Ferrum
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 971 (#229) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 941 (#246) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.9 (#275) | HCA +2.7 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-10 | @ | William Peace | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2023-11-12 | @ | Oglethorpe | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2023-11-15 | @ | Hollins | W | 49 - 48 |
| 2023-11-19 | vs | Regent | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2023-11-26 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | W | 59 - 42 |
| 2023-11-29 | vs | Averett | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 35 - 62 |
| 2023-12-06 | vs | Lynchburg | L | 53 - 66 |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | Methodist | L | 49 - 55 |
| 2023-12-13 | @ | Maryville (TN) | L | 49 - 59 |
| 2023-12-15 | vs | Salem (NC) | W | 84 - 70 |
| 2023-12-30 | vs | Meredith | L | 44 - 56 |
| 2024-01-03 | @ | Randolph | L | 30 - 50 |
| 2024-01-05 | @ | Shenandoah | L | 32 - 54 |
| 2024-01-10 | vs | Wash. & Lee | L | 37 - 72 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Randolph-Macon | L | 49 - 51 |
| 2024-01-17 | @ | Roanoke | L | 38 - 57 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | East. Mennonite | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2024-01-24 | vs | Guilford | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Shenandoah | L | 44 - 75 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | W | 52 - 31 |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | Lynchburg | W | 67 - 64 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2024-02-14 | vs | East. Mennonite | W | 50 - 40 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 44 - 58 |
| 2024-02-20 | @ | Randolph | L | 42 - 53 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAYLA CABINESS | - | 3 | 33.7 | 17.3 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 12.7 | 6.7 | - | - | - | 39.5 | 31.6 | 94.1 | -0.03 | 57.2 | 47.4 |
| DEMEISHA CANADA | - | 2 | 21.5 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 56.2 | 0 | 0 | - | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| TRINA LEWIS | - | 3 | 33.3 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.7 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.08 | 41.1 | 38.5 |
| ALLYSON CASSELL | - | 2 | 24.0 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 8.0 | 7.0 | -61 | -4.4 | -7.4 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0.1 | 43.3 | 40.6 |
| TARYN BLANKENSHIP | - | 3 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -21 | -3.0 | -4.5 | 44.4 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.04 | 46.9 | 44.4 |
| ALLESSANDRIA THOMAS | - | 3 | 24.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 12 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 28.6 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.18 | 47.5 | 28.6 |
| BREANDRIA OLIVER | - | 2 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 18 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 40.0 | 0.15 | 36.6 | 33.3 |
| DEZHENAE STEWART | - | 3 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -46 | -6.6 | -9.3 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.29 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Kayleigh Shreffler | - | 8 | 11.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 80.0 | - | 38.3 | 32.5 |
| BREANDRIA OLIVER | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 18 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.15 | 34.7 | 50.0 |
| ERIN HARDEN | - | 3 | 17.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4.0 | -23 | -1.8 | -2.8 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.52 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Shantel Crowder | - | 11 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 35.3 | 16.7 | 75.0 | - | 42.6 | 38.2 |
| ASYA WILLIAMS | - | 3 | 16.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 4.3 | -0.3 | -29 | -3.2 | -9.4 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.01 | 13.6 | 7.7 |
| Brogan Dudley | - | 15 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| CANDELA PEREZ-CASTELLANOS | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Anna Newman | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 |
| ALLYSON CASSELL | - | 1 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -61 | -4.4 | -7.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.77 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG