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Emmanuel (GA)

Also known as: Emmanuel (GA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 996 (#279) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1022 (#249) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 929 (#584) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -6.1 (#226) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -0.3 (#372) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.520 (#353) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.2 More → 0.643 (#233) NetEff +4.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.8 More → 0.340 (#456) AdjNet -5.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.6 More → 0.341 (#456) AdjNet -5.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 64.2 More → 0.408 (#462) AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 64.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 63.2 More → 0.500 (#360) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 63.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.433 (#419) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.450 (#394) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 23 More → 920 (#338) RD 100 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-01 vs Middle Georgia L 41 - 49
2025-11-06 vs Augusta W 58 - 35
2025-11-14 vs North Georgia L 59 - 76
2025-11-15 vs Georgia College W 62 - 49
2025-11-19 vs USC Aiken W 71 - 68
2025-11-22 vs Converse W 81 - 72
2025-11-25 vs Young Harris L 52 - 57
2025-12-03 @ Erskine W 63 - 52
2025-12-06 @ North Greenville W 57 - 53
2025-12-09 vs Toccoa Falls W 82 - 24
2025-12-13 @ Chowan W 52 - 51
2025-12-16 vs Shorter L 46 - 56
2025-12-19 vs Rollins W 70 - 62
2026-01-03 @ Mount Olive L 64 - 72
2026-01-10 vs Ferrum L 67 - 76
2026-01-13 @ Young Harris L 40 - 62
2026-01-17 vs Francis Marion L 60 - 64
2026-01-22 vs Belmont Abbey L 58 - 63
2026-01-28 vs Erskine W 110 - 64
2026-02-04 @ Shorter L 59 - 61
2026-02-07 vs UNC Pembroke L 70 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Naomi Roberts - 21 36.2 18.2 5.0 2.4 1.1 0.9 4.4 13.5 9.6 -10 -0.5 -2.3 46.5 22.4 74.5 1.0 55.2 48.8
Natalee Goff - 21 26.7 12.9 6.8 1.8 0.7 0.4 2.3 11.6 8.7 -13 -0.7 -3.2 40.6 31.1 76.9 0.45 50.8 47.3
Kate Jackson - 21 28.0 9.4 7.8 2.2 2.2 0.5 2.5 8.2 11.4 12 0.6 2.9 42.4 32.2 71.1 0.78 51.4 48.0
Carmen Cabello-Rivera - 21 14.9 7.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.2 1.0 6.5 3.1 -20 -1.0 -12.7 40.9 37.9 50.0 -0.51 54.1 54.0
Lizzie Teasley - 21 34.0 5.2 3.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 1.6 6.2 2.7 -26 -1.3 -5.6 29.0 21.5 81.0 -1.55 39.2 35.5
Hannah Harris - 21 35.3 4.8 3.9 4.0 0.8 0.0 2.8 5.6 5.0 -3 -0.1 -0.7 29.1 25.0 82.1 0.22 38.7 32.9
Kaleigh Calloway - 3 4.6 4.3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.0 2.7 - - - 44.4 0.0 100.0 - 58.0 44.4
Jaleia Robinson - 15 7.5 2.3 2.5 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.9 3.3 19 1.2 54.9 44.8 27.3 38.5 0.27 49.0 50.0
Aaliyah Anderson - 3 7.5 2.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -0.3 -2 -2.0 -6.1 66.7 0 100.0 -0.3 77.3 66.7
Julie Azeltine - 18 7.1 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.7 -2 -0.1 -1.6 38.1 33.3 66.7 1.24 52.9 50.0
Emma Leonard - 10 14.5 1.2 3.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.1 2.0 2.6 -33 -4.1 -34.2 20.0 20.0 33.3 -1.08 26.5 25.0
Breelyn Wood - 10 5.1 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.4 0.8 -17 -2.4 -20.9 28.6 0.0 42.9 -1.03 32.2 28.6
Riley Dean - 20 4.1 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.1 -10 -0.5 -17.3 37.5 0 75.0 0.3 46.1 37.5
Emmie Moore - 3 3.8 0.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Alyssa Mullholand - 1 4.7 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jessica Lucas - 1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG