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Fayetteville St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Fayetteville St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1016 (#168) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1005 (#185) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +9.5 (#91) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.712 (#206) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.0 More → 0.730 (#106) NetEff +9.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.5 More → 0.750 (#268) AdjNet +9.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.5 More → 0.753 (#270) AdjNet +9.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 70.8 More → 0.659 (#268) AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 70.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Lock Haven W 87 - 66
2024-11-09 @ Clarion L 68 - 70
2024-11-13 vs UNC Pembroke W 76 - 75
2024-11-16 @ Tuskegee W 64 - 54
2024-11-20 @ Augusta W 79 - 62
2024-11-26 vs USC Aiken W 85 - 80
2024-11-30 @ Virginia St. L 82 - 94
2024-12-07 vs Virginia Union W 71 - 58
2024-12-14 @ USC Aiken L 61 - 69
2024-12-17 vs Elizabeth City St. W 75 - 65
2024-12-19 vs Virginia St. L 60 - 73
2024-12-21 vs Bluefield St. W 80 - 73
2025-01-02 vs USC Beaufort W 85 - 63
2025-01-04 @ Bowie St. L 66 - 69
2025-01-07 @ Lincoln (PA) L 57 - 58
2025-01-13 vs Johnson C. Smith W 68 - 58
2025-01-16 @ Shaw W 80 - 70
2025-01-20 @ Winston-Salem W 80 - 65
2025-01-25 @ Claflin W 67 - 66
2025-01-28 vs Livingstone W 65 - 42
2025-01-30 vs Carolina Christian W 132 - 51
2025-02-04 vs Shaw W 84 - 60
2025-02-06 @ Johnson C. Smith W 72 - 55
2025-02-10 @ Virginia Union W 68 - 61
2025-02-13 vs Winston-Salem W 73 - 56
2025-02-15 @ Livingstone W 78 - 69
2025-02-19 vs Claflin L 87 - 89
2025-02-22 vs Carolina Christian W 135 - 65
2025-02-26 vs Virginia Union W 69 - 66
2025-02-28 vs Bluefield St. L 65 - 71
2025-03-15 vs Fairmont St. W 74 - 67
2025-03-16 @ West Liberty L 69 - 89

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tairell Fletcher - 30 33.8 17.2 3.1 4.3 1.0 0.1 2.2 14.4 8.9 110 3.9 7.3 45.6 38.6 81.7 -0.33 53.4 48.7
Caleb Simmons - 30 31.8 16.1 8.9 1.4 1.6 0.2 2.6 11.2 14.4 291 9.7 19.3 49.1 34.6 81.4 3.16 59.8 53.1
Ezekiel Cannedy - 31 30.6 14.6 2.5 1.2 0.8 0.1 1.5 13.3 4.5 205 5.3 12.5 35.9 34.0 88.8 1.38 50.8 46.5
Jalen McCoy - 1 27.0 14.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 15.0 3.0 -142 -4.9 -14.4 40.0 0.0 66.7 0.51 42.9 40.0
Mason Grant - 1 13.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 8.0 7.0 -94 -4.3 -26.2 62.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 59.2 62.5
Myles Pierre - 31 22.5 9.3 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.0 6.3 6.1 77 3.7 9.5 48.7 47.1 90.7 1.27 65.8 61.3
Rafael Rubel - 1 29.0 9.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 12.0 -189 -6.8 -22.1 42.9 50.0 0 0.09 64.3 64.3
Javon Floyd - 31 21.7 4.6 4.4 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.0 2.9 7.4 147 5.9 13.4 56.2 0 71.7 1.58 62.0 56.2
Isaiah Ray - 31 16.7 4.0 3.5 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.6 3.5 5.2 154 5.7 14.2 47.7 47.2 75.0 0.51 56.6 55.6
Kaleb Siler - 1 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -136 -10.5 -45.9 66.7 0 0 -0.02 66.7 66.7
Jayden Beloti - 31 8.5 3.7 2.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.6 2.8 3.5 13 0.9 4.7 55.2 12.5 68.0 0.3 58.2 55.7
Anthony Latty - 30 15.2 2.6 3.5 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.4 1.7 5.4 74 3.5 10.5 60.8 0.0 64.0 0.75 62.9 60.8
Marcus Elliott - 30 6.1 2.3 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.2 1 0.1 0.4 53.1 38.7 60.0 0.22 65.5 65.3
Mysta Goodloe - 29 7.9 2.2 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.8 3.1 19 1.2 7.1 40.4 37.5 66.7 0.26 53.1 49.0
Chedlet Delva - 1 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -76 -2.5 -23.9 100.0 0 0 0.65 100.0 100.0
Simeon German - 1 28.0 2.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 9.0 -77 -3.5 -10.5 0.0 0 100.0 0.03 25.8 0.0
Isaiah Sutherland - 30 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.6 -8 -0.9 -17.1 52.2 36.4 50.0 -0.59 60.7 60.9
Tobias Shifflet - 30 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.0 -5 -0.7 -46.5 25.0 40.0 0 -1.2 37.5 37.5
Mathias Billings - 29 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 -29 -3.2 -174.9 50.0 0 0 -1.03 50.0 50.0
Jordan Foster - 20 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Tyler Gill - 25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Gerardo Santiago - 19 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Dwight Canady, Jr. - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 22 1.2 4.6 0 0 0 0.45 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG