Ferrum
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 938 (#321) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.2 (#194) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.392 (#497) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.284 (#456) | AdjNet -8.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.270 (#457) | AdjNet -8.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.369 (#463) | AdjO 52.1 | AdjD 58.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-13 | vs | William Peace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | La Roche | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-17 | @ | Denison | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Randolph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Guilford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-10 | vs | Warren Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-12 | @ | Hood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Oglethorpe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Maryville (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Randolph-Macon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Lynchburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Wash. & Lee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Greensboro | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | East. Mennonite | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Hollins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Shenandoah | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Averett | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Roanoke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | East. Mennonite | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Randolph-Macon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Hollins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Wash. & Lee | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
No roster data available for this season.