Ferrum
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.5 (#52) | HCA +2.5 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-14 | vs | Southern Va. | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2023-11-25 | vs | Averett | W | 84 - 62 |
| 2023-11-29 | @ | Roanoke | W | 84 - 82 |
| 2023-12-02 | vs | East. Mennonite | W | 73 - 56 |
| 2023-12-06 | @ | Lynchburg | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2023-12-13 | @ | Mary Baldwin | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2023-12-18 | vs | Greensboro | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2023-12-30 | vs | Methodist | W | 89 - 48 |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Hampden-Sydney | L | 52 - 60 |
| 2024-01-06 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | W | 83 - 79 |
| 2024-01-10 | @ | Wash. & Lee | L | 79 - 85 |
| 2024-01-13 | @ | Shenandoah | L | 52 - 57 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | Randolph-Macon | L | 59 - 61 |
| 2024-01-24 | @ | Guilford | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 82 - 85 |
| 2024-01-31 | vs | Randolph | W | 82 - 67 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | L | 56 - 72 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 40 - 64 |
| 2024-02-14 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 80 - 81 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Shenandoah | W | 84 - 59 |
| 2024-02-19 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2024-02-22 | @ | Hampden-Sydney | L | 61 - 81 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jikari Johnson | - | 22 | 37.0 | 17.5 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 13.1 | 11.2 | 20 | 10.0 | 12.5 | 43.1 | 36.9 | 82.5 | 0.92 | 57.8 | 52.1 |
| Bryant Wall | - | 22 | 26.8 | 11.7 | 7.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 11.2 | - | - | - | 51.8 | 24.2 | 44.0 | - | 53.3 | 53.6 |
| Alfredo Abel-Rivera | - | 22 | 21.4 | 9.4 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 7.1 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.3 | 0.0 | 57.6 | - | 53.2 | 50.3 |
| Tahli Oden | - | 22 | 30.5 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 7.7 | 7.9 | - | - | - | 39.4 | 37.5 | 90.2 | - | 51.4 | 44.7 |
| Calvin Washington | - | 20 | 22.6 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 8.2 | 4.1 | -2 | -2.0 | -106.7 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 62.9 | -1.58 | 40.9 | 38.0 |
| Charles Tart III | - | 10 | 21.5 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 8.3 | - | - | - | 51.5 | 22.2 | 60.9 | - | 58.0 | 54.5 |
| Zavier Measmer | - | 20 | 15.4 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 36.0 | 30.8 | 70.6 | - | 47.7 | 44.9 |
| Darwin Randolph | - | 21 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 4.6 | 6.4 | - | - | - | 35.4 | 29.0 | 47.1 | - | 41.1 | 40.1 |
| Sterling Charles | - | 21 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 1.6 | -20 | -6.7 | -15.2 | 32.8 | 21.6 | 71.4 | 0.42 | 43.6 | 39.7 |
| Jayden Boyd | - | 22 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 62.7 | 63.6 |
| Marcus Neal | - | 22 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 75.0 | 50.0 | - | 90.1 | 93.8 |
| James McCreary | - | 21 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Abe Bell | - | 21 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 66.7 | - | 75.3 | 75.0 |
| Johnny Franklin | - | 22 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| EJ McArthur | - | 18 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kyree Ellis | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG