Ferrum
Model Outputs
2018-2019
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 858 (#555) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 835 (#566) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.6 (#373) | HCA +2.4 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-08 | @ | Lynchburg | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-13 | vs | Methodist | L | 58 - 77 |
| 2018-11-17 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 49 - 68 |
| 2018-11-18 | @ | Mary Washington | L | 60 - 76 |
| 2018-11-20 | @ | Randolph-Macon | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-25 | vs | Averett | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2018-11-28 | vs | East. Mennonite | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2018-12-01 | @ | Berry | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-05 | @ | Roanoke | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2018-12-15 | @ | Hampden-Sydney | W | 85 - 80 |
| 2018-12-18 | @ | Catholic | L | 52 - 67 |
| 2018-12-29 | @ | Methodist | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-02 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2019-01-05 | @ | William Peace | L | 82 - 94 |
| 2019-01-09 | vs | Randolph | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2019-01-12 | vs | Shenandoah | L | 67 - 81 |
| 2019-01-16 | vs | Guilford | L | 44 - 75 |
| 2019-01-19 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2019-01-23 | vs | Hampden-Sydney | W | 73 - 69 |
| 2019-02-02 | @ | Shenandoah | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-06 | vs | Lynchburg | L | 64 - 76 |
| 2019-02-09 | @ | Wash. & Lee | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-13 | vs | Roanoke | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2019-02-16 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | L | 75 - 77 |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.