Fairmont St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1073 (#83) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1063 (#113) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.3 (#43) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.862 (#203) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.931 (#49) | NetEff +20.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.871 (#234) | AdjNet +16.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.875 (#231) | AdjNet +16.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.742 (#215) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 63.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leslie Huffman | - | 32 | 29.9 | 17.7 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 11.9 | 15.0 | 66 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 47.8 | 41.8 | 83.1 | -0.22 | 62.0 | 55.5 |
| Jalen Gibbs | - | 32 | 22.2 | 12.7 | 7.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 9.2 | 12.2 | 114 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 56.4 | 0 | 55.0 | 0.75 | 57.4 | 56.4 |
| Alyssa Deangelo | - | 2 | 37.5 | 12.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 12.5 | 3.0 | 120 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 28.0 | 22.2 | 80.0 | 0.3 | 40.8 | 32.0 |
| Aaliyah Brunny | - | 32 | 20.5 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7.4 | 6.1 | 107 | 3.3 | 5.6 | 38.1 | 21.4 | 75.4 | 0.38 | 48.0 | 43.4 |
| Madeline Huffman | - | 32 | 22.6 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 118 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 36.2 | 34.5 | 85.1 | 0.95 | 51.2 | 46.4 |
| Leila Jones | - | 32 | 16.8 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 112 | 2.6 | 4.4 | 41.1 | 34.2 | 76.0 | 0.8 | 54.0 | 52.0 |
| Gabby Reep | - | 32 | 17.8 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 5.3 | 120 | 2.8 | 4.5 | 52.2 | 39.1 | 52.2 | 0.91 | 56.9 | 56.2 |
| Zaniya Murray | - | 32 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 59 | 1.4 | 3.7 | 56.7 | 33.3 | 65.1 | 0.55 | 62.1 | 58.3 |
| Bre Wilson | - | 32 | 21.2 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 97 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 33.7 | 25.0 | 76.2 | 0.87 | 45.1 | 40.7 |
| Mackenzie Swayne | - | 31 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 7 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 35.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.06 | 36.4 | 35.3 |
| Emily Starn | - | 32 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -0.0 | -14 | -0.9 | -8.5 | 26.3 | 30.8 | 0.0 | -0.21 | 33.7 | 36.8 |
| Carrie Rhodes | - | 31 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -81 | -2.1 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.44 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Natalie Daugherty | - | 31 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 0.03 | 26.0 | 25.0 |
| Laynie Beresford | - | 3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Olivia Toland | - | 29 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 7.3 | 0.0 |
| Natalie Daughtery | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lainey Beresford | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG