Embry-Riddle (FL)
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1101 (#95) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1095 (#102) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1036 (#111) | HCA +68 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.6 (#60) | HCA +2.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.4 (#49) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.735 (#54) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.850 (#53) | AdjNet +15.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.853 (#53) | AdjNet +15.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.724 (#57) | AdjO 88.4 | AdjD 77.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.653 (#49) | AdjO 86.8 | AdjD 79.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.736 (#63) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.723 (#64) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1120 (#74) | RD 144 | GP 25 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-11 | vs | Ave Maria | W | 106 - 58 |
| 2016-11-12 | vs | P.R.-Mayaguez | W | 97 - 76 |
| 2016-11-16 | vs | Rollins | L | 85 - 92 |
| 2016-11-19 | vs | Eckerd | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2016-11-25 | vs | Saint Augustine's | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2016-11-26 | vs | Francis Marion | W | 86 - 77 |
| 2016-11-30 | @ | Saint Leo | L | 82 - 89 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | Tampa | L | 91 - 107 |
| 2016-12-09 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 103 - 85 |
| 2016-12-16 | vs | American (PR) | W | 77 - 76 |
| 2016-12-17 | @ | Central Bayamon | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2016-12-30 | @ | Nova Southeastern | W | 89 - 71 |
| 2017-01-04 | @ | Florida Tech | L | 106 - 109 |
| 2017-01-07 | vs | Lynn | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | Barry | L | 80 - 86 |
| 2017-01-18 | vs | Fla. Southern | W | 83 - 64 |
| 2017-01-21 | vs | Saint Leo | L | 71 - 77 |
| 2017-01-25 | @ | Eckerd | W | 93 - 80 |
| 2017-01-28 | @ | Lynn | W | 104 - 80 |
| 2017-02-01 | @ | Rollins | W | 97 - 78 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Tampa | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2017-02-11 | @ | Fla. Southern | L | 100 - 110 |
| 2017-02-15 | vs | Nova Southeastern | W | 80 - 59 |
| 2017-02-18 | vs | Florida Tech | L | 97 - 102 |
| 2017-02-22 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 100 - 74 |
| 2017-02-25 | vs | Barry | L | 102 - 113 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.