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Fayetteville St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Fayetteville St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1231 (#22) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1197 (#40) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1172 (#28) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +5.7 (#115) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +9.7 (#217) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.896 (#184) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.2 More → 0.900 (#139) NetEff +15.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.3 More → 0.892 (#211) AdjNet +18.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.9 More → 0.880 (#227) AdjNet +16.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 57.4 More → 0.724 (#235) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 57.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 60.1 More → 0.662 (#111) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 60.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.772 (#122) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.771 (#118) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 77 | GP 69 More → 1210 (#40) RD 77 | GP 69

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Fresno Pacific W 87 - 38
2025-11-04 @ Liberty L 49 - 78
2025-11-07 @ Towson L 37 - 100
2025-11-07 @ North Georgia W 68 - 59
2025-11-08 @ Union (TN) L 70 - 73
2025-11-09 vs California (PA) W 83 - 55
2025-11-14 @ Shippensburg W 52 - 37
2025-11-14 @ Lee L 61 - 75
2025-11-14 vs Pitt.-Johnstown W 75 - 71
2025-11-15 vs Bloomsburg L 63 - 69
2025-11-15 vs Millersville W 64 - 62
2025-11-15 vs UAH W 76 - 65
2025-11-16 vs Drury W 97 - 67
2025-11-19 vs UNC Pembroke W 70 - 58
2025-11-19 @ Northwood W 88 - 84
2025-11-19 vs Millersville L 59 - 81
2025-11-20 vs Colo. Christian W 87 - 50
2025-11-22 vs Coker L 49 - 58
2025-11-22 @ Lock Haven L 59 - 86
2025-11-22 @ Ill. Springfield W 73 - 64
2025-11-24 vs Dist. Columbia W 69 - 61
2025-11-26 vs Hillsdale W 79 - 68
2025-11-28 vs Lake Erie W 71 - 59
2025-11-29 vs P.R.-Bayamon W 104 - 49
2025-11-29 vs Clayton St. W 77 - 59
2025-12-01 vs Mansfield W 97 - 75
2025-12-01 vs Catawba W 79 - 63
2025-12-03 @ Saint Leo W 96 - 63
2025-12-03 @ West Va. Wesleyan L 58 - 89
2025-12-04 @ Purdue Northwest W 97 - 43
2025-12-04 @ Elizabeth City St. W 60 - 31
2025-12-06 @ Wayne St. (MI) L 71 - 84
2025-12-06 @ Davis & Elkins W 92 - 85
2025-12-06 vs Rollins W 80 - 48
2025-12-10 @ Concord L 53 - 62
2025-12-11 @ Virginia St. L 46 - 55
2025-12-13 vs Glenville St. L 93 - 94
2025-12-13 @ Lynn W 83 - 57
2025-12-15 @ Bluefield St. W 93 - 90
2025-12-18 vs Charleston (WV) W 68 - 60
2025-12-18 @ West Tex. A&M L 54 - 68
2025-12-19 vs Southern Wesleyan W 70 - 49
2025-12-20 vs Erskine W 106 - 56
2025-12-20 vs Alas. Anchorage W 65 - 59
2025-12-31 vs Palm Beach Atl. W 67 - 52
2026-01-03 @ Nova Southeastern L 72 - 83
2026-01-03 vs Roosevelt W 78 - 60
2026-01-03 @ West Virginia St. W 79 - 69
2026-01-05 vs Wis.-Parkside W 96 - 90
2026-01-07 vs Barry W 80 - 62
2026-01-07 @ West Liberty W 65 - 60
2026-01-10 @ Florida Tech W 72 - 52
2026-01-10 vs Bowie St. W 65 - 53
2026-01-10 @ Michigan Tech W 73 - 64
2026-01-10 vs Wheeling L 63 - 72
2026-01-12 vs Lincoln (PA) W 80 - 50
2026-01-12 @ Northern Mich. W 70 - 52
2026-01-14 vs Salem (WV) W 68 - 57
2026-01-14 vs Embry-Riddle (FL) L 49 - 79
2026-01-17 @ Johnson C. Smith W 74 - 64
2026-01-17 @ Eckerd L 54 - 58
2026-01-17 @ Point Park W 60 - 44
2026-01-17 vs Davenport W 78 - 61
2026-01-19 vs Grand Valley St. L 59 - 88
2026-01-21 @ Livingstone W 64 - 55
2026-01-27 vs Winston-Salem W 72 - 57
2026-01-29 vs Claflin W 57 - 45
2026-02-07 vs Winston-Salem L 36 - 50

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Danae Powell - 1 27.2 18.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 14.0 - - - 66.7 66.7 0 - 75.0 75.0
Jaisa Gamble - 1 18.7 18.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 13.0 - - - 66.7 0 100.0 - 69.9 66.7
Sydney Gomes - 16 33.8 17.8 8.4 4.6 3.2 0.4 2.2 14.4 17.7 383 18.2 81.3 42.9 35.8 85.5 1.41 55.2 50.2
Julie Spinelli - 18 35.8 16.8 6.7 1.0 1.1 0.4 3.4 12.9 9.7 -43 -1.9 -6.4 42.2 27.8 88.5 -0.32 55.2 47.0
Mia Riley - 17 25.2 15.7 5.4 2.8 1.7 0.3 2.4 9.6 13.8 129 7.6 42.9 43.3 37.8 85.1 1.2 62.3 51.8
Kadyn Blanchard - 17 29.3 15.4 5.5 4.2 1.9 0.1 2.8 12.8 11.5 143 8.4 43.4 44.5 25.6 80.0 0.33 53.9 49.8
Ava Marr - 1 26.7 15.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 7.0 - - - 42.9 30.0 0 - 53.6 53.6
Emilia Long - 1 30.2 14.0 4.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 11.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 54.3 50.0
Carlota Gomez Alonso - 16 19.9 13.3 6.5 2.4 1.7 0.2 3.1 10.2 10.8 236 14.8 208.5 41.5 37.7 78.5 1.68 55.3 49.4
Jenna Muha - 16 25.1 13.3 7.4 0.6 0.4 0.8 2.2 8.9 11.2 -63 -2.9 -15.4 51.4 0.0 82.7 -0.46 60.0 51.4
Mya Hiram - 17 22.2 11.2 6.6 1.5 0.9 0.2 1.9 8.9 9.6 105 6.2 41.0 50.3 29.0 76.3 0.52 56.6 53.3
Ayla Hileman - 15 27.6 11.1 3.3 2.3 0.8 0.1 2.9 9.5 5.2 51 2.7 17.6 39.2 39.1 84.8 1.12 53.0 48.6
Emma Schierbeek - 17 18.2 10.5 2.2 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.8 8.8 5.0 84 4.9 49.2 44.7 40.0 90.0 0.9 58.0 56.7
KaNyah O'Neal - 16 25.6 9.9 4.5 2.7 3.2 0.2 2.0 9.3 9.2 133 8.9 88.5 36.9 32.7 65.3 0.89 46.3 42.3
Talia Trotter - 16 29.7 9.7 4.6 5.4 2.2 0.6 3.6 9.1 9.9 141 9.4 97.1 37.9 29.7 73.9 -0.08 46.9 41.7
Lily Pereira - 16 29.1 9.3 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.9 7.0 6.9 278 13.2 71.0 49.1 40.0 80.8 0.57 60.4 57.1
Gianna Vos - 16 30.0 9.1 2.4 1.7 1.2 0.2 1.3 8.2 5.1 332 15.8 89.0 39.4 29.4 61.4 3.31 48.2 45.1
Sophie Nichols - 15 17.8 8.4 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.9 7.5 3.1 -31 -1.6 -7.3 34.5 31.6 88.9 -3.08 50.4 45.1
Monica Balistrere - 16 23.4 8.1 3.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 1.1 8.3 5.8 256 12.2 82.3 36.8 31.1 72.2 2.18 46.1 44.0
Avery Watkins - 1 26.4 8.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 0.0 - - - 27.3 0.0 66.7 - 32.5 27.3
Djessira Diawara - 1 20.6 8.0 11.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 14.0 - - - 42.9 0 50.0 - 45.7 42.9
Catalina Ion - 2 12.1 7.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 4.0 5.5 - - - 62.5 40.0 60.0 - 73.5 75.0
Kelis Carmon - 15 19.4 7.1 4.9 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.5 5.9 7.2 64 4.9 48.5 43.2 37.5 75.0 1.25 53.8 50.0
Alivia Evans - 16 22.4 6.6 1.8 0.6 0.9 0.2 1.4 5.9 2.7 100 6.7 119.0 43.6 32.3 50.0 1.12 54.8 54.8
Elle Irwin - 17 28.3 6.5 3.5 2.1 1.2 0.8 1.5 6.2 6.5 190 11.2 58.2 34.0 27.9 91.3 2.63 47.4 42.0
Taleah Stephens - 16 16.3 6.3 3.1 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.8 4.9 4.9 43 2.9 30.0 48.1 29.4 76.9 -0.71 55.8 51.3
Nia Blocton - 16 21.8 5.9 7.4 1.4 1.4 0.9 1.6 4.5 11.0 308 14.7 109.8 51.4 0 51.2 3.16 52.8 51.4
Navaeh Colon - 4 9.2 5.8 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.8 2.0 - - - 36.8 40.0 62.5 - 51.1 47.4
Lily Randgaard - 10 17.2 5.5 3.5 1.2 0.6 0.3 1.7 5.0 4.4 106 7.1 31.1 26.0 12.5 83.9 1.96 43.2 29.0
Amina Miles - 16 14.6 5.4 3.6 1.0 0.6 1.7 1.5 4.2 6.6 50 2.8 48.5 59.7 0.0 50.0 -1.43 59.5 59.7
Mandy Roman - 18 20.7 5.3 4.1 2.6 1.2 0.1 2.3 3.9 7.0 -60 -2.7 -20.1 41.4 44.4 70.8 -3.68 52.7 44.3
Laekyn Flinn - 18 16.9 4.9 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 1.2 3.6 3.8 -8 -0.4 -3.4 48.4 42.9 80.8 0.7 59.0 53.1
Samiyah Barker - 16 9.9 4.8 1.5 0.6 1.1 0.2 0.6 3.9 3.6 29 1.6 109.1 33.3 35.0 71.1 -1.41 47.7 38.9
Nyah Wilkins - 16 17.8 4.4 4.5 1.4 1.1 0.1 2.1 4.2 5.1 57 3.8 45.9 32.4 7.7 66.7 0.15 41.7 33.1
Zaria Gaskins - 18 21.9 4.2 2.1 2.4 0.6 0.0 3.1 5.0 1.2 -5 -0.2 -1.4 30.0 25.9 56.0 0.76 37.1 33.9
Nacoya Blocton - 14 11.8 4.1 2.6 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.9 3.6 3.8 79 4.4 56.5 38.0 23.5 72.7 0.05 48.6 42.0
T. Eichelberger - 1 13.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 1.0 -1 -0.1 -13.3 16.7 20.0 50.0 -0.55 29.1 25.0
Nevaeh Colon - 9 11.7 3.9 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.2 4.7 -0.7 - - - 33.3 20.0 50.0 - 40.0 39.3
Charlotte Miller - 17 20.2 3.5 2.7 1.8 1.2 0.1 2.1 4.4 2.8 41 2.4 14.1 27.0 26.5 83.3 -1.48 37.2 33.1
Ella Sabatos - 18 15.3 3.1 4.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.4 2.9 5.4 25 1.1 9.4 47.2 0.0 45.5 0.89 47.5 47.2
Grace Lyons - 17 10.2 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.5 2.8 2.4 25 1.6 18.8 39.6 34.4 80.0 -1.84 52.8 51.0
Ally Schultz - 17 12.6 2.9 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.4 2.5 3.0 23 1.4 18.4 41.9 41.2 0 0.89 58.1 58.1
Mara Mitchell - 16 9.4 2.9 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 1.1 2.6 1.9 52 3.2 35.3 46.3 37.5 75.0 0.75 52.8 50.0
Kenzie Garner - 6 6.6 2.8 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.0 17 4.2 50.8 46.7 33.3 0 0.31 56.7 56.7
Amirah Allen - 11 11.4 2.5 3.6 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.4 2.5 4.1 56 5.6 57.5 42.9 0.0 57.1 0.3 45.0 42.9
Arantxa Concepcion - 10 7.1 2.4 1.3 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.6 1.3 2.4 -8 -0.6 -26.3 84.6 0 66.7 -1.24 83.8 84.6
Emily Ridderstrom - 15 10.5 2.3 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.5 1.2 83 4.2 55.8 23.7 24.0 76.9 -0.53 38.9 31.6
Jashontae Harris - 13 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.6 42 3.2 55.7 23.1 20.0 78.6 -0.13 42.0 30.8
Claire Erickson - 17 15.4 2.0 2.9 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.6 2.9 3.9 -69 -3.8 -16.7 28.0 13.3 66.7 -0.6 32.3 30.0
Hedda Koehne - 1 18.5 2.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ashlyn Rean - 1 14.5 2.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 17.0 0.0
Aloni Oliver - 1 15.2 2.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 25.8 0.0
Dakota Daniello - 11 5.7 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.6 0.2 16 1.1 58.3 31.0 16.7 100.0 -0.25 35.1 32.8
Riley Nelson - 18 13.8 1.7 0.8 1.2 0.4 0.0 1.3 1.3 1.6 -11 -0.3 -2.4 56.5 25.0 50.0 1.52 58.4 58.7
Rebecca Kaba - 15 7.6 1.7 2.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.7 2.6 1 0.1 4.0 46.2 0 50.0 0.45 46.5 46.2
Sydney Snyder - 16 8.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.8 -44 -2.3 -30.0 40.0 47.1 0 -2.3 60.0 60.0
Caylen Spano - 2 10.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.0 2 1.0 5.0 50.0 0 50.0 0.51 52.1 50.0
Alyssa Wirth - 11 5.5 1.4 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.3 2.3 -17 -1.5 -22.6 50.0 0.0 25.0 -1.36 47.6 50.0
Melena Glysch - 14 6.2 1.2 1.6 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.6 40 2.9 47.0 33.3 0.0 100.0 1.61 38.1 33.3
Caitlyn Sullivan - 11 4.8 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.2 -39 -2.8 -86.3 45.5 0.0 100.0 -1.09 50.5 45.5
Zaria Gool - 14 4.6 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.4 2 0.1 8.1 28.6 28.6 50.0 0.4 35.1 33.3
Karlee Hawkins - 7 5.2 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.4 -12 -2.0 -152.4 75.0 0 0 0.45 75.0 75.0
Laila Lewis - 8 8.5 0.9 2.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.1 28 3.1 119.6 15.4 33.3 50.0 0.19 23.7 19.2
Tanjaneeka Eichelberger - 11 5.8 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 2.0 -0.9 -1 -0.1 -13.3 13.6 17.6 0 -0.55 20.5 20.5
Amore Kirkland - 8 4.6 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.5 4 0.6 4.7 40.0 50.0 0 -0.31 60.0 60.0
Josie Cross - 6 2.5 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 -0.3 -65 -5.4 -62.0 20.0 0.0 100.0 -2.42 34.0 20.0
Raegan Ogle - 12 3.8 0.5 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.8 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 33.3 0 0 1.08 33.3 33.3
Sa'Niyah Council - 3 2.7 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.3 -1.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Morgan Taylor - 5 2.6 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 -0.4 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Nevah Colon - 1 11.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Alyssa Jessup - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chiquora Miles - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -106 -5.6 -39.4 0 0 0 -0.14 0 0
Aijah Evans - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100 6.7 119.0 0 0 0 1.12 0 0
Morelia Chavez - 1 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Mia McLaughlin - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG