Elon
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 813 (#246) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 910 (#216) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 970 (#192) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.6 (#264) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.7 (#265) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.297 (#247) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.163 (#265) | AdjNet -14.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.160 (#265) | AdjNet -14.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.314 (#262) | AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 76.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.391 (#244) | AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 75.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.291 (#252) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.305 (#252) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 865 (#240) | RD 174 | GP 25 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | @ | Virginia | L | 66 - 97 |
| 1999-11-22 | @ | Tennessee | L | 56 - 95 |
| 1999-11-26 | @ | Albany (NY) | L | 69 - 73 |
| 1999-11-29 | @ | UNC Greensboro | L | 66 - 77 |
| 1999-12-01 | vs | North Carolina A&T | W | 85 - 73 |
| 1999-12-02 | @ | Campbell | W | 59 - 56 |
| 1999-12-08 | vs | Davidson | W | 75 - 70 |
| 1999-12-18 | @ | Rutgers | L | 78 - 89 |
| 1999-12-28 | @ | Notre Dame | L | 71 - 97 |
| 1999-12-30 | @ | DePaul | L | 56 - 80 |
| 2000-01-10 | vs | Stony Brook | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2000-01-13 | @ | Liberty | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | Coastal Carolina | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2000-01-17 | vs | Charleston Southern | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | UNC Asheville | L | 76 - 88 |
| 2000-01-29 | @ | High Point | L | 60 - 77 |
| 2000-02-02 | vs | Radford | W | 90 - 77 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Charleston Southern | L | 89 - 90 |
| 2000-02-07 | @ | Coastal Carolina | L | 49 - 57 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | UNC Asheville | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2000-02-14 | vs | Winthrop | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2000-02-16 | @ | Winthrop | L | 82 - 87 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Radford | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2000-02-23 | vs | Liberty | W | 83 - 78 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | High Point | W | 88 - 79 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.