Emerson
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1018 (#205) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1006 (#228) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.2 (#161) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.646 (#381) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.704 (#162) | NetEff +6.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.529 (#375) | AdjNet +1.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.513 (#375) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.508 (#367) | AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 65.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Salem St. | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2024-11-11 | vs | Elms | W | 80 - 70 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Houghton | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | Suffolk | W | 53 - 48 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | U New England | W | 65 - 46 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Bridgewater St. | L | 40 - 57 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Endicott | L | 53 - 72 |
| 2024-12-05 | vs | Westfield St. | W | 96 - 73 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Framingham St. | L | 60 - 68 |
| 2024-12-10 | vs | Emmanuel (MA) | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Regis (MA) | W | 85 - 66 |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | W | 69 - 62 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Gettysburg | L | 49 - 66 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Worcester St. | W | 63 - 51 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Babson | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Wellesley | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Coast Guard | W | 93 - 91 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Salve Regina | W | 87 - 72 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Clark (MA) | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | MIT | W | 82 - 72 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Mount Holyoke | W | 76 - 44 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | WPI | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Smith | L | 51 - 69 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Springfield | L | 40 - 70 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Salve Regina | L | 87 - 93 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bri Frongillo | - | 21 | 33.1 | 20.3 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 4.0 | 17.2 | 9.2 | 42 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 42.9 | 31.5 | 86.5 | -0.15 | 53.4 | 48.5 |
| Jessie Silk | - | 24 | 31.7 | 10.6 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 7.0 | 11.2 | 97 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 42.3 | 40.7 | 74.6 | 0.3 | 57.7 | 49.4 |
| Charlotte Levison | - | 25 | 31.1 | 10.4 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 11.8 | 36 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 41.2 | 26.2 | 78.3 | -0.07 | 50.9 | 45.8 |
| Kendra Dodd | - | 26 | 32.5 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 9.0 | 3.1 | 61 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 36.8 | 38.1 | 83.3 | 0.57 | 54.1 | 53.2 |
| Claire English | - | 26 | 23.7 | 7.7 | 8.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 10.7 | 61 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 54.8 | 0 | 62.5 | 0.26 | 55.7 | 54.8 |
| Elise Arnold | - | 26 | 15.9 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 40 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 39.7 | 37.0 | 65.2 | 0.35 | 48.2 | 46.2 |
| Kaylin O'Meara | - | 12 | 15.8 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 52 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 39.6 | 15.4 | 63.3 | 0.14 | 48.2 | 41.7 |
| Sofia Canter | - | 26 | 14.2 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 63 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 36.6 | 34.8 | 62.5 | 0.32 | 47.4 | 46.3 |
| Taylor Arnold | - | 26 | 10.1 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 60 | 2.5 | 7.2 | 47.6 | 16.7 | 50.0 | 0.64 | 49.4 | 48.4 |
| Sydney Lyons | - | 25 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 57 | 2.6 | 8.5 | 32.1 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.53 | 34.1 | 32.1 |
| Lisee Mcgovern | - | 3 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 31 | 5.2 | 22.4 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.37 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Lena Hicks | - | 22 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 24 | 2.2 | 14.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG