Felician
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1139 (#64) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1102 (#89) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1115 (#59) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.9 (#148) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.8 (#298) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.509 (#361) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.810 (#178) | NetEff +10.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.224 (#506) | AdjNet -10.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.226 (#508) | AdjNet -10.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.367 (#488) | AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 68.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.623 (#145) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 60.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.655 (#226) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.666 (#212) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1177 (#56) | RD 100 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | @ | Delaware St. | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Saint Anselm | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Southern N.H. | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | American Int'l | L | 41 - 65 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Jefferson | W | 81 - 51 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Pace | W | 73 - 37 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Caldwell | W | 60 - 42 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | W | 87 - 61 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Clarion | W | 79 - 76 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | W | 68 - 58 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Queens (NY) | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Saint Michael's | W | 75 - 70 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Chestnut Hill | W | 73 - 48 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Holy Family | L | 53 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 80 - 68 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Bridgeport | L | 44 - 60 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Post | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Jefferson | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Caldwell | L | 52 - 62 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | W | 85 - 52 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Post | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Mercy | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | W | 90 - 49 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Coogan | - | 1 | 39.0 | 22.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 20.0 | 37 | 2.2 | 9.4 | 31.8 | 27.3 | 83.3 | -0.09 | 44.6 | 38.6 |
| Stephanie Formby | - | 22 | 34.3 | 18.4 | 8.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 14.5 | 12.8 | 177 | 8.0 | 30.6 | 44.4 | 25.5 | 71.3 | 0.34 | 52.3 | 46.4 |
| Ane Valle | - | 22 | 32.5 | 16.1 | 7.9 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 12.4 | 16.0 | 169 | 7.7 | 28.5 | 52.6 | 21.4 | 75.0 | 0.53 | 57.1 | 53.1 |
| Jah'Nel Lewis | - | 1 | 28.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 53 | 3.1 | 12.8 | 30.8 | 14.3 | 87.5 | 1.16 | 48.4 | 34.6 |
| Neysa Aguilar | - | 1 | 37.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 30 | 1.9 | 10.3 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 1.11 | 48.5 | 44.4 |
| Noella Biduaya | - | 3 | 22.9 | 12.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 9.3 | 7.3 | -7 | -3.5 | -5.8 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 63.6 | -0.05 | 56.3 | 53.6 |
| Mckenzie Palek | - | 1 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 153 | 7.0 | 30.6 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 1.67 | 58.5 | 60.0 |
| Lilla Szilvassy | - | 22 | 26.7 | 7.8 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 10.3 | 163 | 7.4 | 34.5 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 58.2 | 4.08 | 51.4 | 49.0 |
| Deviney Jackson | - | 20 | 25.2 | 6.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 125 | 6.2 | 39.6 | 47.6 | 12.5 | 71.4 | 0.69 | 49.6 | 48.0 |
| Katherine Ritchie | - | 6 | 19.6 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 14 | 2.0 | 10.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 68.2 | -0.48 | 43.3 | 33.3 |
| Harmony Earth-Wiley | - | 1 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 23 | 1.5 | 17.7 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.48 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Karla Barreno | - | 20 | 21.8 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 129 | 6.5 | 26.9 | 34.7 | 29.0 | 50.0 | 2.67 | 43.0 | 42.1 |
| Jessaiah Reynoso | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 21 | 1.4 | 12.4 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.87 | 43.4 | 37.5 |
| Erica Egan | - | 14 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 25 | 1.9 | 27.2 | 28.6 | 27.3 | 62.5 | 0.27 | 42.8 | 39.3 |
| Phoebe Richards | - | 18 | 9.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | -5 | -0.3 | -2.4 | 39.4 | 0 | 62.5 | -1.8 | 42.4 | 39.4 |
| Adriana Perez | - | 17 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | -21 | -1.2 | -44.7 | 32.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -1.09 | 43.0 | 38.0 |
| Camille Arias | - | 4 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -10 | -2.5 | -34.2 | 12.5 | 14.3 | 50.0 | -0.59 | 25.6 | 18.8 |
| Madison Washington | - | 3 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Sonia Martinez | - | 9 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.63 | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Natalia Lucic | - | 16 | 6.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | -0.1 | -33 | -2.2 | -29.2 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -3.01 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Isabella Kyriakopoulos | - | 9 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | -0.1 | -18 | -2.0 | -49.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.45 | 30.7 | 25.0 |
| Brooke Corbett | - | 1 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | -17 | -1.0 | -6.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.64 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Shauntia Alexander | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 37 | 3.1 | 28.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Sofia Maldonado | - | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 48 | 3.0 | 20.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Shayne Eldridge | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -1.2 | -25.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Joselish De Pool | - | 4 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | -11 | -2.8 | -37.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.77 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG