Emmanuel (GA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 996 (#279) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1022 (#249) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 929 (#584) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.1 (#226) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.3 (#372) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.520 (#353) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.643 (#233) | NetEff +4.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.340 (#456) | AdjNet -5.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.341 (#456) | AdjNet -5.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.408 (#462) | AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 64.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.500 (#360) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 63.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.433 (#419) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.450 (#394) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 920 (#338) | RD 100 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | vs | Middle Georgia | L | 41 - 49 |
| 2025-11-06 | vs | Augusta | W | 58 - 35 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | North Georgia | L | 59 - 76 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Georgia College | W | 62 - 49 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | USC Aiken | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Converse | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Young Harris | L | 52 - 57 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Erskine | W | 63 - 52 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | North Greenville | W | 57 - 53 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Toccoa Falls | W | 82 - 24 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Chowan | W | 52 - 51 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Shorter | L | 46 - 56 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Rollins | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Mount Olive | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Ferrum | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Young Harris | L | 40 - 62 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Francis Marion | L | 60 - 64 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Belmont Abbey | L | 58 - 63 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Erskine | W | 110 - 64 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Shorter | L | 59 - 61 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 70 - 75 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naomi Roberts | - | 21 | 36.2 | 18.2 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 13.5 | 9.6 | -10 | -0.5 | -2.3 | 46.5 | 22.4 | 74.5 | 1.0 | 55.2 | 48.8 |
| Natalee Goff | - | 21 | 26.7 | 12.9 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 11.6 | 8.7 | -13 | -0.7 | -3.2 | 40.6 | 31.1 | 76.9 | 0.45 | 50.8 | 47.3 |
| Kate Jackson | - | 21 | 28.0 | 9.4 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.2 | 11.4 | 12 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 42.4 | 32.2 | 71.1 | 0.78 | 51.4 | 48.0 |
| Carmen Cabello-Rivera | - | 21 | 14.9 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 3.1 | -20 | -1.0 | -12.7 | 40.9 | 37.9 | 50.0 | -0.51 | 54.1 | 54.0 |
| Lizzie Teasley | - | 21 | 34.0 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 6.2 | 2.7 | -26 | -1.3 | -5.6 | 29.0 | 21.5 | 81.0 | -1.55 | 39.2 | 35.5 |
| Hannah Harris | - | 21 | 35.3 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 5.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 29.1 | 25.0 | 82.1 | 0.22 | 38.7 | 32.9 |
| Kaleigh Calloway | - | 3 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 58.0 | 44.4 |
| Jaleia Robinson | - | 15 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 19 | 1.2 | 54.9 | 44.8 | 27.3 | 38.5 | 0.27 | 49.0 | 50.0 |
| Aaliyah Anderson | - | 3 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -0.3 | -2 | -2.0 | -6.1 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.3 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Julie Azeltine | - | 18 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.6 | 38.1 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 1.24 | 52.9 | 50.0 |
| Emma Leonard | - | 10 | 14.5 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2.6 | -33 | -4.1 | -34.2 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 33.3 | -1.08 | 26.5 | 25.0 |
| Breelyn Wood | - | 10 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | -17 | -2.4 | -20.9 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 42.9 | -1.03 | 32.2 | 28.6 |
| Riley Dean | - | 20 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | -10 | -0.5 | -17.3 | 37.5 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.3 | 46.1 | 37.5 |
| Emmie Moore | - | 3 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alyssa Mullholand | - | 1 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jessica Lucas | - | 1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG