🐻⬇️🏀

Elms

Also known as: Elms
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 952 (#352) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 898 (#386) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -23.7 (#398) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.069 (#754) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -13.3 More → 0.176 (#450) NetEff -13.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -33.2 More → 0.021 (#752) AdjNet -33.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -33.9 More → 0.019 (#753) AdjNet -33.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 83.6 More → 0.096 (#745) AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 83.6

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Russell Sage - Incomplete score
2024-11-11 @ Plymouth St. - Incomplete score
2024-11-14 @ Framingham St. - Incomplete score
2024-11-21 @ Curry - Incomplete score
2024-11-23 @ Trinity (CT) - Incomplete score
2024-11-24 @ WestConn - Incomplete score
2024-12-03 @ Westfield St. - Incomplete score
2024-12-05 @ VTSU Lyndon - Incomplete score
2024-12-08 vs Purchase - Incomplete score
2024-12-10 vs MCLA - Incomplete score
2024-12-13 vs Gordon - Incomplete score
2024-12-30 @ Vermont - Incomplete score
2025-01-04 vs JWU (Providence) - Incomplete score
2025-01-07 @ Rivier - Incomplete score
2025-01-11 @ Dean - Incomplete score
2025-01-15 vs Colby-Sawyer - Incomplete score
2025-01-21 vs Mitchell - Incomplete score
2025-01-25 @ St. Joseph's (ME) - Incomplete score
2025-01-31 @ Albertus Magnus - Incomplete score
2025-02-01 vs New England Col. - Incomplete score
2025-02-04 vs Norwich - Incomplete score
2025-02-10 @ Emmanuel (MA) - Incomplete score
2025-02-12 @ Regis (MA) - Incomplete score
2025-02-15 @ Saint Joseph (CT) - Incomplete score
2025-02-19 vs Anna Maria - Incomplete score
2025-02-22 vs Lasell - Incomplete score
2025-02-24 vs Mitchell - Incomplete score

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kenneth Rogers Jr. - 1 36.0 25.0 11.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 20.0 21.0 96 10.7 17.1 45.0 0.0 70.0 1.15 51.2 45.0
Kyle Philistin - 1 35.0 21.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 16.0 13.0 5 0.6 1.1 43.8 44.4 60.0 0.69 57.7 56.2
Ja'Quin Taylor - 1 15.0 18.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 16.0 7 1.4 2.6 71.4 60.0 83.3 0.38 93.4 92.9
Marcel Henry - 1 11.0 18.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 11.0 -36 -2.2 -8.4 61.5 0 66.7 0.17 62.8 61.5
Jourdan Belcher - 1 19.0 13.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 8.0 22 1.2 3.3 75.0 0 50.0 0.69 73.2 75.0
Aden Goffe - 22 24.2 11.6 5.1 2.5 1.4 0.2 2.0 9.8 9.0 -98 -8.2 -17.8 44.7 33.3 73.3 1.36 52.8 49.1
Andrew Ciaglo - 23 28.5 11.1 3.2 1.9 1.2 0.0 1.6 10.5 5.3 -372 -20.7 -41.6 33.6 35.4 83.3 -2.59 49.6 46.7
Kishaun Cole - 13 19.8 9.2 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.2 1.5 8.2 3.5 -80 -16.0 -22.5 37.4 35.7 76.9 -0.01 48.3 42.1
RJ Mayfield - 23 25.9 9.0 4.2 1.0 0.6 1.2 1.5 9.3 5.3 -293 -12.7 -34.0 40.5 27.3 64.7 0.02 45.2 43.3
Marshall Kerley - 1 28.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 9.0 2.0 -1 -0.5 -0.8 33.3 33.3 0 0.06 50.0 50.0
Joshua-Daniel Okafor - 1 26.0 9.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 11.0 12 12.0 2.7 75.0 0.0 50.0 0.76 67.8 75.0
Keeshawn Jones - 1 13.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 7 0.4 1.0 60.0 100.0 100.0 0.37 76.5 70.0
Aaron Sanchez - 22 24.3 8.5 5.2 1.2 0.5 0.2 2.3 8.0 5.2 -283 -23.6 -32.5 41.5 36.0 71.1 -2.05 47.8 44.0
Josh Saint Jean - 1 18.0 8.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 7.0 11.0 -13 -1.6 -3.8 57.1 0 0 0.36 57.1 57.1
Korbin Gann - 1 13.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 24 6.0 17.7 40.0 40.0 0 0.06 60.0 60.0
Quinton Chapman - 1 8.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 9 0.8 4.1 66.7 0.0 100.0 0.2 77.3 66.7
Tayejon Lynch - 1 15.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 7.0 19 1.1 3.1 42.9 0.0 0 1.0 42.9 42.9
Jahlyl Morgan - 1 14.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 -47 -3.6 -15.4 0.0 0 83.3 0.0 53.9 0.0
Edgardo Jacob Cancel - 23 12.3 4.8 2.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.0 3.9 3.8 -133 -7.8 -35.2 47.2 26.9 71.4 -0.17 54.8 51.1
Jaivon Reynolds - 1 6.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 -33 -3.0 -10.4 0 0 100.0 0.4 113.6 0
A.Z. Allah - 1 17.0 4.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 21 1.8 4.4 16.7 0.0 100.0 1.28 29.1 16.7
Addison Phifer - 23 12.1 3.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.8 2.8 3.7 -47 -5.2 -11.3 53.1 47.6 64.3 0.07 62.0 60.9
Neilon Bridgeman - 23 17.6 3.6 2.9 0.9 0.5 1.0 1.0 4.2 3.9 -168 -12.9 -26.7 34.4 13.5 70.6 0.09 40.1 37.0
Adam Sarlan - 23 12.6 3.0 3.2 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.5 2.0 4.6 -78 -3.9 -14.3 46.8 0.0 75.0 -0.0 55.7 46.8
Eric Johnson - 1 24.0 3.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 99 8.2 23.1 33.3 0 50.0 0.9 38.7 33.3
Jaiden Lopez - 22 7.8 2.2 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.1 3.2 -0.0 -41 -5.1 -16.5 19.7 14.3 93.8 0.01 31.4 23.9
Kyle Marcello - 1 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 3 1.5 22.9 50.0 0.0 0 -0.82 50.0 50.0
Armaan Sandhu - 1 11.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 9 1.8 48.4 33.3 0.0 0.0 -0.68 29.1 33.3
Jason James - 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 18 1.5 5.4 25.0 0.0 0 0.56 25.0 25.0
Teron Griffin - 7 11.3 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.7 1.7 1.3 -55 -55.0 -55.0 41.7 33.3 33.3 -0.11 45.0 45.8
Max Rolnick - 22 6.3 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.8 8 1.1 8.2 25.6 26.5 0 -0.03 37.2 37.2
Daniel Villanueva - 22 3.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 -43 -3.1 -36.3 26.3 0.0 55.6 0.08 37.1 26.3
Samuel Ackah-Yensu - 23 3.5 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.0 1.0 -28 -4.0 -14.4 34.8 100.0 33.3 0.07 37.1 37.0
Taje Green - 23 3.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.1 -0.2 -31 -5.2 -26.4 15.4 23.1 66.7 -0.1 26.2 21.2
Shawn Rivera - 10 2.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.2 - - - 16.7 0.0 100.0 - 29.1 16.7
Connor Manning - 8 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Makyle Hayes - 1 25.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 7.0 2 0.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 0 0.23 0.0 0.0
Lorenzo Almonte - 1 10.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 21 4.2 52.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.33 0.0 0.0
Malik Cole - 1 12.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -2.0 21 1.8 8.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.41 0.0 0.0
Jordan Lanoue - 1 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -11 -2.2 -10.1 0 0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG