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Felician

Also known as: Felician
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1143 (#23) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1235 (#23) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1210 (#8) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +12.4 (#72) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +10.1 (#158) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.711 (#207) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +29.5 More → 0.965 (#147) NetEff +29.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.8 More → 0.686 (#306) AdjNet +6.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.8 More → 0.688 (#313) AdjNet +6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 75.4 More → 0.612 (#317) AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 75.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.6 | AdjD 70.4 More → 0.698 (#74) AdjO 79.6 | AdjD 70.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.784 (#78) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.783 (#70) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 22 More → 1273 (#19) RD 102 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Daemen L 75 - 92
2025-11-15 vs Roberts Wesleyan W 95 - 90
2025-11-19 @ Mercy W 82 - 55
2025-11-22 @ American Int'l W 78 - 61
2025-11-25 vs Jefferson W 81 - 66
2025-12-03 vs Caldwell W 84 - 70
2025-12-06 @ Wilmington (DE) W 77 - 76
2025-12-13 @ Goldey-Beacom W 78 - 64
2025-12-17 vs Southern Conn. St. L 69 - 83
2025-12-21 vs Saint Anselm W 91 - 77
2025-12-31 vs Southern N.H. W 91 - 77
2026-01-03 vs Chestnut Hill W 83 - 63
2026-01-06 @ Dominican (NY) W 85 - 76
2026-01-10 vs Holy Family W 70 - 57
2026-01-17 vs Georgian Court W 120 - 69
2026-01-20 @ Bridgeport W 99 - 94
2026-01-22 vs Post W 75 - 68
2026-01-24 @ Jefferson W 87 - 69
2026-01-28 @ Caldwell L 66 - 68
2026-01-31 vs Wilmington (DE) W 72 - 68
2026-02-03 @ Post W 85 - 64
2026-02-07 vs Goldey-Beacom W 80 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jahlil Bethea - 1 27.8 22.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 13.0 -34 -1.9 -38.5 61.5 80.0 66.7 -0.44 76.8 76.9
Tre Duncan - 1 31.6 22.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 11.0 86 4.1 18.2 61.5 66.7 0 1.83 84.6 84.6
Tre Hawkins - 1 38.5 22.0 18.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 16.0 25.0 -55 -2.6 -18.4 56.2 0 80.0 0.72 60.4 56.2
DeAngelo Horn - 1 36.0 21.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 10.0 20.0 0 0.0 0.0 80.0 0.0 100.0 -0.04 86.1 80.0
Jeremiah Anderson - 15 32.9 20.2 5.9 6.2 2.5 0.9 2.1 15.5 18.1 210 10.0 36.4 52.2 28.6 86.4 3.15 58.7 54.3
Benjamin Bill - 1 28.7 20.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 11.0 21.0 46 3.8 10.9 63.6 0 66.7 0.68 66.8 63.6
Simon Percy - 1 22.3 19.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 10.0 16.0 76 3.8 45.2 80.0 100.0 100.0 1.24 87.3 85.0
Zach Philipkoski - 1 30.3 19.0 9.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 24.0 242 10.5 43.2 70.0 25.0 100.0 2.6 80.8 75.0
Akeem Taylor - 1 35.1 17.0 4.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 14.0 14 0.7 5.1 54.5 100.0 100.0 1.84 66.6 59.1
Reginald Dillard - 1 31.0 16.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 -17 -1.4 -82.1 50.0 42.9 75.0 -0.61 68.0 65.0
Justin Hemphill - 1 32.2 16.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 15.0 235 10.2 44.7 70.0 0 66.7 2.73 70.7 70.0
Taquan Williams - 1 34.4 15.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 10.0 -33 -1.6 -5.1 46.7 20.0 0.0 -3.53 48.6 50.0
Justin Perez - 1 29.8 15.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 4.0 -27 -1.3 -8.1 50.0 42.9 0 0.99 62.5 62.5
Ryan Heath - 1 25.0 14.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 13.0 198 9.0 40.2 50.0 0 75.0 2.17 60.8 50.0
Tavian Pullock - 15 22.7 13.8 1.9 1.0 0.9 0.5 1.3 10.6 6.1 157 7.8 39.1 50.9 37.7 67.9 -1.65 60.4 59.1
Jared White - 15 27.3 13.5 3.0 2.7 1.5 0.4 1.1 10.3 9.7 -18 -1.1 -13.8 45.5 38.8 77.1 1.51 58.0 53.9
Koi D. Kirk Jr. - 1 33.0 13.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 12.0 -12 -1.1 -10.7 55.6 0.0 60.0 -1.08 58.0 55.6
Julian Williams - 1 28.0 13.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 10.0 70 4.4 50.9 71.4 66.7 100.0 0.18 87.4 85.7
Moussa Camara - 10 20.1 12.5 6.7 0.8 0.4 1.3 2.0 9.0 10.7 21 1.6 7.7 56.7 0.0 74.2 -1.1 60.3 56.7
Tyler Edore - 1 20.0 12.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 13.0 0 0.0 0.0 66.7 0 100.0 1.45 77.3 66.7
Isaiah Benbow - 1 22.0 12.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 5.0 - - - 55.6 0.0 100.0 - 60.7 55.6
Jaiden Guy - 1 21.1 12.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 7.0 -14 -0.7 -4.5 44.4 0 80.0 -0.19 53.6 44.4
Tristin Harcourt - 14 30.5 10.4 10.9 1.0 1.7 1.7 1.3 6.8 17.6 185 14.2 1159.3 63.2 0.0 60.5 -0.75 64.1 63.2
Anthony Akande - 1 29.0 9.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 9.0 111 7.4 108.0 40.0 50.0 0.0 1.29 41.4 45.0
Noah Hutchins - 15 25.3 8.3 3.7 3.4 1.3 0.0 1.7 6.6 8.5 75 3.8 18.1 46.5 38.1 73.9 0.11 57.3 54.5
Malik Banks - 1 16.5 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 2.0 2 0.1 0.9 25.0 0.0 100.0 -1.87 41.0 25.0
Makai Coleman - 1 19.1 8.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 0.0 -16 -1.0 -23.1 50.0 40.0 0 -0.93 66.7 66.7
Zion Lott - 1 28.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 12.0 3.0 11 0.5 2.1 25.0 14.3 50.0 2.43 31.1 29.2
Todd Rochelle - 1 27.0 8.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 7.0 -10 -0.7 -4.5 50.0 33.3 50.0 0.2 58.1 58.3
Harry Scully - 1 23.0 7.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 -37 -1.7 -12.3 60.0 33.3 0 -1.5 70.0 70.0
Jaiden Harrison - 1 16.1 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 89 3.9 37.1 40.0 33.3 66.7 1.04 55.4 50.0
Jalen Robinson - 1 26.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 3.0 95 7.3 310.6 28.6 40.0 0 0.21 42.9 42.9
Tre Powell - 1 22.0 6.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 0.0 103 6.1 30.8 12.5 0.0 100.0 0.89 30.7 12.5
Phil Nwugwo - 1 13.6 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 135 6.1 43.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 1.4 123.0 125.0
Ej Evans - 9 16.2 5.4 2.0 1.7 1.2 0.0 0.9 5.8 3.7 28 5.6 45.4 32.7 21.1 68.8 0.36 41.5 36.5
Elijah Wood - 1 22.3 5.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 35 1.7 21.8 33.3 25.0 0 1.55 41.7 41.7
Jaiden Williams - 1 27.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 -54 -3.2 -20.0 40.0 33.3 0 -0.61 50.0 50.0
Ronnie Williams - 1 9.2 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 24 1.5 19.9 66.7 50.0 0 0.17 83.3 83.3
Deng Akok - 1 27.7 4.0 11.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 8.0 -36 -1.6 -8.4 22.2 0.0 0 -3.4 22.2 22.2
Gianni Thompson - 1 9.2 4.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 9 0.5 5.0 50.0 0.0 0 1.95 50.0 50.0
Hiram Alexander - 1 8.6 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -16 -0.8 -13.9 100.0 0 0 -0.43 100.0 100.0
Jaylin Horsey - 1 25.7 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 -3.0 -14 -0.8 -14.0 0.0 0.0 66.7 2.6 20.7 0.0
Darrius Phillips - 13 11.3 3.5 2.8 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 2.4 4.2 97 5.4 33.8 54.8 0 78.6 4.54 60.5 54.8
Peter Mauro - 2 2.7 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 - - - 100.0 100.0 75.0 - 108.7 150.0
Cape Holden - 1 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 -70 -3.2 -45.1 33.3 50.0 0 -2.57 50.0 50.0
Stanley Njekwe - 1 15.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 6 0.3 2.3 100.0 0 50.0 0.57 79.8 100.0
Justin Glover - 1 28.9 3.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -1.0 160 7.6 31.1 14.3 16.7 0.0 -0.58 20.2 21.4
Cherif Diarra - 1 22.8 2.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 -1 -0.0 -0.4 50.0 0 0.0 -1.36 41.0 50.0
Key'Sean Maynard - 1 13.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 -26 -1.9 -23.7 25.0 0.0 0 0.22 25.0 25.0
Derrick Thomas II - 1 24.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 25 1.1 5.1 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.44 11.3 0.0
Tajamir Brown - 2 7.2 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.0 0.5 0 0.0 0.0 33.3 0.0 0 -0.47 33.3 33.3
Donovan Long - 2 7.2 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.0 0.5 -10 -3.3 -22.9 33.3 0.0 0 -1.44 33.3 33.3
Denim Perkins - 1 38.1 2.0 3.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 6.0 -15 -0.8 -6.0 12.5 0.0 0 -0.17 12.5 12.5
Ayden Harrison - 1 3.2 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5 0.7 13.5 0 0 100.0 1.93 113.6 0
Zayon McRae - 2 1.7 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Jack Nieradko - 4 11.3 1.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 1.5 0.8 2.5 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 51.5 33.3
Victor Torres - 5 5.0 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 28.6 0 0 -0.44 28.6 28.6
Anthony Troncellito - 5 5.0 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 0.0 111 7.9 73.7 28.6 0 0 0.33 28.6 28.6
Christian McClease - 1 28.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kazell Stewart - 1 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -56 -2.9 -42.5 0 0 0 -1.46 0 0
Jordan Torres - 2 2.7 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Brody Limric - 1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -23 -1.2 -13.1 0 0 0 -0.0 0 0
Jaryn Bull - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -14 -0.8 -11.6 0 0 0 -1.88 0 0
Roni Oguekwe - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 23 1.9 40.7 0 0 0 -0.56 0 0
Zavion Bianchini - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 3 0.2 1.7 0 0 0 0.89 0 0
Jordan Moore - 1 1.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 -26 -2.2 -37.1 0.0 0.0 0 -2.58 0.0 0.0
Justin Allen - 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -4.0 41 3.2 60.2 0.0 0.0 0 2.15 0.0 0.0
Nakyhi Harris - 1 9.7 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 159 7.2 90.7 0.0 0.0 0 4.66 0.0 0.0
Jackson Kulik - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5 -0.3 -5.2 0 0 0 -2.68 0 0
Santana Sinvilcin - 1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 8 0.6 36.4 0.0 0 0 -1.76 0.0 0.0
Ivan Yhomby - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 7 1.8 54.5 0.0 0 0.0 0.67 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG