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Evansville

Season:
Also known as: Evansville Purple Aces
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 1987 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 791 (#332) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 790 (#330) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 880 (#685) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -8.8 (#290) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +2.5 (#334) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.119 (#351) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -40.2 More → 0.006 (#359) NetEff -40.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.1 More → 0.199 (#291) AdjNet -12.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.1 More → 0.197 (#291) AdjNet -12.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 77.0 More → 0.317 (#283) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 77.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 76.4 More → 0.319 (#684) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 76.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.499 (#342) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.444 (#371) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 157 | GP 31 More → 875 (#562) RD 157 | GP 31

1987 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

1987 Roster

No roster data available for this season.