek - 1 2.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 -0.09 75.0 75.0
Sophie Chard Peloquin - 2 9.8 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -0.5 -6 -3.0 -70.9 25.0 50.0 0 -0.93 37.5 37.5
Sophie Huffman - 20 10.8 0.8 0.7 1.6 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.7 1.9 9 0.4 6.3 38.5 0.0 87.5 -0.29 51.5 38.5
Olivia Schalk - 4 1.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 -9 -2.2 -337.5 100.0 0 50.0 -0.09 79.8 100.0
Erica Thorbahn - 3 2.1 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.7 -9 -3.0 -144.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.09 20.5 0.0
Carma Johnson - 4 2.2 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -9 -2.2 -144.0 0 0 0 -0.09 0 0
Carly Thorbahn - 3 2.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 -1.0 -9 -2.2 -65.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.13 0.0 0.0
Zoey Sierer - 2 1.9 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.09 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG