Evergreen St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 949 (#334) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 861 (#499) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 966 (#542) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.7 (#614) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.040 (#675) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.005 (#562) | NetEff -36.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.072 (#568) | AdjNet -22.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.069 (#563) | AdjNet -22.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.227 (#557) | AdjO 54.2 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.324 (#589) | AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 64.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.180 (#610) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.204 (#601) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 842 (#461) | RD 290 | GP 2 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Puget Sound | L | 49 - 88 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Pacific Lutheran | L | 47 - 64 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Glenzel | - | 2 | 37.8 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 11.5 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 39.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 49.0 | 39.1 |
| McKenna Jacobs | - | 2 | 30.5 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 8.5 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 47.1 | 0.0 | 85.7 | - | 54.8 | 47.1 |
| Bayleigh Harder | - | 2 | 32.9 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 26.9 | 21.4 | 83.3 | - | 38.4 | 32.7 |
| Jesselle Victo Casti | - | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Amaya Afatasi | - | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Amaialyn Cepeda | - | 1 | 33.5 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Jesselle VictoCastillo | - | 1 | 37.9 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | -9.0 | - | - | - | 6.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | - | 9.4 | 10.0 |
| Amaialyne Cepeda | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Habiba Adam | - | 1 | 30.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Gina Brown | - | 2 | 19.6 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG