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Ferrum

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Ferrum
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 971 (#229) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 941 (#246) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -4.6 (#249) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.367 (#418) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.2 More → 0.542 (#213) NetEff +1.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.2 More → 0.256 (#486) AdjNet -9.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.3 More → 0.252 (#493) AdjNet -9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.9 | AdjD 61.3 More → 0.381 (#481) AdjO 55.9 | AdjD 61.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-13 vs William Peace W 71 - 45
2024-11-16 @ La Roche W 63 - 56
2024-11-17 @ Denison L 53 - 85
2024-11-26 vs Randolph W 35 - 30
2024-12-04 @ Guilford W 60 - 57
2024-12-07 vs Bridgewater (VA) L 36 - 39
2024-12-10 vs Warren Wilson W 68 - 33
2024-12-12 @ Hood L 50 - 58
2024-12-14 @ Notre Dame (MD) W 63 - 55
2024-12-29 vs Oglethorpe L 46 - 52
2024-12-30 @ Maryville (TN) W 61 - 38
2025-01-04 @ Randolph-Macon L 48 - 53
2025-01-08 vs Lynchburg W 61 - 42
2025-01-11 @ Wash. & Lee L 50 - 63
2025-01-15 vs Greensboro W 70 - 53
2025-01-18 @ East. Mennonite W 62 - 49
2025-01-22 vs Hollins W 67 - 56
2025-01-25 vs Shenandoah L 44 - 57
2025-01-29 vs Averett L 49 - 51
2025-02-01 @ Va. Wesleyan W 51 - 45
2025-02-05 @ Roanoke L 57 - 63
2025-02-08 vs East. Mennonite W 40 - 32
2025-02-15 vs Randolph-Macon L 49 - 56
2025-02-18 @ Hollins L 46 - 59
2025-02-22 @ Bridgewater (VA) L 38 - 51
2025-02-25 @ Bridgewater (VA) W 63 - 57
2025-02-28 @ Wash. & Lee L 66 - 73

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bethani Newbold - 1 34.0 15.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 20.0 - - - 60.0 100.0 80.0 - 79.8 70.0
Aisha Martin - 26 30.8 11.9 4.7 1.6 1.5 0.8 3.0 11.3 6.1 -13 -0.5 -0.6 36.9 26.6 64.4 -0.24 47.4 44.6
Amya Durham - 1 40.0 11.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 13.0 2.0 -17 -0.7 -0.8 23.1 28.6 75.0 -0.05 37.3 30.8
Allyson Cassell - 26 28.0 10.9 6.5 1.1 0.8 0.4 2.5 9.2 8.1 6 0.2 0.2 39.9 31.8 74.2 -0.72 51.2 45.8
Maslyn Mosbacher - 23 27.8 7.0 3.4 1.8 2.2 0.3 2.3 7.0 5.4 -29 -0.8 -1.0 33.1 26.4 83.3 0.16 44.8 39.1
Allison Holman - 1 21.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 50.9 50.0
Amani Watts - 1 13.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 50.9 50.0
Kieiauna Riddick - 7 20.7 6.3 3.7 0.7 1.9 0.4 1.7 7.0 4.3 -10 -1.4 -2.0 30.6 30.4 87.5 -0.23 41.9 37.8
Kleiauna Riddick - 19 24.9 6.3 3.8 0.9 1.5 0.3 1.8 7.3 3.8 -22 -0.7 -1.0 33.3 22.2 75.0 -0.47 41.4 39.1
Taryn Blankenship - 26 21.6 6.1 4.8 1.7 0.7 0.1 1.8 6.2 5.4 51 1.6 2.6 36.4 0.0 66.1 0.3 42.0 36.4
Zy'breayziah Alexander - 1 18.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 -57 -1.5 -2.5 14.3 0 75.0 -0.34 28.5 14.3
Elena Rodriguez - 1 21.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 3.0 - - - 22.2 25.0 0 - 27.8 27.8
Hillary Howard - 1 27.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 -4.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Yasmeen Yussuf - 1 21.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 0.0 0 66.7 - 43.1 0.0
Asya Williams - 25 14.3 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 3.8 1.0 -21 -0.9 -1.5 35.1 36.4 68.4 -0.14 44.5 41.5
Erin Harden - 26 16.2 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.9 2.8 2.7 -11 -0.3 -0.5 35.6 28.2 80.0 0.17 47.1 43.2
Madison Simmons - 1 18.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -2.0 -23 -0.8 -2.5 50.0 0 0 -0.06 50.0 50.0
Tabithaa Miller - 6 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 -33 -1.1 -2.0 100.0 0 0 -0.55 100.0 100.0
Kamryn Snyder - 25 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.3 - - - 44.4 0 0.0 - 42.4 44.4
Tabitha Miller - 15 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 -33 -1.1 -2.0 100.0 100.0 50.0 -0.55 121.5 150.0
Allessandria Thomas - 26 13.4 0.4 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.5 1.0 0.4 10 0.4 0.8 16.0 14.3 7.1 -0.19 17.7 20.0
DeZhenae Stewart - 23 2.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 -0.0 6 0.5 2.0 21.1 16.7 0 0.13 26.3 26.3
Taylor Orange - 16 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 -0.2 - - - 12.5 0.0 50.0 - 16.9 12.5
Gracious Wyse - 20 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.1 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Anna Newman - 21 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 - - - 25.0 0.0 50.0 - 30.7 25.0
Nevaeh Blackwell - 25 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Destiny Newkirk - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Thalia Kayiranga - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jadyn Forbes - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chloe Harris - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -26 -1.1 -0.9 0 0 0 0.47 0 0
Kathryn DeGrange - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Gracious Wise - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG