Erskine
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 882 (#390) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 830 (#404) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.9 (#297) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.103 (#525) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.176 (#361) | NetEff -14.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.088 (#628) | AdjNet -20.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.087 (#628) | AdjNet -20.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.207 (#623) | AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 79.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Payne | - | 1 | 26.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | -46 | -1.5 | -15.1 | 41.7 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -0.1 | 66.9 | 58.3 |
| Christian Monroe | - | 30 | 24.8 | 12.9 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 9.6 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 45.0 | 37.7 | 76.7 | - | 58.9 | 55.0 |
| Grant Lovette | - | 30 | 25.8 | 12.6 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 9.1 | 10.8 | 81 | 3.9 | 18.8 | 49.6 | 35.5 | 66.0 | 1.07 | 59.3 | 56.6 |
| Cameron Bleshoy | - | 1 | 34.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 175 | 5.0 | 26.3 | 62.5 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.95 | 65.2 | 62.5 |
| Karl Chavis | - | 1 | 29.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -10 | -0.4 | -1.5 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0.3 | 68.3 | 66.7 |
| Cole Deptula | - | 1 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.41 | 50.6 | 44.4 |
| Jayden Byrd | - | 31 | 15.7 | 9.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 6.7 | 5.1 | 50 | 2.5 | 8.3 | 44.2 | 33.1 | 79.5 | 1.14 | 58.7 | 53.8 |
| Carl Cleveland | - | 1 | 34.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 79 | 2.1 | 11.0 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.73 | 29.3 | 18.2 |
| Morgan Rashed | - | 1 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | -13 | -0.5 | -2.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.38 | 62.1 | 33.3 |
| Moses Cheek | - | 30 | 14.5 | 6.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -92 | -4.8 | -23.0 | 39.8 | 32.5 | 82.4 | 0.07 | 52.8 | 51.1 |
| Max Peeler | - | 31 | 21.8 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.8 | 0.5 | 12 | 0.4 | 5.6 | 26.4 | 27.1 | 59.1 | 0.13 | 40.4 | 39.2 |
| Zion Brown | - | 29 | 12.9 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4.6 | 5.2 | -69 | -3.5 | -44.3 | 43.6 | 33.8 | 54.2 | -0.05 | 54.3 | 53.8 |
| Ja'Hiem Handy | - | 28 | 20.1 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 8.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 52.5 | 38.5 | 61.9 | 1.13 | 58.4 | 55.1 |
| Jalen Jennings | - | 31 | 12.4 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 11 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 43.9 | 24.3 | 70.0 | 0.1 | 52.2 | 50.4 |
| Roderick Gardner | - | 1 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 51.5 | 66.7 |
| John Maxwell | - | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 26 | 1.7 | 27.3 | 25.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.24 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Corey Gaines | - | 28 | 11.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2.8 | -12 | -0.8 | -5.6 | 39.4 | 35.1 | 55.6 | -0.16 | 50.1 | 48.6 |
| William Bush | - | 31 | 10.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 2.5 | -69 | -5.3 | -131.5 | 35.1 | 24.3 | 41.7 | -0.57 | 41.3 | 40.9 |
| Malik Shepherd | - | 28 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | -2 | -0.2 | -3.9 | 48.6 | 46.4 | 75.0 | -0.56 | 67.1 | 66.2 |
| Makayl Rakestraw | - | 31 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | -25 | -3.6 | -16.5 | 50.0 | 45.0 | 83.3 | -0.09 | 69.8 | 67.3 |
| Adin Daniels | - | 20 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 32 | 2.0 | 11.8 | 30.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | -1.42 | 32.9 | 33.3 |
| Tony Webb | - | 30 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.6 | 30.9 | 38.5 | 37.5 | 100.0 | -1.23 | 56.7 | 55.8 |
| Davis Byrnes | - | 30 | 6.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 41 | 3.7 | 12.8 | 34.5 | 20.0 | 44.4 | 0.63 | 41.0 | 39.7 |
| Larry Mitchell | - | 28 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | -28 | -3.1 | -59.2 | 71.4 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.6 | 71.0 | 71.4 |
| Mike Baker | - | 26 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -4.5 | 27.3 | 25.0 | 64.3 | -0.4 | 39.1 | 29.5 |
| Rob Spaulding IV | - | 30 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 10.3 | 38.9 | 14.3 | 100.0 | -1.23 | 46.6 | 41.7 |
| KD Gordon | - | 28 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 20.0 | 33.3 | - | 38.8 | 38.9 |
| Valerian Bruce | - | 19 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 20.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.23 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Josh Smith | - | 30 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | -0.2 | 21 | 1.8 | 3876.9 | 9.5 | 5.6 | 66.7 | -1.8 | 15.7 | 11.9 |
| Ty Bennett | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Owens | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 1.2 | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.64 | 0 | 0 |
| Brayden Baker | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Hosey | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -27 | -1.7 | -20.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Kelvin Hunter | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jensen Linton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG