Embry-Riddle (FL)
Model Outputs
2022-2023
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1052 (#114) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1038 (#127) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 995 (#145) | HCA +69 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.5 (#104) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.5 (#105) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.408 (#175) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.748 (#107) | AdjNet +9.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.755 (#108) | AdjNet +9.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.607 (#120) | AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 59.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.521 (#141) | AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 62.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.634 (#111) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.618 (#120) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1084 (#94) | RD 158 | GP 27 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | Legacy estimate | Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast. |
2022-2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-11 | @ | AUM | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2022-11-12 | @ | Montevallo | W | 53 - 50 |
| 2022-11-19 | @ | Rollins | W | 48 - 46 |
| 2022-11-25 | vs | Sioux Falls | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2022-11-26 | vs | Northern St. | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2022-11-30 | vs | Saint Leo | L | 66 - 77 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | Tampa | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2022-12-07 | vs | Lynn | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2022-12-16 | vs | Davenport | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2022-12-17 | vs | Young Harris | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2022-12-30 | vs | Barry | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2023-01-04 | @ | Eckerd | L | 62 - 66 |
| 2023-01-07 | vs | Fla. Southern | L | 67 - 72 |
| 2023-01-11 | @ | Florida Tech | L | 68 - 81 |
| 2023-01-14 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2023-01-18 | vs | Nova Southeastern | L | 60 - 78 |
| 2023-01-21 | vs | Tampa | L | 53 - 72 |
| 2023-01-25 | @ | Barry | L | 59 - 63 |
| 2023-01-28 | vs | Eckerd | L | 64 - 76 |
| 2023-02-01 | @ | Lynn | L | 39 - 54 |
| 2023-02-04 | @ | Saint Leo | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2023-02-08 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2023-02-15 | vs | Florida Tech | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ | Fla. Southern | W | 57 - 51 |
| 2023-02-22 | vs | Rollins | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2023-02-25 | @ | Nova Southeastern | W | 82 - 58 |
| 2023-02-28 | @ | Eckerd | L | 51 - 74 |
2022-2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.