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Ferrum

Season: 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Ferrum
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +7.6 (#37) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.751 (#320) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.3 More → 0.722 (#269) AdjNet +8.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.0 More → 0.719 (#268) AdjNet +8.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 71.1 More → 0.633 (#265) AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 71.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-12 vs Warren Wilson W 124 - 68
2024-11-17 vs N.C. Wesleyan W 82 - 54
2024-11-21 vs Mary Baldwin W 84 - 64
2024-11-27 @ Warren Wilson W 95 - 66
2024-12-04 vs Averett W 66 - 54
2024-12-07 vs Lynchburg W 93 - 61
2024-12-11 @ Va. Wesleyan L 45 - 65
2024-12-17 @ Methodist W 68 - 59
2024-12-29 vs Berry L 79 - 83
2024-12-30 @ Misericordia W 78 - 65
2025-01-04 vs Guilford L 59 - 63
2025-01-08 @ Shenandoah W 66 - 62
2025-01-15 @ East. Mennonite W 81 - 71
2025-01-18 vs Randolph-Macon L 65 - 73
2025-01-22 vs Roanoke L 66 - 98
2025-01-25 @ Hampden-Sydney L 67 - 78
2025-01-29 @ Randolph L 89 - 96
2025-02-01 vs Bridgewater (VA) W 90 - 52
2025-02-05 vs Wash. & Lee W 101 - 68
2025-02-08 @ Averett W 68 - 54
2025-02-16 vs Randolph W 93 - 65
2025-02-18 @ Roanoke L 73 - 75
2025-02-22 @ Wash. & Lee W 83 - 77
2025-02-26 @ Roanoke L 75 - 89

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Matt Prociak - 1 39.0 18.0 7.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 13.0 -60 -2.5 -9.8 50.0 0.0 100.0 1.04 53.3 50.0
Nick Farrar - 1 32.0 18.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 14.0 13.0 74 4.4 7.1 42.9 0.0 75.0 3.0 51.4 42.9
Jack Gallagher - 1 35.0 17.0 7.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 19.0 -62 -2.7 -8.7 58.3 66.7 50.0 0.19 66.0 66.7
Joshua Stephen - 1 36.0 17.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 20.0 2.0 -35 -2.5 -6.0 35.0 33.3 50.0 0.23 40.7 40.0
Davion Roberts - 1 38.0 13.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 -34 -4.2 -10.0 50.0 0 87.5 0.01 68.3 50.0
Shamir Taylor - 1 22.0 13.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 4.0 -16 -4.0 -21.0 41.7 20.0 100.0 -0.2 50.5 45.8
Alfredo Abel-Rivera - 20 26.6 12.8 7.3 1.1 0.6 0.5 1.9 8.9 11.4 - - - 55.6 0 64.0 - 58.7 55.6
Kevin Lazdowsky - 1 29.0 12.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 9.0 -69 -3.8 -7.9 41.7 16.7 100.0 0.56 48.2 45.8
Charles Tart III - 20 29.5 11.9 5.0 2.0 1.4 1.2 1.2 7.7 12.5 - - - 53.6 44.4 72.5 - 64.9 61.4
Arvel Chandler - 1 27.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 7.0 -82 -3.3 -11.4 50.0 60.0 0 0.51 68.8 68.8
Gerren Jones - 19 20.5 10.4 3.6 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.6 7.4 7.3 - - - 49.3 43.3 73.8 - 62.5 59.6
Dawson Edwards - 1 21.0 10.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 86 3.4 12.3 50.0 100.0 100.0 1.4 72.7 66.7
Chase Ellis - 1 21.0 10.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 56 5.1 8.1 33.3 50.0 66.7 1.32 57.9 50.0
Bobby Samples - 1 18.0 9.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 17 1.4 6.6 50.0 100.0 0 0.37 75.0 75.0
Sterling Charles - 19 25.5 8.8 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.8 8.1 4.7 65 5.9 15.4 40.5 34.0 55.0 0.17 51.9 51.3
Zavier Measmer - 20 21.4 8.5 1.9 1.7 0.7 0.0 1.1 6.2 5.4 - - - 43.2 42.7 87.5 - 62.7 59.6
Gavin Bizyak - 1 37.0 8.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 10.0 -30 -6.0 -12.3 60.0 0.0 100.0 0.03 68.0 60.0
Bryant Wall - 12 17.3 7.9 4.8 1.2 0.8 1.6 1.2 6.2 9.0 - - - 52.7 31.2 66.7 - 58.0 56.1
Tae Allen - 20 20.6 7.2 3.1 3.0 0.5 0.2 1.6 6.1 6.5 - - - 44.3 30.4 69.0 - 51.3 47.1
Caleb Farrish - 1 34.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 9 0.5 0.8 50.0 50.0 80.0 0.49 83.3 75.0
Marcus Willis Jr. - 20 18.6 6.8 2.6 2.2 1.4 0.1 1.1 7.1 5.0 7 3.5 110.5 40.1 28.4 26.7 -1.12 46.1 46.8
Gabe Proctor - 1 24.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 3.0 147 5.7 13.1 33.3 50.0 0 1.2 50.0 50.0
Ashton Troutman - 15 12.5 5.5 4.4 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.9 3.3 6.6 - - - 61.2 0.0 63.9 - 64.0 61.2
Ahmil Flowers - 8 13.8 4.6 2.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 3.9 4.1 - - - 38.7 36.4 50.0 - 47.5 45.2
James McCreary - 8 13.8 4.6 2.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 3.9 4.1 - - - 38.7 36.4 50.0 - 47.5 45.2
Elia Morandotti - 1 12.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 - - - 40.0 0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Kyree Ellis - 12 6.7 3.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 2.2 3.0 - - - 63.0 75.0 66.7 - 69.2 68.5
Ryan Nasuti - 1 9.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Luke Proctor - 1 33.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 0.0 52 3.2 4.7 14.3 50.0 0 3.03 21.4 21.4
Samuel Daily - 1 17.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 -25 -2.5 -76.1 0 0 75.0 -0.48 85.2 0
Patrick Brown - 1 23.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -67 -11.2 -58.8 0.0 0 100.0 -0.1 34.7 0.0
John Allen - 1 15.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 -48 -4.4 -22.2 50.0 0 0 -0.05 50.0 50.0
Landon Russ - 1 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 8 0.8 1.9 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.6 34.7 0.0
Eden Davis - 9 7.2 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.8 - - - 54.5 66.7 0.0 - 67.3 72.7
Braylon Collins - 19 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.1 - - - 60.0 42.9 0 - 70.0 70.0
Sam Sims - 20 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.3 - - - 26.7 0.0 50.0 - 28.3 26.7
Mac Hughes - 6 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Tucker Harvey - 19 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
EJ McArthur - 18 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3
D.J. Orloff - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -30 -7.5 -30.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.11 0.0 0.0
Rival Axselle - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 42 3.8 342.9 0 0 0 -0.87 0 0
Kody Clayton - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 38 3.2 102.4 0.0 0 0 -0.48 0.0 0.0
CJ Cormack - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15 5.0 118.0 0 0 0 -0.86 0 0
Caleb Furr - 1 8.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 -29 -2.1 -7.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.58 0.0 0.0
Enzo Geremski - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20 2.5 163.3 0 0 0 -0.88 0 0
Troy Giles - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ryan Jaworski - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29 5.8 274.0 0 0 0 -0.9 0 0
Jonah Ridgill - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chauncey Sumpter - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20 10.0 241.2 0 0 0 -1.01 0 0
Magnus Swinger - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7 0.9 111.3 0 0 0 -1.14 0 0
Cameron Taylor - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ronny Turner - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jalen Walker - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -1.5 -46.8 0 0 0 -1.1 0 0
Chase Ambrosius - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Durham - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -17 -5.7 -24.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.22 0.0 0.0
Marcus NeSmith - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -46 -6.6 -17.4 0 0 0 0.42 0 0
Lane Nester - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kendrick Robinson - 1 29.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 -18 -1.6 -6.6 0.0 0 0 -0.08 0.0 0.0
Tye Thompson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -5.3 -31.2 0 0 0 -0.33 0 0
Kellen Tyson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.2 -8.2 0 0 0 -0.84 0 0
Ellis Wright - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -49 -8.2 -67.7 0 0 0 -0.22 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG