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Ferrum

Season:
Also known as: Ferrum Panthers
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1132 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1116 (#62) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +3.0 (#202) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.761 (#176) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.9 More → 0.816 (#78) NetEff +13.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.8 More → 0.609 (#355) AdjNet +3.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.0 More → 0.616 (#356) AdjNet +4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 74.3 More → 0.566 (#361) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 74.3

2025 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2025 Roster

No roster data available for this season.