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Erskine

Also known as: Erskine
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 757 (#513) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 692 (#529) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 771 (#686) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -30.2 (#368) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -24.3 (#622) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.029 (#592) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +38.4 More → 0.998 (#58) NetEff +38.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +25.7 More → 0.981 (#87) NetEff +25.7
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.9 More → 0.569 (#256) NetEff +1.9
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -26.8 More → 0.021 (#441) NetEff -26.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -35.1 More → 0.017 (#679) AdjNet -35.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -35.0 More → 0.016 (#678) AdjNet -35.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 54.7 | AdjD 78.0 More → 0.108 (#680) AdjO 54.7 | AdjD 78.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 81.4 More → 0.119 (#687) AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 81.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.073 (#669) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.079 (#674) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 21 More → 695 (#500) RD 112 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ USC Upstate - Incomplete score
2025-11-17 @ Presbyterian - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Toccoa Falls - Incomplete score
2025-11-24 vs Newberry - Incomplete score
2025-11-26 @ Lander - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Emmanuel (GA) - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Ferrum - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 @ Mercer - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 @ Eckerd - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Fla. Southern - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Southern Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Mount Olive - Incomplete score
2026-01-13 @ Shorter - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 vs Warren Wilson - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs UNC Pembroke - Incomplete score
2026-01-19 @ Lees-McRae - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Francis Marion - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 vs Barton - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Emmanuel (GA) - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Young Harris - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs North Greenville - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Albany Wilson - 18 30.2 17.8 7.0 1.5 2.8 0.1 4.3 18.6 6.4 - - - 31.6 23.5 69.9 -0.9 41.2 35.1
Ahrianna Scott - 18 33.2 10.8 2.7 2.0 1.5 0.0 3.1 12.8 1.1 - - - 30.3 23.4 75.9 -5.13 39.8 37.2
Kaela Ward - 14 32.7 10.4 5.4 2.2 1.9 0.1 3.1 7.9 9.0 -148 -7.0 -23.4 42.7 39.3 74.5 0.52 54.4 47.7
Haley Jones - 5 18.6 8.6 3.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 2.2 9.6 0.4 41 2.6 15.5 35.4 22.2 55.6 0.16 41.4 39.6
Janiya Adams - 18 22.4 7.2 2.7 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.7 9.3 0.9 26 3.7 148.6 26.9 21.7 60.0 -2.79 34.9 31.4
Jakayla Lorick - 8 22.6 4.9 5.9 0.1 1.0 0.6 1.2 3.6 7.6 - - - 51.7 0 39.1 -1.08 49.8 51.7
Arin Moore - 3 16.7 4.7 8.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 3.3 9.3 - - - 40.0 0 75.0 4.3 51.8 40.0
Genesis Young - 15 18.8 4.1 7.0 0.5 0.9 0.6 1.3 3.5 8.3 - - - 43.4 0 60.0 -2.32 47.7 43.4
Imani Hardin - 6 17.9 3.5 1.5 1.3 2.2 0.0 1.7 4.8 2.0 - - - 20.7 20.0 70.0 -1.7 31.4 24.1
Suniyah Rollins - 17 14.7 2.6 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.9 3.5 -0.6 - - - 28.8 18.8 62.5 0.22 36.0 33.9
Jayla Dendy - 18 12.0 2.5 3.4 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.9 2.4 3.3 - - - 39.5 33.3 71.4 -0.33 45.8 40.7
Talasha Walker - 16 17.5 1.6 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.1 1.4 3.2 0.2 - - - 19.6 14.8 20.0 -4.95 23.5 23.5
Courtney Baldwin - 14 9.8 1.0 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.4 1.6 2.1 - - - 26.1 16.7 50.0 -3.1 29.3 28.3
Kerri O'Shields - 1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Braeden Johnson - 1 2.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 25 1.2 9.0 0 0 0 0.39 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG