Elon
2013 Team Stats (1 games)
70.0
PPG
60.0
Opp
+10.0
Margin
44.3%
FG%
38.5%
3P%
73.3%
FT%
45.0
RPG
10.0
APG
20.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.0
Adj PPG
64.2
Adj Opp PPG
#155
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1133 (#89) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1042 (#127) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1077 (#73) | HCA +72 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -0.7 (#161) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +0.3 (#153) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.603 (#119) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.471 (#162) | AdjNet -1.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.467 (#161) | AdjNet -1.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.495 (#155) | AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 64.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.549 (#120) | AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 62.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.550 (#136) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.561 (#129) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1065 (#109) | RD 121 | GP 32 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-09 | @ | South Carolina Gamecocks | L | 44 - 77 |
| 2012-11-12 | vs | VCU Rams | W | 74 - 58 |
| 2012-11-18 | vs | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2012-11-24 | vs | American University Eagles | L | 68 - 69 |
| 2012-12-01 | vs | Charleston Cougars | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2012-12-03 | @ | Western Carolina Catamounts | W | 64 - 48 |
| 2012-12-09 | @ | NC State Wolfpack | L | 73 - 88 |
| 2012-12-13 | vs | Morgan State Lady Bears | W | 74 - 54 |
| 2012-12-20 | @ | Campbell Fighting Camels | L | 69 - 79 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ | East Carolina Pirates | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2012-12-31 | @ | North Carolina A&T Aggies | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2013-01-05 | vs | Samford Bulldogs | W | 65 - 41 |
| 2013-01-07 | vs | Chattanooga Mocs | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2013-01-09 | @ | Wofford Terriers | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2013-01-14 | vs | UNC Greensboro Spartans | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2013-01-18 | vs | Furman Paladins | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2013-01-20 | @ | Charleston Cougars | W | 63 - 56 |
| 2013-01-26 | @ | Davidson Wildcats | L | 62 - 77 |
| 2013-01-28 | vs | Georgia Southern Eagles | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ | App State Mountaineers | L | 62 - 80 |
| 2013-02-04 | vs | Western Carolina Catamounts | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ | Chattanooga Mocs | L | 40 - 63 |
| 2013-02-11 | @ | Samford Bulldogs | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ | UNC Greensboro Spartans | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2013-02-20 | vs | Wofford Terriers | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ | Furman Paladins | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2013-02-25 | vs | App State Mountaineers | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2013-03-02 | vs | Davidson Wildcats | W | 72 - 56 |
| 2013-03-04 | @ | Georgia Southern Eagles | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2013-03-09 | vs | Samford Bulldogs | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2013-03-10 | @ | Davidson Wildcats | L | 61 - 71 |
| 2013-03-20 | vs | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W | 68 - 61 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. Ford
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 66 | 25 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 46.7 | 42.9 | 80.0 | 2.67 | 61.0 | 56.7 |
K. Evans
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 37 | 25 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 43.8 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -2.33 | 51.0 | 43.8 |
K. Harris
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 53 | 25 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.12 | 59.5 | 60.0 |
S. Coffer
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 7 | 23 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.53 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
Z. Stephenson
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 69 | 25 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 2.02 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG