Emporia St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1000 (#163) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 998 (#179) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.6 (#152) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.403 (#399) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.212 (#301) | NetEff -10.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.769 (#287) | AdjNet +10.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.795 (#281) | AdjNet +11.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.657 (#286) | AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 63.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Horyna | - | 28 | 35.3 | 14.2 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 11.8 | 10.6 | -74 | -2.6 | -2.4 | 43.9 | 27.0 | 73.3 | 0.16 | 51.2 | 45.5 |
| Anna Vaaler | - | 1 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | -101 | -2.3 | -3.1 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.17 | 47.2 | 37.5 |
| Gracie Gilpin | - | 29 | 33.7 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 10.1 | 5.8 | -153 | -3.9 | -3.9 | 38.8 | 38.2 | 86.7 | -0.24 | 56.6 | 52.9 |
| Kami Wadsworth | - | 1 | 27.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | -18 | -0.6 | -0.5 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.15 | 47.0 | 36.4 |
| Jayla Cornelius | - | 29 | 16.9 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 9.1 | 3.1 | -62 | -2.1 | -3.5 | 39.5 | 32.8 | 75.0 | -0.14 | 47.6 | 43.3 |
| Danielle Minsaas | - | 1 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | -41 | -1.1 | -1.8 | 27.3 | 33.3 | 25.0 | -0.12 | 35.3 | 36.4 |
| Alexis Rose | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -109 | -2.5 | -3.0 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.03 | 45.7 | 35.7 |
| Makenzie Mcdaniel | - | 2 | 18.0 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -78 | -2.2 | -4.1 | 70.0 | 0 | 20.0 | -0.66 | 61.5 | 70.0 |
| Elizabeth Tjaden | - | 29 | 21.6 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 7.1 | 3.9 | -87 | -2.2 | -3.4 | 33.0 | 29.7 | 68.6 | -0.45 | 45.8 | 43.4 |
| Ayla Brown | - | 1 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -87 | -2.1 | -2.0 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.15 | 60.8 | 37.5 |
| Aby Phipps | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Macey Gandee | - | 28 | 17.0 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 5.2 | -113 | -3.0 | -4.7 | 44.1 | 0 | 76.2 | -0.19 | 46.7 | 44.1 |
| Janiyah Alvarez | - | 26 | 24.9 | 4.3 | 6.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 7.5 | -79 | -3.0 | -3.9 | 32.5 | 22.2 | 68.9 | -0.45 | 40.6 | 34.2 |
| Gracie Traphagen | - | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -28 | -0.9 | -1.7 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.89 | 51.5 | 50.0 |
| Faith Paramore | - | 10 | 11.1 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 24.3 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.14 | 42.6 | 32.4 |
| Megan Fannin | - | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.03 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Allie Ostermann | - | 29 | 14.2 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 | -46 | -1.6 | -3.3 | 27.6 | 28.2 | 100.0 | -0.24 | 42.8 | 41.4 |
| Makenna Clark | - | 22 | 7.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 0.9 | -15 | -0.7 | -2.8 | 26.9 | 27.6 | 55.0 | 0.06 | 41.7 | 34.6 |
| Amaya Blake | - | 9 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 32 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 38.1 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 0.05 | 44.4 | 40.5 |
| Macy Smith | - | 28 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | -41 | -1.8 | -5.1 | 28.9 | 24.2 | 66.7 | -0.56 | 39.9 | 37.8 |
| Addie Kirmer | - | 29 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -10 | -0.4 | -2.8 | 41.7 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -0.23 | 46.2 | 45.8 |
| Aaliyah Smith | - | 28 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.08 | 32.2 | 33.3 |
| Emma Mitchell | - | 12 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kaylin Noonan | - | 23 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -57 | -2.9 | -10.8 | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Kenadi Rising | - | 5 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hannah Harpe | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Madison Wuebben | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.37 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brooklyn Harpe | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Brecli Honner | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Landree Wilson | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -42 | -1.2 | -4.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Drew Buslee | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Landry DuBeau | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tayah Leenderts | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tylieea Wallace | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lexsey Dewitt | - | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.16 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| player player | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG