Ferrum
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.6 (#37) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.751 (#320) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.722 (#269) | AdjNet +8.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.719 (#268) | AdjNet +8.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.633 (#265) | AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 71.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Warren Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | N.C. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-21 | vs | Mary Baldwin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-27 | @ | Warren Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Averett | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Lynchburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Methodist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Berry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Misericordia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Guilford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Shenandoah | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | East. Mennonite | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Randolph-Macon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Roanoke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Hampden-Sydney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Randolph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Wash. & Lee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Averett | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-16 | vs | Randolph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Roanoke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Wash. & Lee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Roanoke | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
No roster data available for this season.