Fairmont St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1144 (#22) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1230 (#25) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1210 (#9) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.8 (#40) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +23.4 (#39) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.809 (#156) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.930 (#178) | NetEff +24.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.828 (#213) | AdjNet +13.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.831 (#218) | AdjNet +13.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.727 (#206) | AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.878 (#5) | AdjO 90.6 | AdjD 68.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.892 (#12) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.893 (#7) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1324 (#7) | RD 108 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 98 - 56 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Edinboro | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Daemen | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Slippery Rock | W | 93 - 89 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | West Virginia St. | W | 96 - 74 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Davis & Elkins | W | 93 - 79 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 104 - 54 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Glenville St. | W | 88 - 75 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Concord | L | 87 - 95 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Waynesburg | W | 120 - 54 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Charleston (WV) | L | 63 - 85 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Wheeling | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | West Liberty | W | 99 - 89 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Point Park | W | 97 - 57 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Salem (WV) | W | 98 - 68 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Davis & Elkins | W | 90 - 72 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Frostburg St. | W | 101 - 84 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Glenville St. | W | 101 - 86 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | West Virginia St. | W | 121 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Hanna | - | 1 | 35.1 | 23.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | -9 | -0.5 | -2.0 | 61.5 | 100.0 | 80.0 | -1.14 | 75.7 | 73.1 |
| Boubacar Djigo | - | 1 | 34.5 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 26.0 | 25 | 1.4 | 8.5 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 2.07 | 77.0 | 77.8 |
| Damon Givner | - | 1 | 26.9 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | -14 | -0.8 | -4.5 | 50.0 | 57.1 | 83.3 | -1.83 | 71.7 | 66.7 |
| Landon Butler | - | 1 | 28.5 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 162 | 7.4 | 47.0 | 57.1 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 2.31 | 63.8 | 64.3 |
| Hayden Abdullah | - | 1 | 21.3 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 41 | 1.9 | 20.7 | 77.8 | 0 | 57.1 | 0.03 | 74.5 | 77.8 |
| Brendan Hoffman | - | 1 | 20.2 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 11 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0.69 | 97.6 | 91.7 |
| Peter Lattos | - | 1 | 20.7 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 62 | 3.1 | 41.0 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 83.3 | 1.5 | 68.7 | 61.1 |
| Kraig Gilbert | - | 1 | 36.2 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 46 | 3.3 | 30.3 | 66.7 | 60.0 | 0 | 1.29 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Bryce Baez | - | 1 | 31.8 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 15 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 45.5 | 20.0 | 80.0 | 0.8 | 56.8 | 50.0 |
| Amaan Sandhu | - | 1 | 24.2 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 69 | 3.8 | 26.4 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 1.05 | 84.5 | 87.5 |
| Micah Young | - | 1 | 18.2 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | -53 | -2.6 | -14.4 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 83.3 | 2.48 | 55.4 | 45.0 |
| Ike Herster | - | 1 | 32.1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 64.3 | 65.0 |
| Mekhi Reynolds | - | 1 | 35.8 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 26 | 1.2 | 5.7 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.4 | 42.9 | 36.7 |
| David Jolinder | - | 16 | 27.6 | 13.9 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 9.6 | 11.7 | 75 | 3.8 | 22.3 | 52.9 | 42.6 | 73.8 | -1.82 | 64.7 | 62.4 |
| Miguel Martinez | - | 16 | 23.2 | 13.8 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 11.3 | 10.1 | 30 | 1.5 | 10.3 | 40.9 | 34.6 | 83.3 | 2.27 | 56.6 | 53.9 |
| Drey Carter | - | 11 | 27.9 | 13.5 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 8.2 | 14.4 | 22 | 1.7 | 35.2 | 54.4 | 35.7 | 70.8 | -0.33 | 62.8 | 57.2 |
| CJ Meredith | - | 15 | 21.6 | 13.0 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 8.8 | 10.4 | 106 | 5.6 | 35.2 | 44.7 | 44.0 | 78.7 | 3.12 | 63.9 | 59.8 |
| Isaac James | - | 1 | 31.7 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 46 | 2.1 | 15.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.51 | 41.0 | 33.3 |
| Rowan Carmichael | - | 1 | 22.7 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 9 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 33.3 | 30.0 | 50.0 | 0.21 | 46.6 | 45.8 |
| Sheick Samoura | - | 1 | 21.3 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -19 | -0.9 | -8.1 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -2.36 | 67.1 | 66.7 |
| RJ Sledge | - | 1 | 27.5 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -16 | -0.7 | -6.1 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 85.7 | -0.97 | 68.1 | 50.0 |
| Evan Berger | - | 1 | 34.3 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 73 | 3.5 | 15.9 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 1.33 | 46.8 | 35.0 |
| Tyheil Peterson | - | 15 | 23.9 | 10.7 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 6.5 | 9.1 | 126 | 6.6 | 38.5 | 53.1 | 45.8 | 92.0 | 4.15 | 73.4 | 69.9 |
| Myles Montgomery | - | 1 | 23.6 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 183 | 8.3 | 46.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.09 | 57.9 | 33.3 |
| Jamie Muldowney | - | 1 | 19.1 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 120 | 5.7 | 42.3 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -0.06 | 51.4 | 42.9 |
| Brady Mayo | - | 1 | 27.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 13 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 1.1 | 51.4 | 35.7 |
| Rene Diop | - | 16 | 21.3 | 8.8 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 10.9 | 120 | 6.0 | 49.1 | 64.6 | 0 | 69.6 | 3.52 | 66.0 | 64.6 |
| Ibrahim Abdulmateen-Robinson | - | 1 | 35.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 59 | 2.8 | 22.2 | 37.5 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.42 | 42.9 | 37.5 |
| Joey Brown | - | 15 | 18.3 | 7.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 92 | 4.8 | 44.7 | 42.4 | 27.3 | 79.1 | -1.65 | 53.2 | 45.7 |
| Zycheus Dobbs | - | 16 | 19.8 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 8.2 | 95 | 4.8 | 42.7 | 52.2 | 20.0 | 77.8 | 0.2 | 59.8 | 53.0 |
| Mack Staunch | - | 1 | 11.1 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -31 | -1.3 | -55.6 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.34 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Dante Spadafora | - | 1 | 17.3 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 89 | 4.2 | 31.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 0.51 | 42.5 | 30.0 |
| Elijah Hill | - | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Xavier Harris | - | 1 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.89 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Anthony Spatafore | - | 13 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 8 | 0.5 | 20.8 | 60.9 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -1.88 | 81.1 | 80.4 |
| Khamani Wertz | - | 1 | 23.3 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -31 | -2.2 | -21.5 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.77 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Aiden Davis | - | 1 | 12.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 113 | 5.1 | 45.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.9 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Cooper Kent | - | 1 | 16.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 1.1 | 58.8 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 0.39 | 23.7 | 20.0 |
| Cameron Williams | - | 1 | 16.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 136 | 6.2 | 40.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 2.34 | 23.7 | 20.0 |
| Josiah Rickards | - | 1 | 21.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 12 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.87 | 14.5 | 0.0 |
| Caleb Thomas | - | 6 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 100.0 | 25.0 | - | 68.5 | 78.6 |
| Terrance Pankey Jr | - | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 36.2 | 0.0 |
| George Mangas | - | 7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | -2 | -0.3 | -11.3 | 62.5 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.16 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Jaidyn West | - | 12 | 6.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 15 | 1.1 | 20.7 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.37 | 40.5 | 40.5 |
| Hugo Lilja | - | 11 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 54 | 3.9 | 81.4 | 35.7 | 22.2 | 100.0 | 1.53 | 47.0 | 42.9 |
| Brayden Thomason | - | 10 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -1.43 | 50.8 | 50.0 |
| Connor Gower | - | 6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 | 300.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.51 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Harrison Linkous | - | 7 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 1.2 | 51.2 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.07 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Praise Chukwudozie | - | 6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.6 | 57.1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.36 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Cole Lambert | - | 1 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -7 | -0.4 | -3.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.93 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Savier McCall | - | 1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -0.3 | -2.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Eldon Terry | - | 1 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 18 | 0.9 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.41 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Blake Berry | - | 6 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.6 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jacob Maier | - | 6 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | -0.3 | 5 | 1.0 | 95.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Max Hurray | - | 1 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 76 | 3.6 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.87 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Enire Bowens | - | 1 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 0.7 | 40.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Dakari Bradford | - | 1 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -4.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.84 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| John Mobley | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -20 | -2.5 | -168.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Rocco Spadafora | - | 1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -0.9 | -29.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG