Erskine
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 871 (#334) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 801 (#355) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -20.3 (#304) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.029 (#592) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.046 (#352) | NetEff -21.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.017 (#679) | AdjNet -35.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.016 (#678) | AdjNet -35.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.108 (#680) | AdjO 54.7 | AdjD 78.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-07 | @ | Furman | L | 31 - 100 |
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Warren Wilson | W | 83 - 64 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Georgia College | L | 48 - 80 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Kennesaw St. | L | 44 - 94 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | USC Aiken | L | 67 - 79 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | UNC Pembroke | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | North Greenville | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Barton | L | 68 - 85 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Lander | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Young Harris | L | 36 - 68 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 69 - 80 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Lees-McRae | L | 78 - 85 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Wofford | L | 35 - 107 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 48 - 70 |
| 2025-01-07 | @ | Edward Waters | L | 46 - 61 |
| 2025-01-09 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 66 - 56 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Francis Marion | L | 51 - 79 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Shorter | L | 53 - 69 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | JWU (Charlotte) | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | Belmont Abbey | L | 42 - 72 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Chowan | L | 47 - 77 |
| 2025-02-06 | vs | Shorter | L | 46 - 72 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | North Greenville | W | 59 - 54 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 57 - 81 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | King (TN) | L | 45 - 71 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | L | 60 - 81 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Converse | L | 49 - 70 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Young Harris | L | 52 - 87 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albany Wilson | - | 28 | 23.1 | 12.7 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 13.9 | 3.3 | -54 | -1.4 | -1.7 | 34.4 | 20.4 | 61.1 | -0.32 | 40.6 | 36.9 |
| Ahrianna Scott | - | 29 | 26.5 | 9.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 12.6 | -1.7 | -80 | -2.0 | -2.3 | 25.1 | 21.5 | 59.4 | -0.95 | 34.2 | 32.9 |
| Keziyah Sanders | - | 29 | 21.3 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.9 | 0.1 | -22 | -0.8 | -0.7 | 30.0 | 12.5 | 59.3 | -0.09 | 35.3 | 30.4 |
| Jakayla Lorick | - | 28 | 15.4 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 4.7 | -43 | -1.3 | -2.0 | 48.2 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.65 | 50.8 | 48.2 |
| Mariah Moody | - | 24 | 18.7 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 5.2 | 1.3 | -22 | -1.1 | -1.5 | 28.0 | 19.1 | 50.0 | 0.11 | 35.3 | 33.2 |
| Janelle Carter | - | 16 | 16.4 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 3.3 | -5 | -0.4 | -0.5 | 26.3 | 8.3 | 68.8 | 0.35 | 31.3 | 27.0 |
| Genesis Young | - | 27 | 9.1 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 3.6 | -74 | -2.1 | -4.2 | 39.2 | 0.0 | 62.8 | -0.87 | 45.7 | 39.2 |
| Ansley Gartrell | - | 27 | 16.2 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.5 | 0 | 51.6 | -0.04 | 42.2 | 39.5 |
| Arin Moore | - | 28 | 13.7 | 2.9 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 4.6 | 45 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 33.7 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 0.51 | 40.1 | 33.7 |
| Ianna Odulaja | - | 29 | 16.7 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 2.4 | -57 | -2.3 | -3.8 | 27.6 | 15.8 | 50.0 | -0.46 | 35.7 | 29.3 |
| Alexis Burce | - | 21 | 10.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 26 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 24.1 | 26.7 | 69.2 | 0.42 | 36.0 | 31.5 |
| Aricka Moore | - | 28 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 3.2 | -36 | -1.6 | -3.7 | 42.9 | 0 | 64.3 | -0.57 | 46.2 | 42.9 |
| Reilly Ward | - | 17 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | -0.3 | -9 | -0.8 | -2.3 | 18.4 | 17.1 | 85.7 | -0.55 | 31.6 | 26.3 |
| Kiki Gregory | - | 27 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | -14 | -1.1 | -4.1 | 31.0 | 14.3 | 42.1 | -0.03 | 37.5 | 34.5 |
| Suniyah Rollins | - | 11 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | -0.5 | -42 | -3.2 | -7.0 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.05 | 27.9 | 11.1 |
| Saniyah McIntyre | - | 11 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | -29 | -3.2 | -5.9 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.7 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Talasha Walker | - | 27 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | -0.9 | -38 | -1.4 | -3.9 | 10.7 | 11.1 | 50.0 | -0.64 | 15.6 | 14.3 |
| Deanna Jeffcoat | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Haley Jones | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51 | 10.2 | 23.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Owens | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG