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Elon

Also known as: Elon Phoenix
Program History

2013 Team Stats (1 games)

70.0
PPG
60.0
Opp
+10.0
Margin
44.3%
FG%
38.5%
3P%
73.3%
FT%
45.0
RPG
10.0
APG
20.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.0
Adj PPG
64.2
Adj Opp PPG
#155
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1133 (#89) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1042 (#127) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +72 elo More โ†’ 1077 (#73) HCA +72 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -0.7 (#161) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +0.3 (#153) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.603 (#119) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.0 More โ†’ 0.471 (#162) AdjNet -1.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.1 More โ†’ 0.467 (#161) AdjNet -1.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 64.2 More โ†’ 0.495 (#155) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 64.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 62.1 More โ†’ 0.549 (#120) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 62.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.550 (#136) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.561 (#129) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 121 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1065 (#109) RD 121 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 44 - 77
2012-11-12 vs VCU Rams W 74 - 58
2012-11-18 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 67 - 61
2012-11-24 vs American University Eagles L 68 - 69
2012-12-01 vs Charleston Cougars L 55 - 57
2012-12-03 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 64 - 48
2012-12-09 @ NC State Wolfpack L 73 - 88
2012-12-13 vs Morgan State Lady Bears W 74 - 54
2012-12-20 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 69 - 79
2012-12-29 @ East Carolina Pirates L 64 - 71
2012-12-31 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 65 - 75
2013-01-05 vs Samford Bulldogs W 65 - 41
2013-01-07 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 70 - 60
2013-01-09 @ Wofford Terriers W 67 - 57
2013-01-14 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 71 - 60
2013-01-18 vs Furman Paladins W 79 - 69
2013-01-20 @ Charleston Cougars W 63 - 56
2013-01-26 @ Davidson Wildcats L 62 - 77
2013-01-28 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 70 - 59
2013-02-02 @ App State Mountaineers L 62 - 80
2013-02-04 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 60 - 51
2013-02-09 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 40 - 63
2013-02-11 @ Samford Bulldogs L 59 - 65
2013-02-16 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 70 - 57
2013-02-20 vs Wofford Terriers W 62 - 58
2013-02-23 @ Furman Paladins L 71 - 74
2013-02-25 vs App State Mountaineers W 75 - 58
2013-03-02 vs Davidson Wildcats W 72 - 56
2013-03-04 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 76 - 65
2013-03-09 vs Samford Bulldogs W 70 - 60
2013-03-10 @ Davidson Wildcats L 61 - 71
2013-03-20 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 68 - 61

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Ford A. Ford NA 1 0.0 21.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 15.0 6.0 66 25 2.6 3.4 46.7 42.9 80.0 2.67 61.0 56.7
K. Evans K. Evans NA 1 0.0 19.0 21.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 16.0 28.0 37 25 1.5 2.0 43.8 0.0 83.3 -2.33 51.0 43.8
K. Harris K. Harris G 1 0.0 14.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 53 25 2.1 2.7 60.0 0 50.0 0.12 59.5 60.0
S. Coffer S. Coffer G 1 0.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 9.0 7 23 0.3 0.6 60.0 100.0 0 -1.53 70.0 70.0
Z. Stephenson Z. Stephenson G 1 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 69 25 2.8 4.8 25.0 33.3 0 2.02 37.5 37.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG