🐻⬇️🏀

Elms

Also known as: Elms
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 952 (#352) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 898 (#386) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -23.7 (#398) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.069 (#754) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -13.3 More → 0.176 (#450) NetEff -13.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -33.2 More → 0.021 (#752) AdjNet -33.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -33.9 More → 0.019 (#753) AdjNet -33.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 83.6 More → 0.096 (#745) AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 83.6

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Russell Sage L 52 - 72
2024-11-11 @ Plymouth St. L 58 - 81
2024-11-14 @ Framingham St. L 76 - 85
2024-11-21 @ Curry L 69 - 70
2024-11-23 @ Trinity (CT) L 42 - 97
2024-11-24 @ WestConn L 49 - 82
2024-12-03 @ Westfield St. L 70 - 78
2024-12-05 @ VTSU Lyndon L 79 - 82
2024-12-08 vs Purchase L 62 - 73
2024-12-10 vs MCLA L 69 - 88
2024-12-13 vs Gordon L 63 - 79
2024-12-30 @ Vermont L 37 - 121
2025-01-04 vs JWU (Providence) W 82 - 75
2025-01-07 @ Rivier L 67 - 85
2025-01-11 @ Dean L 67 - 85
2025-01-15 vs Colby-Sawyer W 85 - 78
2025-01-21 vs Mitchell W 66 - 63
2025-01-25 @ St. Joseph's (ME) L 54 - 74
2025-01-31 @ Albertus Magnus L 69 - 103
2025-02-01 vs New England Col. W 62 - 56
2025-02-04 vs Norwich L 62 - 70
2025-02-10 @ Emmanuel (MA) L 62 - 89
2025-02-12 @ Regis (MA) W 86 - 70
2025-02-15 @ Saint Joseph (CT) L 66 - 84
2025-02-19 vs Anna Maria W 71 - 55
2025-02-22 vs Lasell L 57 - 91
2025-02-24 vs Mitchell L 72 - 74

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kenneth Rogers Jr. - 1 36.0 25.0 11.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 20.0 21.0 96 10.7 17.1 45.0 0.0 70.0 1.15 51.2 45.0
Kyle Philistin - 1 35.0 21.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 16.0 13.0 5 0.6 1.1 43.8 44.4 60.0 0.69 57.7 56.2
Ja'Quin Taylor - 1 15.0 18.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 16.0 7 1.4 2.6 71.4 60.0 83.3 0.38 93.4 92.9
Marcel Henry - 1 11.0 18.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 11.0 -36 -2.2 -8.4 61.5 0 66.7 0.17 62.8 61.5
Jourdan Belcher - 1 19.0 13.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 8.0 22 1.2 3.3 75.0 0 50.0 0.69 73.2 75.0
Aden Goffe - 23 24.1 11.3 5.1 2.4 1.4 0.2 2.1 9.7 8.6 -98 -8.2 -17.8 44.2 31.1 73.3 1.36 52.1 48.4
Andrew Ciaglo - 24 28.2 10.9 3.1 1.9 1.2 0.0 1.7 10.3 5.0 -372 -20.7 -41.6 33.5 35.1 83.3 -2.59 49.5 46.6
Kishaun Cole - 13 19.8 9.2 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.2 1.5 8.2 3.5 -80 -16.0 -22.5 37.4 35.7 76.9 -0.01 48.3 42.1
RJ Mayfield - 24 25.5 9.1 4.1 1.0 0.6 1.2 1.5 9.3 5.1 -293 -12.7 -34.0 40.8 26.7 63.2 0.02 45.5 43.5
Marshall Kerley - 1 28.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 9.0 2.0 -1 -0.5 -0.8 33.3 33.3 0 0.06 50.0 50.0
Joshua-Daniel Okafor - 1 26.0 9.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 11.0 12 12.0 2.7 75.0 0.0 50.0 0.76 67.8 75.0
Keeshawn Jones - 1 13.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 7 0.4 1.0 60.0 100.0 100.0 0.37 76.5 70.0
Aaron Sanchez - 23 24.5 8.4 5.2 1.2 0.4 0.2 2.2 8.1 5.1 -283 -23.6 -32.5 40.6 32.1 68.8 -2.05 46.6 43.0
Josh Saint Jean - 1 18.0 8.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 7.0 11.0 -13 -1.6 -3.8 57.1 0 0 0.36 57.1 57.1
Korbin Gann - 1 13.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 24 6.0 17.7 40.0 40.0 0 0.06 60.0 60.0
Quinton Chapman - 1 8.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 9 0.8 4.1 66.7 0.0 100.0 0.2 77.3 66.7
Tayejon Lynch - 1 15.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 7.0 19 1.1 3.1 42.9 0.0 0 1.0 42.9 42.9
Jahlyl Morgan - 1 14.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 -47 -3.6 -15.4 0.0 0 83.3 0.0 53.9 0.0
Edgardo Jacob Cancel - 24 12.5 4.9 2.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.0 4.0 3.7 -133 -7.8 -35.2 46.4 25.0 69.0 -0.17 53.3 50.0
Jaivon Reynolds - 1 6.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 -33 -3.0 -10.4 0 0 100.0 0.4 113.6 0
A.Z. Allah - 1 17.0 4.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 21 1.8 4.4 16.7 0.0 100.0 1.28 29.1 16.7
Addison Phifer - 24 12.1 3.6 2.6 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.9 2.8 3.5 -47 -5.2 -11.3 51.5 43.5 64.3 0.07 60.3 59.1
Neilon Bridgeman - 24 17.6 3.5 2.8 0.9 0.5 1.0 0.9 4.1 3.7 -168 -12.9 -26.7 34.3 13.2 70.6 0.09 39.9 36.9
Eric Johnson - 1 24.0 3.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 99 8.2 23.1 33.3 0 50.0 0.9 38.7 33.3
Adam Sarlan - 24 12.2 2.8 3.1 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.5 2.0 4.3 -78 -3.9 -14.3 44.9 0.0 75.0 -0.0 53.9 44.9
Jaiden Lopez - 23 8.2 2.1 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.4 3.2 -0.3 -41 -5.1 -16.5 19.2 13.6 88.2 0.01 30.4 23.3
Kyle Marcello - 1 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 3 1.5 22.9 50.0 0.0 0 -0.82 50.0 50.0
Armaan Sandhu - 1 11.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 9 1.8 48.4 33.3 0.0 0.0 -0.68 29.1 33.3
Jason James - 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 18 1.5 5.4 25.0 0.0 0 0.56 25.0 25.0
Teron Griffin - 7 11.3 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.7 1.7 1.3 -55 -55.0 -55.0 41.7 33.3 33.3 -0.11 45.0 45.8
Max Rolnick - 23 6.3 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.7 8 1.1 8.2 23.8 24.3 0 -0.03 34.5 34.5
Daniel Villanueva - 23 3.6 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 -43 -3.1 -36.3 23.8 0.0 55.6 0.08 34.6 23.8
Samuel Ackah-Yensu - 24 3.7 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.0 1.0 -28 -4.0 -14.4 34.8 100.0 33.3 0.07 37.1 37.0
Taje Green - 24 3.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.2 -0.3 -31 -5.2 -26.4 14.3 21.4 66.7 -0.1 24.5 19.6
Shawn Rivera - 10 2.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.2 - - - 16.7 0.0 100.0 - 29.1 16.7
Connor Manning - 8 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Makyle Hayes - 1 25.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 7.0 2 0.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 0 0.23 0.0 0.0
Lorenzo Almonte - 1 10.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 21 4.2 52.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.33 0.0 0.0
Malik Cole - 1 12.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -2.0 21 1.8 8.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.41 0.0 0.0
Jordan Lanoue - 1 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -11 -2.2 -10.1 0 0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG