Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1468 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1427 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1180 (#26) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +17.4 (#3) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +15.8 (#160) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.852 (#23) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.898 (#7) | AdjNet +18.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.899 (#7) | AdjNet +18.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.794 (#4) | AdjO 87.1 | AdjD 72.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.814 (#20) | AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.846 (#61) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.842 (#49) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1313 (#15) | RD 108 | GP 18 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Huntingdon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Berry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Chris. Newport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | TCNJ | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Bates | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Hampden-Sydney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Oglethorpe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Brandeis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | NYU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | CWRU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | UChicago | W | 97 - 94 |
| 2026-02-13 | vs | Brandeis | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2026-02-15 | vs | NYU | W | 103 - 80 |
| 2026-02-20 | @ | CWRU | W | 101 - 93 |
| 2026-02-22 | @ | Carnegie Mellon | W | 87 - 77 |
| 2026-02-25 | vs | Carnegie Mellon | W | 94 - 70 |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | Rochester (NY) | W | 93 - 89 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.
Emory Eagles