Emmanuel (GA)
Model Outputs
2022-2023
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1257 (#23) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1156 (#66) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1152 (#20) | HCA +72 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.4 (#114) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.5 (#97) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.775 (#41) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.791 (#95) | AdjNet +11.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.795 (#97) | AdjNet +11.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.673 (#97) | AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 67.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.680 (#44) | AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 67.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.757 (#60) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.758 (#49) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1232 (#27) | RD 112 | GP 31 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-11 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2022-11-12 | vs | Young Harris | L | 68 - 69 |
| 2022-11-19 | @ | Georgia College | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2022-11-20 | @ | Clayton St. | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2022-11-22 | vs | Lees-McRae | W | 90 - 65 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | UNC Pembroke | L | 56 - 72 |
| 2022-12-05 | @ | Chowan | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2022-12-07 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 82 - 80 |
| 2022-12-10 | vs | King (TN) | W | 89 - 81 |
| 2022-12-17 | vs | Saint Martin's | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2022-12-18 | vs | Western Wash. | W | 105 - 98 |
| 2022-12-19 | vs | St. Edward's | W | 62 - 59 |
| 2022-12-31 | @ | Augusta | L | 77 - 91 |
| 2023-01-04 | vs | Barton | L | 71 - 89 |
| 2023-01-10 | @ | Erskine | W | 85 - 63 |
| 2023-01-14 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 93 - 61 |
| 2023-01-16 | vs | North Greenville | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2023-01-18 | @ | Lees-McRae | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2023-01-21 | vs | Erskine | W | 69 - 52 |
| 2023-01-25 | @ | Belmont Abbey | W | 74 - 62 |
| 2023-01-28 | vs | Chowan | W | 86 - 62 |
| 2023-02-01 | @ | King (TN) | W | 86 - 68 |
| 2023-02-04 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | W | 82 - 55 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ | Francis Marion | W | 92 - 74 |
| 2023-02-15 | @ | North Greenville | W | 98 - 68 |
| 2023-02-16 | @ | Mount Olive | W | 105 - 104 |
| 2023-02-18 | vs | UNC Pembroke | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2023-02-21 | vs | Converse | W | 61 - 59 |
| 2023-03-04 | vs | Barton | W | 86 - 69 |
| 2023-03-05 | vs | Belmont Abbey | W | 77 - 60 |
| 2023-03-11 | @ | Augusta | L | 74 - 83 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.