Embry-Riddle (FL)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1265 (#13) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1235 (#25) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1107 (#66) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.5 (#48) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.0 (#186) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.826 (#226) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.941 (#115) | NetEff +21.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.932 (#175) | AdjNet +22.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.937 (#176) | AdjNet +22.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.809 (#160) | AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 58.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.696 (#89) | AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 61.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.793 (#107) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.785 (#102) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1186 (#51) | RD 104 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Montevallo | W | 83 - 38 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | AUM | W | 85 - 51 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Flagler | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Saint Leo | W | 87 - 55 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Valdosta St. | W | 64 - 61 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Nova Southeastern | L | 57 - 65 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Barry | W | 96 - 52 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Davenport | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Florida Tech | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Eckerd | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lynn | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Fla. Southern | W | 79 - 49 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Tampa | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Rollins | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Eckerd | L | 55 - 73 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Florida Tech | L | 77 - 80 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Barry | W | 87 - 61 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Tampa | L | 53 - 77 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliana Sheplee | - | 18 | 29.6 | 21.3 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 16.2 | 14.0 | 147 | 7.3 | 34.3 | 51.2 | 32.7 | 84.1 | 1.2 | 58.7 | 54.1 |
| Mary Lengemann | - | 18 | 26.4 | 12.0 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 10.4 | 6.7 | 126 | 6.3 | 33.9 | 49.5 | 10.3 | 71.1 | 3.43 | 52.8 | 50.3 |
| Laurie Satchell | - | 18 | 23.0 | 10.4 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 8.2 | 9.3 | 109 | 5.5 | 38.1 | 55.1 | 0 | 51.0 | 0.34 | 55.5 | 55.1 |
| Anye' Staton | - | 9 | 12.3 | 7.9 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 20 | 2.2 | 10.3 | 52.6 | 0 | 84.6 | 2.1 | 56.6 | 52.6 |
| Jareah Branch | - | 18 | 30.1 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 7.7 | 6.3 | 204 | 10.2 | 44.1 | 41.3 | 14.3 | 62.1 | 4.02 | 44.1 | 41.7 |
| Kailey Turpening | - | 18 | 33.1 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 4.9 | 8.9 | 69 | 3.5 | 14.4 | 39.8 | 20.0 | 93.5 | -2.92 | 56.8 | 45.5 |
| Alyssa Brasko | - | 18 | 21.8 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 5.7 | 4.6 | 87 | 4.3 | 27.4 | 39.2 | 27.3 | 62.5 | 0.55 | 48.1 | 46.6 |
| Bianca Negreiros | - | 14 | 23.7 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 36 | 2.2 | 17.3 | 40.4 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.95 | 45.8 | 45.6 |
| Maya Collins | - | 13 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 32 | 2.3 | 27.9 | 42.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -1.07 | 52.4 | 51.9 |
| Sydney Roufosse | - | 8 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | -2 | -0.3 | -6.7 | 43.8 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.16 | 42.6 | 43.8 |
| Ilektra Polychronopoulou | - | 7 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | -1 | -0.1 | -2.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.62 | 33.8 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG