Erskine
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 757 (#513) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 692 (#529) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 771 (#686) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -30.2 (#368) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -24.3 (#622) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.029 (#592) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.998 (#58) | NetEff +38.4 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.981 (#87) | NetEff +25.7 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.569 (#256) | NetEff +1.9 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.021 (#441) | NetEff -26.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.017 (#679) | AdjNet -35.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.016 (#678) | AdjNet -35.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.108 (#680) | AdjO 54.7 | AdjD 78.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.119 (#687) | AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 81.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.073 (#669) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.079 (#674) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 695 (#500) | RD 112 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | @ | USC Upstate | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | @ | Presbyterian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Toccoa Falls | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Newberry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Lander | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Mercer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Eckerd | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Fla. Southern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Mount Olive | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Shorter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Warren Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | UNC Pembroke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Lees-McRae | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Francis Marion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Barton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Young Harris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | North Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albany Wilson | - | 18 | 30.2 | 17.8 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 4.3 | 18.6 | 6.4 | - | - | - | 31.6 | 23.5 | 69.9 | -0.9 | 41.2 | 35.1 |
| Ahrianna Scott | - | 18 | 33.2 | 10.8 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 12.8 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 30.3 | 23.4 | 75.9 | -5.13 | 39.8 | 37.2 |
| Kaela Ward | - | 14 | 32.7 | 10.4 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 7.9 | 9.0 | -148 | -7.0 | -23.4 | 42.7 | 39.3 | 74.5 | 0.52 | 54.4 | 47.7 |
| Haley Jones | - | 5 | 18.6 | 8.6 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 9.6 | 0.4 | 41 | 2.6 | 15.5 | 35.4 | 22.2 | 55.6 | 0.16 | 41.4 | 39.6 |
| Janiya Adams | - | 18 | 22.4 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 9.3 | 0.9 | 26 | 3.7 | 148.6 | 26.9 | 21.7 | 60.0 | -2.79 | 34.9 | 31.4 |
| Jakayla Lorick | - | 8 | 22.6 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 3.6 | 7.6 | - | - | - | 51.7 | 0 | 39.1 | -1.08 | 49.8 | 51.7 |
| Arin Moore | - | 3 | 16.7 | 4.7 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 9.3 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 4.3 | 51.8 | 40.0 |
| Genesis Young | - | 15 | 18.8 | 4.1 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 8.3 | - | - | - | 43.4 | 0 | 60.0 | -2.32 | 47.7 | 43.4 |
| Imani Hardin | - | 6 | 17.9 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 4.8 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 20.7 | 20.0 | 70.0 | -1.7 | 31.4 | 24.1 |
| Suniyah Rollins | - | 17 | 14.7 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 3.5 | -0.6 | - | - | - | 28.8 | 18.8 | 62.5 | 0.22 | 36.0 | 33.9 |
| Jayla Dendy | - | 18 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 3.3 | - | - | - | 39.5 | 33.3 | 71.4 | -0.33 | 45.8 | 40.7 |
| Talasha Walker | - | 16 | 17.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 19.6 | 14.8 | 20.0 | -4.95 | 23.5 | 23.5 |
| Courtney Baldwin | - | 14 | 9.8 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 | - | - | - | 26.1 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -3.1 | 29.3 | 28.3 |
| Kerri O'Shields | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Braeden Johnson | - | 1 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG