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Erskine

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Erskine
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 750 (#526) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 682 (#533) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 771 (#686) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -29.5 (#298) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -24.3 (#622) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.029 (#592) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +38.4 More → 0.998 (#58) NetEff +38.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +25.7 More → 0.981 (#87) NetEff +25.7
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.9 More → 0.569 (#256) NetEff +1.9
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -26.8 More → 0.021 (#441) NetEff -26.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -35.1 More → 0.017 (#679) AdjNet -35.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -35.0 More → 0.016 (#678) AdjNet -35.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 54.7 | AdjD 78.0 More → 0.108 (#680) AdjO 54.7 | AdjD 78.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 81.4 More → 0.119 (#687) AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 81.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.074 (#669) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.080 (#673) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 22 More → 693 (#506) RD 111 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ USC Upstate L 54 - 76
2025-11-17 @ Presbyterian L 50 - 86
2025-11-19 vs Toccoa Falls W 86 - 48
2025-11-24 vs Newberry L 57 - 68
2025-11-26 @ Lander L 57 - 72
2025-12-03 vs Emmanuel (GA) L 52 - 63
2025-12-13 @ Ferrum L 61 - 83
2025-12-17 @ Mercer L 37 - 91
2025-12-19 @ Eckerd L 46 - 102
2025-12-20 @ Fla. Southern L 56 - 106
2026-01-03 vs Southern Wesleyan L 71 - 82
2026-01-10 @ Mount Olive L 57 - 104
2026-01-13 @ Shorter L 51 - 89
2026-01-15 vs Warren Wilson L 82 - 84
2026-01-17 vs UNC Pembroke L 67 - 69
2026-01-19 @ Lees-McRae L 62 - 94
2026-01-21 vs Francis Marion L 60 - 91
2026-01-23 vs Barton L 52 - 76
2026-01-28 @ Emmanuel (GA) L 64 - 110
2026-02-04 @ Young Harris L 45 - 86
2026-02-07 vs North Greenville W 71 - 66

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Albany Wilson - 21 29.1 16.7 7.1 1.3 2.8 0.1 4.0 17.9 6.1 - - - 31.1 24.3 68.5 - 40.4 34.7
Ahrianna Scott - 21 32.5 10.2 2.7 2.2 1.5 0.0 3.1 13.0 0.4 - - - 28.1 21.9 74.2 - 37.2 34.9
Kaela Ward - 17 30.4 9.2 4.8 2.0 1.6 0.2 3.0 7.0 7.8 -148 -7.0 -23.4 41.2 40.6 75.4 0.7 53.8 46.6
Haley Jones - 7 18.0 7.4 3.3 0.4 0.9 0.0 2.0 9.1 0.9 41 2.6 15.5 31.2 20.0 53.8 -0.18 37.3 35.2
Janiya Adams - 21 22.5 7.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.9 9.0 0.6 26 3.7 148.6 27.4 21.8 59.1 -0.7 35.1 31.8
Jakayla Lorick - 11 23.0 4.9 5.5 0.5 1.4 0.7 1.4 3.6 7.9 - - - 47.5 0 41.0 - 47.2 47.5
Genesis Young - 18 19.1 4.6 6.5 0.4 1.0 0.7 1.3 3.9 7.9 - - - 45.1 0 54.5 - 47.9 45.1
Arin Moore - 5 15.2 3.2 6.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.2 7.2 - - - 45.5 0 66.7 - 53.5 45.5
Imani Hardin - 8 15.7 2.8 1.2 1.1 1.6 0.0 1.5 4.1 1.1 - - - 18.2 18.2 57.1 - 28.1 21.2
Suniyah Rollins - 20 14.5 2.6 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.1 2.0 3.2 -0.8 - - - 30.8 18.2 60.0 - 37.5 35.4
Jayla Dendy - 21 11.5 2.5 3.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.9 2.4 3.0 - - - 39.2 33.3 66.7 - 45.0 40.2
Talasha Walker - 19 16.4 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.5 2.9 -0.1 - - - 18.2 12.9 20.0 - 21.9 21.8
Courtney Baldwin - 15 9.6 0.9 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.4 1.5 1.9 - - - 26.1 16.7 50.0 - 29.3 28.3
Kerri O'Shields - 1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Braeden Johnson - 1 2.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 25 1.2 9.0 0 0 0 1.12 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG