FDU-Florham
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1003 (#239) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 932 (#424) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 872 (#635) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.6 (#327) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.3 (#548) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.218 (#574) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.306 (#414) | NetEff -5.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.053 (#599) | AdjNet -25.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.044 (#601) | AdjNet -26.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.188 (#598) | AdjO 59.7 | AdjD 75.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.290 (#610) | AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.227 (#578) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.230 (#584) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 885 (#430) | RD 98 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | John Jay | W | 62 - 54 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | W | 78 - 65 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Stockton | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Drew | L | 46 - 60 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Marymount (VA) | L | 60 - 63 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | William Smith | L | 63 - 65 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | St. Joseph's (L.I.) | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | King's (PA) | L | 52 - 72 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Delaware Valley | L | 55 - 63 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Misericordia | L | 31 - 69 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Lebanon Valley | L | 48 - 64 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Stevens | L | 55 - 72 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Arcadia | L | 41 - 74 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | King's (PA) | L | 75 - 83 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Delaware Valley | W | 86 - 70 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | DeSales | L | 47 - 66 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Tighe | - | 19 | 30.9 | 12.4 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 12.5 | 8.6 | 11 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 37.6 | 32.9 | 72.7 | 1.68 | 46.0 | 43.0 |
| Christina Centeno | - | 19 | 24.9 | 9.4 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 9.9 | 1.9 | -24 | -1.3 | -5.6 | 38.6 | 24.7 | 66.7 | -1.12 | 45.1 | 43.7 |
| My'Shayla Clancy | - | 19 | 17.1 | 8.6 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 7.4 | 7.7 | -28 | -1.5 | -11.4 | 52.1 | 0.0 | 40.5 | 1.91 | 51.4 | 52.1 |
| Bianca Sode | - | 19 | 29.7 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 9.8 | 8.6 | 46 | 2.4 | 10.0 | 31.6 | 0.0 | 55.8 | -0.23 | 34.5 | 31.6 |
| Christina Sullivan | - | 19 | 28.1 | 7.1 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 6.6 | 8.0 | -56 | -2.9 | -14.8 | 36.8 | 12.5 | 77.4 | -1.97 | 45.2 | 37.2 |
| Julia Vazquez | - | 14 | 22.9 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 1.9 | -11 | -0.7 | -2.5 | 25.7 | 40.0 | 85.2 | -0.8 | 37.8 | 28.4 |
| Gabrielle Walker | - | 19 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 5.5 | 1.5 | -20 | -1.1 | -7.6 | 25.7 | 13.6 | 59.4 | -3.85 | 31.9 | 27.1 |
| Alexa Chapman | - | 18 | 14.6 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 33 | 1.8 | 16.9 | 40.6 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.1 | 41.6 | 40.6 |
| Kristen Mellon | - | 16 | 10.1 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 40 | 2.5 | 76.7 | 31.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.83 | 34.9 | 31.9 |
| Allie Costantino | - | 5 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.3 | 28.8 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.32 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Lucia Giangregorio | - | 18 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | -0.6 | 15 | 0.8 | 20.5 | 25.8 | 6.2 | 16.7 | 0.88 | 26.8 | 27.4 |
| Mai Purse | - | 15 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | -12 | -0.9 | -18.8 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.83 | 62.1 | 66.7 |
| Allie Constantino | - | 2 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Briana Sierra | - | 6 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -1.0 | -11 | -1.8 | -98.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.47 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Briana Flatt | - | 4 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -9 | -2.2 | -103.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.87 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hayden Bresnan | - | 4 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 8 | 2.7 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.48 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jasmine Relovsky | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Riley Flynn | - | 4 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -0.8 | -3 | -0.8 | -23.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG