Fairmont St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1144 (#22) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1131 (#48) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.1 (#65) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.809 (#156) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.780 (#87) | NetEff +12.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.828 (#213) | AdjNet +13.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.831 (#218) | AdjNet +13.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.727 (#206) | AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 72.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Jolinder | - | 32 | 32.9 | 15.7 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 11.5 | 11.3 | -77 | -1.8 | -5.1 | 50.7 | 23.4 | 73.4 | 2.1 | 58.4 | 54.1 |
| Andre Harris | - | 32 | 28.6 | 14.4 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 10.5 | 12.0 | -16 | -0.4 | -1.2 | 51.3 | 19.2 | 66.2 | -0.14 | 57.0 | 53.4 |
| Rudy Fitzgibbons III | - | 32 | 26.9 | 12.3 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 9.7 | 6.8 | 58 | 1.9 | 4.6 | 40.2 | 38.3 | 83.8 | 2.22 | 57.3 | 53.4 |
| Taj Thweatt | - | 28 | 20.7 | 11.0 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 8.9 | 9.5 | 55 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 46.0 | 27.6 | 69.2 | 1.11 | 54.2 | 50.8 |
| Tommy Williams | - | 32 | 33.0 | 10.2 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 7.0 | 11.4 | 71 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 45.3 | 38.3 | 89.3 | 1.28 | 63.7 | 58.1 |
| Sam Emich | - | 29 | 21.3 | 9.1 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 53 | 2.4 | 6.1 | 47.6 | 41.2 | 71.7 | 1.07 | 63.9 | 62.0 |
| Tyheil Peterson | - | 31 | 18.5 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.1 | 5.8 | -28 | -1.1 | -7.1 | 45.3 | 38.7 | 74.1 | 0.71 | 62.3 | 58.8 |
| CJ Little | - | 32 | 15.3 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 57 | 2.7 | 17.9 | 48.7 | 32.3 | 77.5 | 0.17 | 57.7 | 53.0 |
| Marcel Gardner | - | 32 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | -24 | -2.7 | -19.9 | 46.4 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.2 | 52.9 | 51.8 |
| Anthony Spatafore | - | 32 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.2 | 27.7 | 61.5 | 63.6 | 100.0 | -1.19 | 91.5 | 88.5 |
| Callum Crossman | - | 32 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 16 | 1.2 | 150.0 | 31.2 | 0 | 71.4 | -1.21 | 39.3 | 31.2 |
| Harrison Linkous | - | 32 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 8 | 1.0 | 138.1 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.46 | 36.8 | 40.0 |
| Brayden Thomason | - | 32 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 34.5 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.46 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Jacob Maier | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jaidyn West | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mojo Chisler | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Praise Chukwudozie | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zycheus Dobbs | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Hugo Lilja | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| George Mangas | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG