Findlay
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1059 (#88) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1190 (#43) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1118 (#61) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.1 (#30) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +15.7 (#92) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.761 (#178) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.944 (#168) | NetEff +27.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.904 (#131) | AdjNet +19.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.908 (#130) | AdjNet +19.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.800 (#120) | AdjO 89.5 | AdjD 74.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.760 (#32) | AdjO 89.0 | AdjD 76.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.824 (#47) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.813 (#47) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1194 (#51) | RD 96 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Truman St. | W | 103 - 79 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Quincy | W | 75 - 74 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Ferris St. | W | 102 - 70 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Gannon | L | 79 - 101 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | W | 95 - 81 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Bluffton | W | 123 - 73 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Thomas More | W | 88 - 74 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | W | 82 - 79 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Walsh | L | 98 - 103 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Northwood | W | 93 - 81 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Walsh | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Davenport | L | 74 - 83 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Olivet | W | 95 - 70 |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Ashland | L | 104 - 105 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Tiffin | W | 89 - 55 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Malone | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Lake Erie | L | 94 - 99 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Ohio Dominican | W | 106 - 92 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Hillsdale | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Lake Erie | W | 84 - 78 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 73 - 86 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Cedarville | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Tiffin | W | 96 - 76 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mekhi Elmore | - | 23 | 23.0 | 12.7 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 9.6 | 7.1 | 39 | 1.7 | 9.5 | 48.4 | 42.3 | 87.3 | -1.09 | 59.5 | 55.2 |
| Mason Brandt | - | 23 | 23.4 | 11.3 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 8.2 | 11.2 | 54 | 2.3 | 14.2 | 53.7 | 42.9 | 67.4 | 1.39 | 63.1 | 61.7 |
| Anthony Johnson | - | 23 | 25.2 | 10.6 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.2 | 8.6 | 22 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 47.9 | 33.8 | 91.1 | -0.53 | 58.7 | 54.0 |
| Steele Meister | - | 21 | 17.5 | 8.8 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.2 | 6.0 | 14 | 0.7 | 4.9 | 44.7 | 32.0 | 68.8 | -1.75 | 53.4 | 50.0 |
| Alex Kendall | - | 23 | 20.4 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 6.1 | 8.7 | 86 | 3.7 | 23.9 | 57.4 | 16.7 | 88.9 | 0.73 | 63.1 | 58.9 |
| Jagger Landers | - | 23 | 17.6 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.7 | 37.9 | 92.3 | -0.13 | 59.2 | 55.8 |
| Ian Ioppolo | - | 17 | 18.2 | 7.9 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 7.7 | 4.2 | -28 | -1.6 | -22.1 | 42.7 | 25.5 | 73.3 | -1.54 | 49.1 | 47.3 |
| Javonte Hill | - | 20 | 15.5 | 7.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 5.1 | 5.8 | 110 | 5.5 | 45.1 | 52.9 | 33.3 | 74.2 | 2.7 | 60.1 | 56.9 |
| Jake Bishop | - | 23 | 17.1 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 5.6 | 38 | 1.7 | 13.0 | 45.1 | 36.7 | 67.9 | -2.25 | 59.5 | 57.1 |
| Max Roth | - | 19 | 11.6 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 23 | 1.2 | 12.0 | 46.7 | 38.5 | 75.0 | 0.2 | 58.2 | 55.0 |
| Josh Thorbahn | - | 23 | 10.3 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 62 | 2.7 | 33.7 | 48.5 | 34.0 | 66.7 | 4.42 | 61.6 | 61.0 |
| Luke Denbow | - | 17 | 8.8 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 31 | 1.8 | 83.2 | 32.2 | 27.9 | 71.4 | -1.88 | 46.0 | 42.4 |
| Dominic Francis | - | 6 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.0 | 74.6 | 85.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.25 | 82.5 | 85.7 |
| Jayson Levis | - | 15 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | -16 | -1.1 | -37.1 | 36.4 | 15.4 | 66.7 | -1.76 | 43.3 | 39.4 |
| Jacob Gerken | - | 5 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 10 | 2.0 | 82.8 | 18.2 | 14.3 | 33.3 | -1.44 | 24.4 | 22.7 |
| Jose Luna | - | 3 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG