Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 931 (#493) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 882 (#514) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 884 (#690) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -22.6 (#383) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -23.7 (#718) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.069 (#754) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.021 (#752) | AdjNet -33.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.019 (#753) | AdjNet -33.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.096 (#745) | AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 83.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.174 (#756) | AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 76.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.137 (#722) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.139 (#726) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 869 (#510) | RD 106 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Thomas (ME) | W | 83 - 57 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Lesley | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Russell Sage | L | 72 - 84 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Maine Maritime | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Amherst | L | 52 - 96 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | VTSU Lyndon | W | 103 - 78 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | St. Joseph's (Brkln) | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Curry | L | 59 - 64 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Framingham St. | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Brown | L | 34 - 115 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | MCLA | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Dartmouth | L | 43 - 107 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Pratt | L | 60 - 90 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Dean | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Regis (MA) | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Mitchell | L | 46 - 65 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Albertus Magnus | L | 68 - 125 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Colby-Sawyer | W | 56 - 52 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | St. Joseph's (ME) | L | 74 - 91 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | New England Col. | W | 62 - 51 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Emmanuel (MA) | L | 71 - 76 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aden Goffe | - | 6 | 30.8 | 17.8 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 16.5 | 11.2 | -44 | -6.3 | -22.2 | 39.4 | 35.3 | 88.5 | 2.32 | 48.4 | 42.4 |
| Luke Montejo | - | 1 | 29.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 27 | 2.1 | 12.4 | 54.5 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 0.03 | 60.9 | 59.1 |
| Moses Semuhoza | - | 1 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | -48 | -5.3 | -29.3 | 62.5 | 66.7 | 75.0 | -3.19 | 76.8 | 75.0 |
| RJ Mayfield | - | 20 | 27.6 | 11.4 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 11.3 | 6.3 | -173 | -9.1 | -48.9 | 44.5 | 19.5 | 78.3 | -1.22 | 48.1 | 46.3 |
| DJ Watkins | - | 20 | 27.0 | 10.7 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 11.1 | 4.3 | -48 | -2.8 | -13.3 | 38.3 | 30.4 | 70.4 | 0.19 | 45.5 | 43.7 |
| Andrew Ciaglo | - | 13 | 26.9 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 8.5 | 6.7 | -171 | -15.5 | -80.0 | 37.3 | 37.0 | 70.0 | -0.53 | 54.0 | 50.9 |
| Jaxon Miles | - | 1 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | -14 | -1.2 | -11.6 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.9 | 45.5 | 45.5 |
| Aiden MacLeod | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | -21 | -2.3 | -7.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 57.1 | -4.16 | 65.8 | 66.7 |
| Aaron Feaster | - | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | -83 | -5.2 | -57.3 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -2.53 | 71.7 | 75.0 |
| Edgardo Jacob Cancel | - | 20 | 20.0 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 6.5 | 5.3 | -81 | -4.8 | -32.2 | 37.4 | 26.2 | 75.8 | -1.08 | 46.0 | 41.6 |
| Mateo Duran | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | -45 | -3.8 | -30.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -1.95 | 61.5 | 62.5 |
| Jack Lo | - | 10 | 19.7 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 3.2 | -50 | -5.0 | -47.8 | 31.2 | 15.0 | 70.8 | -0.29 | 42.7 | 34.4 |
| Kenray Emadamerho | - | 1 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -11 | -0.8 | -4.8 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.76 | 43.4 | 37.5 |
| Jaedon Bogar | - | 20 | 17.8 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 4.3 | -31 | -1.7 | -7.9 | 43.2 | 0.0 | 54.8 | 0.1 | 46.0 | 43.2 |
| Jamie Lawson | - | 19 | 14.1 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 2.4 | -28 | -1.6 | -13.1 | 36.7 | 17.4 | 55.2 | 1.4 | 42.5 | 39.2 |
| Ryan Ellis | - | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -59 | -4.2 | -19.9 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.95 | 25.8 | 16.7 |
| Max Rolnick | - | 14 | 9.9 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 0.9 | -26 | -2.2 | -31.6 | 32.1 | 32.6 | 0 | 0.17 | 45.3 | 45.3 |
| Sean Chanakira | - | 1 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -6 | -0.8 | -21.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.34 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Daniel Villanueva | - | 17 | 12.4 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 1.6 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 32.0 | 17.6 | 75.0 | 3.8 | 39.8 | 35.0 |
| Rayquan Anderson | - | 13 | 10.8 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 7 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 48.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.92 | 49.6 | 48.1 |
| Adam Sarlan | - | 18 | 16.1 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 4.3 | -27 | -1.7 | -14.7 | 34.3 | 0 | 76.2 | 1.4 | 45.2 | 34.3 |
| Travis Jordan | - | 15 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 3.7 | -0.2 | -42 | -3.5 | -66.3 | 25.5 | 7.7 | 33.3 | 0.13 | 27.1 | 26.4 |
| Sammy Nzeyimana | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -69 | -5.8 | -85.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.98 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Aiden Dunlap | - | 9 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | -12 | -1.5 | -42.7 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | -0.06 | 61.5 | 70.0 |
| Donel Kabongo-Mutombo | - | 4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 9.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.55 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Michael Hills | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 28 | 2.5 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.37 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Shawn O'Keefe | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -7 | -0.8 | -16.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Josh Robie | - | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -4.0 | 38 | 2.9 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG