Fairmont St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1197 (#31) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1232 (#27) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1160 (#31) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.7 (#108) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.5 (#278) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.862 (#203) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.801 (#186) | NetEff +10.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.871 (#234) | AdjNet +16.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.875 (#231) | AdjNet +16.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.742 (#215) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 63.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.603 (#167) | AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 63.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.690 (#186) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.688 (#186) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1223 (#33) | RD 108 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Lock Haven | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Seton Hill | W | 77 - 76 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | California (PA) | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 78 - 60 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Indiana (PA) | L | 53 - 97 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Shepherd | W | 83 - 63 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Davis & Elkins | W | 86 - 53 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 90 - 78 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Concord | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Charleston (WV) | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | West Liberty | W | 76 - 54 |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | West Virginia St. | W | 84 - 66 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Point Park | W | 80 - 56 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Salem (WV) | W | 75 - 55 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Davis & Elkins | W | 82 - 61 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Frostburg St. | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Glenville St. | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Charleston (WV) | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | West Virginia St. | W | 69 - 55 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leslie Huffman | - | 8 | 31.6 | 21.9 | 7.4 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 15.6 | 16.0 | -17 | -2.1 | -9.0 | 40.0 | 30.8 | 83.1 | -1.71 | 56.0 | 46.4 |
| Gabby Reep | - | 19 | 32.0 | 14.4 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 10.6 | 12.4 | 109 | 5.2 | 20.3 | 51.0 | 26.2 | 69.9 | 2.5 | 58.3 | 55.0 |
| Haylen Cook | - | 19 | 27.8 | 11.2 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 9.2 | 8.2 | 123 | 5.9 | 29.1 | 38.5 | 31.5 | 74.3 | 0.06 | 51.3 | 45.1 |
| Leila Jones | - | 19 | 25.6 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 12 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 29.5 | 26.9 | 69.2 | 1.0 | 42.8 | 38.6 |
| Ryan Davis | - | 19 | 23.2 | 9.1 | 4.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 9.1 | 3.8 | 46 | 2.2 | 12.6 | 42.4 | 0 | 53.1 | 1.47 | 44.4 | 42.4 |
| Alanna Tate | - | 19 | 24.6 | 8.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 23 | 1.0 | 8.1 | 38.6 | 24.1 | 52.0 | 1.49 | 42.7 | 40.6 |
| Zaniya Murray | - | 19 | 22.7 | 8.4 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 7.8 | 6.5 | 101 | 4.8 | 31.8 | 41.9 | 27.8 | 59.6 | 1.65 | 46.8 | 43.6 |
| Mackenzie Swayne | - | 19 | 14.8 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 69 | 3.3 | 32.1 | 46.0 | 0 | 64.3 | 1.78 | 51.3 | 46.0 |
| Hadley Horne | - | 18 | 11.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | -32 | -1.6 | -31.3 | 22.0 | 11.1 | 56.2 | -1.32 | 30.2 | 24.4 |
| Amiel Jones | - | 10 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | -0.3 | 115 | 6.4 | 17.6 | 12.5 | 10.0 | 50.0 | 1.02 | 17.8 | 15.6 |
| A'Mauria Riep | - | 5 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Carrie Rhodes | - | 5 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -30 | -1.5 | -9.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Emily Starn | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG