Eureka
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 598 (#606) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 502 (#608) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 649 (#730) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -37.7 (#451) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -41.6 (#701) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.084 (#641) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#24) | NetEff +75.8 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.004 (#570) | NetEff -39.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.013 (#657) | AdjNet -37.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.013 (#653) | AdjNet -36.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.100 (#659) | AdjO 52.0 | AdjD 76.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.047 (#722) | AdjO 46.1 | AdjD 79.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.016 (#720) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.017 (#721) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 453 (#587) | RD 108 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Wis.-Oshkosh | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Wis.-Stevens Point | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Illinois Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Hanover | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Wilmington (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Blackburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | McKendree | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Millikin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lyon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-12 | @ | Illinois Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Webster | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Spalding | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Principia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Spalding | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-26 | vs | Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Westminster (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Lyon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | MUW | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Collins | - | 12 | 32.6 | 12.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 5.9 | 15.9 | -3.7 | -289 | -19.3 | -71.7 | 28.3 | 19.8 | 76.7 | -2.63 | 36.0 | 32.5 |
| Courtney Hart | - | 14 | 26.5 | 11.3 | 11.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 9.0 | 14.1 | -246 | -13.7 | -417.8 | 54.0 | 0 | 56.4 | -0.38 | 55.2 | 54.0 |
| Lailah Hadley | - | 10 | 37.5 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 5.9 | 14.2 | 1.7 | -242 | -13.4 | -59.4 | 28.2 | 15.6 | 46.2 | -2.76 | 32.3 | 30.6 |
| Sierra Garcia-Reisch | - | 8 | 29.9 | 9.8 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 12.0 | 3.8 | - | - | - | 29.2 | 20.3 | 62.5 | -2.34 | 37.8 | 35.4 |
| Allysa Taylor | - | 8 | 37.3 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 4.2 | 11.8 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 26.6 | 21.6 | 66.7 | -2.56 | 36.3 | 32.4 |
| Miracle Armstrong | - | 13 | 32.5 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 4.2 | 12.0 | 0.2 | -245 | -16.3 | -72.7 | 28.2 | 14.9 | 46.2 | -2.07 | 33.3 | 30.4 |
| Railynn Brown | - | 18 | 30.8 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 8.7 | 1.6 | -341 | -15.5 | -109.6 | 28.8 | 24.8 | 100.0 | -0.97 | 38.3 | 37.5 |
| Abigail Martinez | - | 12 | 23.7 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 8.6 | -2.6 | -192 | -12.8 | -62.0 | 18.4 | 7.9 | 53.8 | -2.66 | 22.1 | 19.9 |
| Brooklyn Bowman | - | 17 | 25.1 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 4.8 | -314 | -15.0 | -113.6 | 39.5 | 0.0 | 54.2 | -5.41 | 43.9 | 39.5 |
| Kenna Newton | - | 12 | 14.9 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | -0.2 | -137 | -9.1 | -68.3 | 8.8 | 5.0 | 35.7 | -2.23 | 14.9 | 10.3 |
| Miyala Gallegos | - | 1 | 10.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Daniesha Oliver | - | 5 | 9.3 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.88 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG