🐻⬇️🏀

Elon

Also known as: Elon
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1030 (#256) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1030 (#316) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1013 (#348) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +14.0 (#174) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.998 (#98) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.4 More → 0.944 (#147) AdjNet +24.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.4 More → 0.949 (#139) AdjNet +24.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 95.0 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.887 (#112) AdjO 95.0 | AdjD 72.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.720 (#87) AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.737 (#162) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.718 (#179) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 286 | GP 1 More → 1070 (#257) RD 286 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-22 vs Greensboro W 97 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chandler Cuthrell - 1 18.2 21.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 17.0 - - - 60.0 33.3 50.0 - 62.6 63.3
Kacper Klaczek - 1 17.1 14.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 7.0 14.0 - - - 85.7 0.0 100.0 - 88.8 85.7
DeMarco Johnson - 1 21.7 11.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 15.0 56 2.5 28.8 33.3 0.0 87.5 4.04 57.8 33.3
Bryson Cokley - 1 21.8 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 62.5 62.5
Randall Pettus II - 1 21.1 9.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 8.0 - - - 42.9 50.0 100.0 - 57.1 50.0
Iker Garmendia - 1 12.9 8.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 61.3 0.0
Ja'Juan Carr - 1 14.3 7.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 - - - 75.0 100.0 0 - 87.5 87.5
Ned Hull - 1 22.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 40.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Bryson Spell - 1 7.6 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0 75.0 - 66.5 50.0
Caleb Middleton - 1 16.7 4.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Isaac Harrell - 1 19.9 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Alex Olander - 1 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Savion Taylor - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG